Tipps Spezia Palermo Serie B 01/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the provided statistics, the prediction for the match would be: Draw or Palermo wins the match.

1. Palermo has a higher offensive potential than Spezia: on average, Palermo scores 1.4 goals per away match compared to Spezia’s 0.6 goals per home match. This indicates that Palermo has a stronger attack which could lead to a win or a draw.

2. The previous results of both teams show a tendency towards a draw or a Palermo win: Palermo has managed to secure a draw or a win in 60% of its recent away matches, while Spezia has only succeeded in winning 40% of its recent home matches.

3. Looking at the defensive statistics, Palermo appears to have a less weak defense compared to Spezia, with a defensive potential of 64% against 29% for Spezia. This means that Palermo is less likely to concede goals, thus increasing the chances of a draw or a win for Palermo.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Spezia’s offensive potential is low (21%) and Palermo’s is average (50%), which reduces the likelihood of seeing a high number of goals during the match.
2. The history of Spezia’s home matches and Palermo’s away matches shows an average of fewer than 2.5 goals per game, indicating a tendency towards low scores.
3. Statistics indicate a high probability (100%) of both teams not scoring, which is consistent with the idea of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The analysis of Spezia’s recent home matches and Palermo’s away matches shows that both teams regularly score goals, increasing the probability of both teams to score in this match.
2. Palermo has an offensive potential of 50%, indicating a capability to score at least one goal during the match, while Spezia has a defensive potential of 29%, suggesting chances of conceding a goal.
3. Conversely, Spezia has an offensive potential of 21% and Palermo has a defensive potential of 64%. This indicates a likelihood of Spezia scoring a goal against Palermo.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw or Palermo wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Spezia 1-1 Palermo

1. Draw Statistics: Spezia has drawn in 20% of their home matches and Palermo has drawn in 40% of their away matches, making the option of a draw result seem plausible considering these statistics.

2. Goals Scored and Conceded Averages: Spezia averages 0.6 goals per match at home and Palermo averages 1.4 goals per match away, resulting in an average of 1 goal for each team based on their previous performances, equating to a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Head-to-Head History: Recent matches between the two teams have often seen scores hovering around one to two goals per team. This, combined with both teams having scored and conceded a similar number of goals in their recent matches, suggests a 1-1 scoreline is a reasonable possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Analysis Spezia: At home, Spezia has won 2 out of 5 matches and drawn once. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7.

Analysis Palermo: Away from home, Palermo has won 1 out of 5 matches and recorded 2 draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11.

Offensive performance: Spezia scores around 0.6 goals per match at home. Palermo has a higher score, with an average of 1.4 goals away.

Defensive performance: Spezia concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match, while Palermo concedes around 1.8 goals.

Possible outcomes: Unfortunately, no prediction regarding the match outcome can be made with this data.

Both teams to score – There is a 100% probability of this happening. Betting on a score under 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match also seems to be viable options.

Recent matches: Spezia’s recent matches have been close and competitive. For Palermo, away matches have generally seen plenty of goals from both sides.

The potential number of goals

Spezia is playing at home against Palermo. In their last 5 home matches, Spezia won twice and drew once. They scored 5 goals and conceded 7.
Palermo, in their last 5 away matches, won once and drew twice. They scored 9 goals but conceded 11.
Spezia shows a home offensive capability of 0.6 goals per match and an average defense of 0.8 goals per match. Palermo demonstrates a better away offense, scoring on average 1.4 goals and conceding 1.8 goals per match.
Unfortunately, the outcome probabilities for this match are unknown. However, the match is expected to have less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 100%.
Based on recent performances, Spezia seems to struggle at home, while Palermo has a weak defense on the road. A close match is anticipated.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, statistics from their previous matches, as well as key factors such as team form, the most enticing prediction for the Spezia vs Palermo match would be “Draw or Palermo win”. The statistics suggest a low-scoring match with less than 2.5 goals. Despite the clearly contrasting performances between the two teams, it is evident that both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring during the match, leading us to consider a final score of 1-1. However, surprises are always possible in the world of football, and it will be interesting to see how these predictions play out during the match. Ultimately, it is important to approach sports betting with caution and only wager what you are willing to lose.