Tipps Sporting Kansas City Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer 30/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sporting KC wins the match.

1. Sporting KC has shown a significant home record in their last 5 matches, with a 60% probability of not losing (20% win + 40% draw), while Vancouver Whitecaps only have a 20% chance of winning away, suggesting Sporting KC is more likely to perform positively in this match.
2. Sporting KC has a better offensive performance compared to Vancouver Whitecaps, averaging 2 goals per home match, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps have only scored an average of 0.4 goals in their away matches. The offensive advantage is in favor of Sporting KC.
3. In purely numerical probabilities, the combined probability for a draw or a Sporting KC win is 68.46%, which is significantly higher than the probability for a Vancouver Whitecaps win or a draw at 53.69%. Thus, the probabilities strongly support the outcome of a draw or a Sporting KC win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Sporting KC has an average of 2 goals scored per home match, combined with their offensive potential of 71%, it is likely that the team will score multiple times in the match.
2. On the road, Vancouver Whitecaps have shown a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1.6 goals against and a defensive potential of 57%. These statistics suggest that Sporting KC should be able to score against Vancouver.
3. Sporting KC’s recent home matches have shown a trend towards high scores, with many games surpassing the 2.5 goals threshold. This indicates that Sporting KC’s home matches are generally lively and goal-filled.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Sporting KC has a high offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This highlights their strong ability to score when playing at home.
2. Vancouver Whitecaps concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game when playing away, indicating a relatively weak defense when they are on the road which increases the chances for Sporting KC to score.
3. The statistic “Both Teams to Score – 54.36% success probability” is a strong argument in itself. It shows that both teams have a higher probability of scoring in the match where the recent forms and trends of both teams have been taken into account.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Sporting KC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

1. The offensive potential of Sporting KC at home is significantly higher than that of Vancouver Whitecaps away. In fact, Sporting KC averages 2 goals per match at home compared to just 0.4 for Vancouver Whitecaps on the road. Therefore, they are more likely to score more goals.

2. In their last 5 home games, Sporting KC has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Vancouver Whitecaps have scored one goal, on average, in their last 5 away games. This confirms the possibility of Vancouver Whitecaps scoring at least one goal in this match.

3. In terms of odds, the most likely outcome is Sporting KC to win the match or a draw with a success probability of 68.46%. Furthermore, the option of more than 1.5 goals being scored in this match has a success probability of 73.15%. These statistics reinforce the exact score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Sporting KC.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sporting KC has a mixed record at home. Only 1 win in the last 5 matches. However, they often score with an average of 2 goals per game. Their defense is leaky, conceding 1.6 goals per match.

Vancouver Whitecaps, on the other hand, struggle away from home. Also with 1 win in 5 matches and a low score of 0.4 goals per game. Their defense is similar to Sporting KC, conceding 1.6 goals per match.

The probability of Sporting KC winning is 46.31%. A draw has a probability of 22.15%. Vancouver has a 31.54% chance of winning. A match with over 2.5 goals is more likely at 51.68%.

The match is likely to be lively, with both teams tending to score, with a probability of 54.36%.

I suggest, for example, the bet “Sporting KC to win or draw” with a success probability of 68.46%, or “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 73.15%.

The potential number of goals

Sporting KC has a strong offensive presence at home, with 13 goals in 5 matches, despite a defense that has allowed 16 goals. You can count on them to score, as they do so in 71% of their matches. However, they also concede goals 57% of the time.

On the other hand, Vancouver Whitecaps are not an offensive force on the road, with only 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. They maintain a defensive record of 57%, but only score in 14% of their matches.

Despite these statistics, the win probabilities are similar for both teams. Sporting KC is given a 46.31% chance of winning, compared to Vancouver’s 31.54%. A draw is less likely at 22.15%.

Over 2.5 goals in the match are expected with a success rate probability of 51.68%. Taking into account both teams’ history, there is a 54.36% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of betting, if you prefer caution, a bet on “under 4.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 87.92% and could be interesting despite odds of 1.19.

In summary, Sporting KC is a safe bet to score goals, but their uncertain defense leaves room for Vancouver. A match with goals from both sides seems very likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics and past performances, Sporting KC appears to have a slight advantage in the match against the Vancouver Whitecaps. It is more likely that Sporting KC will win the match or at least secure a draw. The data also suggests a high probability of a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. As for the value bet, despite the offensive trends of both teams, the combination of defensive trends could actually lead to a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, which could be an interesting betting option. The most likely exact score, based on the statistics, would be a 2-1 victory for Sporting KC.

But ultimately, while statistics and forecasts can help inform the decision, it’s important to remember that sports betting involves a degree of uncertainty and risk. Each match is a new opportunity, and even the apparent favorite on paper may not win. So, bet responsibly.