Tipps Sporting CP Lille UEFA Champions League 17/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Sporting wins the match”

1. Sporting has a better home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Sporting has won 80% of the time and scored a total of 13 goals, significantly higher than Lille who has only won once and scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Sporting’s offensive and defensive strength is superior: On average per match, Sporting scores 3.8 goals and concedes only 0.4 goals, indicating a strong offense and solid defense. In comparison, Lille has an average of only 1.2 goals per match both in defense and attack.

3. Likely statistics give an advantage to Sporting: The probability of Sporting winning this match is 51.27%, significantly higher than Lille’s chance at 16.75%. Furthermore, there is an 83.25% probability that the match will end in a draw or a Sporting victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Sporting have a strong offensive potential at home, with an average of 3.8 goals per match, meaning they are capable of scoring a lot of goals, which could contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.
2. While Lille’s offensive potential away from home is lower, their defensive potential is also at 43%, indicating they concede an average of 1.2 goals per match. This could allow Sporting to score more goals.
3. The recent home matches of Sporting and away matches of Lille have shown a good number of games with over 2.5 goals. For example, 4 out of the last 5 home matches for Sporting had over 2.5 goals. Therefore, there is a trend supporting the prediction of over 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Sporting has a strong offensive performance, scoring an average of 3.8 goals per home match. Therefore, it is likely that they will score in the match against Lille.
2. Lille has shown some defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Facing Sporting’s strong offense, it is likely that Lille will concede at least one goal.
3. Lille’s recent away matches have seen a trend of both teams scoring. In fact, in 3 out of the last 5 away matches for Lille, both teams have scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Lille wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Sporting 3-1 Lille”

1. The recent home performances of Sporting have been impressive, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per match, which suggests a strong likelihood that they will score three goals in this match.

2. Lille’s recent away performances show an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match, supporting the idea that they could score a goal against Sporting while conceding three.

3. The given probabilities indicate a greater chance for Sporting to win the match (51.27%) and for more than 1.5 goals to be scored (78.68%), further supporting the prediction of a 3-1 scoreline in favor of Sporting.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sporting is in great form at home, with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. They stand out with a total of 13 goals scored, averaging 3.8 goals per game. Furthermore, their offensive potential is impressive at 136%.

On the other hand, Lille’s away record is different. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches with a total of 4 goals scored. Their offensive potential is lower at 43%.

The probability of Sporting winning this match is 51.27%, resulting in odds of 1.78. In contrast, the probability of Lille winning is lower at 16.75%, with odds at 4.65.

Given the data, there is potential for a high-scoring match. The probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is 78.68%. Additionally, both teams could score, with a probability of 52.79%.

Based on this information, it appears that Sporting has a higher chance of winning this match. Sporting’s offensive play could trouble Lille. However, the possibility of Lille surprising with a solid performance should not be ruled out.

The potential number of goals

Sporting has an impressive 80% home win rate. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 14 in their last 5 matches. They are an offensive team, scoring 3.8 goals per game, and have a solid defense, conceding only 0.4 goals.

On the other hand, Lille struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Their performances are average, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game.

Sporting has over 50% chances of winning the match, according to the probabilities. The probability of a draw or a Sporting win is also high, at 83.25%.

The outlook is less optimistic for Lille, with only a 16.75% chance of victory.

Statistics indicate a high probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals, with a 78.68% chance. The probability of both teams scoring is slightly over 50%.

In summary, Sporting has the upper hand in recent performances, especially at home. With their strong attack and defense, the prediction leans towards a Sporting win or a draw. Moreover, the likelihood of having more than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analysis of this prediction, a clear trend emerges giving a slight edge to Sporting. The statistics show that this team has a superior offensive and defensive performance compared to Lille, especially in home matches. Sporting’s potential to score many goals and solid defense makes them a favorite for this match.

However, it cannot be ruled out that Lille could surprise, despite their more moderate performances away from home. The possibility of a Lille win or a draw remains an interesting value bet, with a success probability of 48.73% and an attractive odds.

Regarding the number of goals in the match, Sporting’s offensive potential at home leans towards over 2.5 goals. And, given Lille’s defensive weaknesses, there is a good chance that both teams will score.

Ultimately, this match promises to be full of twists and turns, with a probability of an exact score of 3-1 in favor of Sporting. Whatever the final result, one thing is certain: this UEFA Champions League match will undoubtedly offer an engaging and intense spectacle for all football fans.