Tipps Spain Croatia Euro 2024 15/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Spain win the match.

1. Spain has shown a better overall performance at home with a probability of winning the match at 50.54% against Croatia, which has a winning probability of 22.28%. Additionally, Spain has drawn in 20% of its previous home matches, further strengthening the chances of a draw or a Spain win.
2. Spain has a higher offensive potential of 114% compared to Croatia’s 71%, meaning they have scored more goals on average at home than Croatia has away. This gives Spain an advantage in scoring goals and potentially winning the match or drawing.
3. Statistics also show that Spain has a higher defensive potential at 43%, compared to Croatia’s 21%, meaning they are less likely to concede goals than Croatia. Therefore, this gives Spain a higher chance of winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive performance of both teams: In their last 5 respective matches, Spain has scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and Croatia 2 goals per match. This gives us an average total of 5.2 goals per match, well above 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive performance of both teams also needs to be taken into account. Spain, in their last 5 matches, has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match and Croatia has conceded 0.6 goals per match, totaling 1.8 goals per match.

3. Recent match statistics of both teams show a tendency for high-scoring matches. For instance, Spain’s last three home matches ended with scores of 5 – 1, 5 – 0, and 3 – 3, all well above 2.5 goals. Additionally, Croatia’s last two away matches ended with scores of 1 – 2 and 2 – 4, indicating a trend towards high scores as well.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Spain has an average of 3.2 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, showing a strong offensive capacity. Furthermore, Spain has scored in every home game except one.

2. Additionally, Croatia has demonstrated its ability to score in away matches by averaging 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. Moreover, Croatia has scored in four out of their last five away matches.

3. Both teams have a weak defensive potential as Spain has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game at home and Croatia has also conceded an average of 0.6 goals per game away. Therefore, the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match is high.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match – 46.2% success probability: 2.18

Bet on the exact result

“Spain 2-1 Croatia”

1. The offensive potential of Spain is higher than that of Croatia. On average, Spain scores 3.2 goals per home match, compared to 2 goals per match for Croatia away. This favors a higher score for Spain.

2. Croatia tends to concede more goals than Spain. They have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match away in their last 5 games, while Spain has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match. This increases the likelihood of Spain scoring more goals than Croatia.

3. The head-to-head history includes results where both teams score. For example, in the match Spain 3 – 3 Brazil and the match Wales 2 – 1 Croatia. This suggests that both teams have attackers capable of scoring, thus supporting the prediction of a 2-1 score in favor of Spain.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Spain’s performance at home is strong, with victories in 60% of their last 5 matches. They have shown great offensive prowess, scoring 16 goals, an average of 3.2 goals per match. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 17 goals.

On the other hand, Croatia has also won 60% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 9 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, and have conceded fewer goals than Spain, at 11.

In terms of probabilities, Spain has a 50.54% chance of winning, while Croatia has only 22.28%. There is a high likelihood, at 77.72%, that the match will end in a draw or with a Spain win.

In relation to the score, there is a high probability, at 71.74%, of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match, and a probability of 84.78% that less than 3.5 goals will be scored. Therefore, it seems unlikely that the match will be very offensive.

Finally, in previous encounters, Spain has shown strong offensive capabilities, with scores like 5-1 against Northern Ireland, while Croatia has proven they can win away, for example with a 4-2 score against Egypt.

In summary, Spain seems slightly more favored for this match, but Croatia could still cause an upset. One thing is certain, the match should see some goals, but not excessively so.

The potential number of goals

Spain is in good form at home, winning 60% of their matches and scoring 16 goals. Croatia is also strong away, winning 60% of their matches and scoring 9 goals.

Spain’s offense is impressive, scoring an average of 3.2 goals per match, while Croatia scores 2 goals per match on the road.

Defensively, Spain concedes more goals (1.2 goals per match) than Croatia (0.6 goals per match).

Spain has a 50.54% chance of winning the match, with a 27.17% chance of a draw. Croatia has a 22.28% probability of winning.

Regarding goals, there is a 71.74% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match, a 46.2% probability of more than 2.5 goals, and 84.78% for less than 3.5 goals.

Both teams to score has a probability of 45.65%, while the scenario where they do not score is 54.35%.

Based on these statistics, the match should be competitive with a strong possibility of seeing multiple goals. A win could lean towards Spain, but a draw is also conceivable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent performances of both teams and the statistics presented, it appears that Spain has a slight advantage over Croatia, especially in terms of offensive and defensive potential. However, the match is not a foregone conclusion. It is highly likely that the match will end with more than 2.5 goals, given the recent trends shown by both teams. Moreover, both teams have demonstrated their ability to score in their previous matches, suggesting that they will do the same in this encounter.

An interesting value bet to consider would be “Over 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 2.18. Finally, the most probable exact score would be a 2-1 win in favor of Spain. It should be noted that all these elements are predictions based on statistics and should be evaluated considering the evolution of both teams, possible formation changes, injuries, and match-day conditions. Sports betting remains an uncertain environment, and success is never guaranteed.