Tipps ST Johnstone Hibernian Premiership 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Hibernian wins the match”

1. Hibernian has a higher offensive potential (57%) than St. Johnstone (36%), indicating that they are more likely to score goals in the match.
2. The probability percentage of Hibernian winning the match is significantly higher (50.27%) compared to St. Johnstone’s (21.31%), suggesting that the statistics strongly favor Hibernian for the victory.
3. St. Johnstone’s past performances at home have been poor, with no wins in their last 5 matches and an average of goals conceded per match higher (1.8) than their average goals scored per match (1). In contrast, Hibernian has managed to score more goals on average in their away games (1.6).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Over their respective last 5 matches, both St. Johnstone and Hibernian have shown a low tendency to win (0% win rate for each). This suggests that these teams might struggle to score many goals during the match.

2. Analyzing their recent home and away matches, St. Johnstone and Hibernian both have an average goals scored per match of less than 2. Additionally, their defenses seem strong (St. Johnstone with a defensive potential of 64% and Hibernian with 57%). These factors suggest a low overall volume of goals scored per match.

3. Previous statistics for both teams indicate a majority of matches with a total score not exceeding 2.5 goals. For instance, looking at St. Johnstone’s last five home matches, four had under 2.5 goals. The same trend is seen in Hibernian’s away matches, where four out of the last five matches also had under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown offensive and defensive potential in their recent performances. St. Johnstone scores an average of 1 goal per home match and concedes an average of 1.8 goals, while Hibernian scores an average of 1.6 goals away and also concedes 1.6 goals. This suggests that it is likely both teams will score.

2. The recent matches of both teams indicate a history of goals scored and conceded. In their last five home games, St. Johnstone scored 2 goals and conceded 3. Similarly, in their last five away games, Hibernian scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Both teams scoring is a scenario that has occurred frequently in their recent matches.

3. The odds offered by bookmakers also support the hypothesis that both teams will score. There is a 59.56% probability of both teams scoring, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (40.44%). Bookmakers consider it more likely that both teams will score, providing additional support for this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

St. Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian

1. The pre-recent statistics show a trend of draws for both teams, with St. Johnstone drawing in 80% of their last 5 home matches, while Hibernian also drew in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
2. The average goals scored per match by both teams is close to 1, with St. Johnstone averaging 1 goal per home match and Hibernian averaging 1.6 goals per away match, suggesting the score could be around 1-1.
3. Both teams have relatively high probabilities of scoring, with a success probability of 59.56%, indicating a good chance that both teams could score during the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

St. Johnstone has drawn 80% of their recent home matches, with an average of 1 goal scored per game. Concerningly, they concede an average of 1.8 goals. They are offensively weak at 36% and defensively worrying at 64%. Hibernian also has an 80% draw rate away from home, scoring and conceding 1.6 goals per game. They are more balanced, with 57% in both offensive and defensive performance.

Probabilities suggest a more likely victory for Hibernian at 50.27% compared to a draw at 28.42% and St. Johnstone at 21.31%.

The probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 59.56%, in line with their recent offensive performances. The match is expected to have under 3.5 goals with a probability of 79.78%.

Historically, St. Johnstone has struggled at home: losing to Kilmarnock, Dundee, Rangers, and Hearts, and drawing against Livingston. Hibernian, on the other hand, has been involved in draws, with close matches against Motherwell, Rangers, Ross County, Hearts, and Aberdeen.

In conclusion, the match seems likely to be tight, with the possibility of a low-scoring game and both teams scoring. Caution is advised on the prediction, with a draw or a narrow Hibernian victory appearing more probable.

The potential number of goals

St. Johnstone at home remains weak, winning 0% and drawing 80% of their matches. Hibernian away, on the other hand, is similar, with 0% wins and 80% draws.

In terms of goals, St. Johnstone has scored 2 goals and conceded 3 in 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game. Hibernian has scored 7 goals but conceded 9, averaging 1.4 goals per game.

St. Johnstone has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%. Hibernian has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 57%.

In terms of probabilities, there is a 50.27% chance that Hibernian will win (1.95). A draw stands at 28.42% (3.60), while St. Johnstone winning is unlikely at 21.31% (3.75).

As for the number of goals, the probability of over 1.5 goals is high at 75.96% (1.33), with over 2.5 goals likely at 53.01% (2.00).

Finally, both teams scoring is fairly likely at 59.56% (1.83).

Conclusion: A close match is anticipated, with Hibernian having a slight statistical advantage. A draw or Hibernian winning with over 1.5 goals seem like reasonable options.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the recent analyses and statistics presented, the match between St. Johnstone and Hibernian looks set to be a closely contested encounter. With both teams struggling to assert themselves on the field, the most likely outcome would be a draw or a narrow win for Hibernian. Additionally, a prediction of under 2.5 goals seems justified given their recent lack of offensive output.

It is also probable that both teams will score, despite their poor form, as they have both shown an ability to find the back of the net on multiple occasions. Therefore, a 1-1 scoreline could very well be a possibility to consider.

However, these are predictions based on trends and statistics, nothing is certain in the world of football. So whether you choose to follow these recommendations or not, always remember that sports betting remains a game of chance. Play responsibly.