Tipps Sporting Gijon Espanyol Segunda División 09/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Gijon wins the match

1. Gijon’s home performance is superior to Espanyol’s away performance: Gijon wins 60% of its home matches with an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Espanyol doesn’t win any of its away matches with an average of 1 goal per game.

2. Espanyol Barcelona has drawn in all of its last 5 away matches, indicating a strong trend of not winning on the road.

3. The calculated probability for Gijon to win or for the match to be a draw is 67.57%, which is higher than the probability for Espanyol to win or for the match to be a draw (63.78%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The Espanyol Barcelona team has shown a weak goal-scoring performance in their last 5 away matches, with only 2 goals scored, averaging 0.4 goals per match, indicating a rather limited offensive potential.

2. Gijon, playing at home, manages to concede an average of only 0.8 goals per match, suggesting a rather solid defense that limits the opposing team’s goal-scoring opportunities.

3. Espanyol Barcelona’s away matches have recently tended to end with a 0-0 scoreline. This implies a lack of attacking threat from both sides, making it less likely for a total goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Espanyol Barcelona has a weak offensive potential away from home, scoring on average only 1 goal per game in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have only scored a total of 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Gijon has a strong home record, winning in 60% of cases and not losing in any of their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, they have a solid defense conceding on average only 0.8 goals per game at home.

3. The match prediction suggests a higher probability (54.59%) of both teams not scoring, with attractive odds of 1.80.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Gijon 1-1 Espanyol Barcelona

1. The last football match between Gijon and Espanyol Barcelona, which ended in a 1-1 draw, corresponds to the average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last five encounters. Indeed, Gijon has been scoring and conceding around 1.6 goals per match at home, compared to 1 goal scored and 0.2 goals conceded for Espanyol Barcelona away from home.

2. Espanyol Barcelona has drawn in all of its last five away matches, indicating a trend towards ending matches without a winner when the team plays away from home.

3. The likelihood of a draw (31.35%) or a Gijon win (36.22%) are quite close, meaning there is a high level of uncertainty regarding the match outcome. This uncertainty, combined with the fact that both teams have recently managed to score a goal, could result in a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 matches, Gijon has shown strong form at home with a 60% win rate. They are a team that scores a lot with a total of 9 goals, but they have also conceded 12 goals, which raises defensive concerns.

As for Espanyol Barcelona, their away statistics are significantly less impressive. They have not won a single game in their last 5 away matches, ending in a draw each time. They have only scored 2 goals and have also conceded 2 goals.

On average, Gijon scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 0.8, showcasing an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 29%. Espanyol Barcelona, on the other hand, scores an average of 1 goal and concedes only 0.2, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 7%.

The predictions slightly favor Gijon with a 36.22% probability of winning the match, compared to a 32.43% probability for Espanyol Barcelona. The draw stands at 31.35%.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of 65.41% that the match will have over 1.5 goals, while there is an almost certain probability of 96.76% that the match will have under 3.5 goals.

In summary, the numbers suggest a competitive match, with a slight advantage for Gijon at home. However, Gijon’s defensive weakness and Espanyol Barcelona’s lack of away wins could lead to a draw.

The potential number of goals

In the last few games, Gijon has shown promising offensive form with 9 goals scored, averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, they have conceded 12 goals, a statistic worth considering.

On the other hand, Espanyol Barcelona lacks offensive power with only 2 goals scored in 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game. Yet, their defense is solid, having only conceded 2 goals.

Gijon has a 36.22% chance of winning, while Espanyol Barcelona has a 32.43% probability. A draw is also possible (31.35% probability).

The probability of less than 1.5 goals in the match should be considered, especially given Espanyol’s low goal-scoring record. However, more than 1.5 goals have a higher probability (65.41%).

Based on history, Espanyol Barcelona has drawn all their recent away matches, while Gijon at home alternates between wins and losses.

The forecast thus points towards a balanced match with few goals. Espanyol’s defensive solidity could make it challenging for Gijon’s attack. A draw or a match with less than 2.5 goals could be considered.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of the past performances of Gijon and Espanyol Barcelona suggests a likely trend towards a draw, or at least a low-scoring match. Espanyol’s weak offensive play and the strong defense of both teams are key factors that support this prediction. However, the offensive potential shown by Gijon could be enough to give them a slight advantage in this encounter. Ultimately, a cautious approach would be to bet on a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Sports betting requires careful and well-informed analysis, and despite this rigorous analysis, it is important to remember that football match results can be unpredictable.