Tipps ST Mirren Dundee Utd Premiership 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or St. Mirren wins the match.

1. St. Mirren’s home statistics are positive, with a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate, showing that they have a satisfactory ability to prevent their opponents from winning on their own turf.
2. St. Mirren’s defensive potential at home is superior to that of Dundee Utd away, with a 71% defense rate compared to 43%, which could make it difficult for Dundee to score goals.
3. The success probabilities heavily favor a draw or a St. Mirren win, with a 68.72% chance compared to only 31.28% for a Dundee Utd win, implying that the odds strongly favor St. Mirren to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. St. Mirren’s home performance over their last 5 matches shows a trend towards low-scoring games with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and recent scores such as 2-1, 2-2, and 0-3, suggesting that it is less likely for there to be over 2.5 goals in the match.
2. In Dundee Utd’s last 5 away matches, the team has also shown a tendency towards lower scores with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Additionally, with a defensive performance of 43%, the team is more likely to limit the number of goals in the match.
3. While both teams have an offensive potential of 50%, it is important to note that the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match is assessed at 1.68, which is significantly higher than the probability of over 2.5 goals at 2.15. This gap suggests that bettors are expecting a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown good offensive performance: St. Mirren has scored 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Dundee Utd has scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches. This trend highlights their ability to score goals in matches.

2. The defensive potential of both teams is lower than their offensive potential: In their last 5 home matches, St. Mirren has conceded an average of 2 goals per game, while Dundee Utd has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game away. This implies that it is likely that both teams will concede at least one goal in the match.

3. The recent match history shows that both teams have often scored in their encounters. For example, the scoreline of St. Mirren’s last two home matches was 2 – 1 and 2 – 2, while Dundee Utd’s last two away matches saw scores of 3 – 3 and 2 – 1. These past results suggest that it is likely that both teams will score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Dundee United wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

St. Mirren 1-1 Dundee Utd

1. Both teams have almost similar offensive and defensive potential: St. Mirren is capable of scoring 1.4 goals per game on average and concedes 2 goals, while Dundee Utd also scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per game. This could result in a balanced game where both teams are likely to score.

2. The probability percentage indicating a draw is 33.33%, a figure quite close to those predicting a win for either team. This suggests that the match could very well end in a draw.

3. The recent match history of both teams shows a trend towards draws, specifically with 1-1 scores. St. Mirren drew 1-1 against Brann and Dundee Utd also drew 1-1 against Ross County.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

St. Mirren is average at home. They score and concede a lot (8 goals for, 8 goals against). Their offensive and defensive potential is 50% and 71% respectively. Meanwhile, Dundee Utd is relatively strong away from home, scoring and conceding 11 and 13 goals respectively. Their attack and defense are at 50% and 43%.

The probabilities indicate a close game. St. Mirren has a 35.38% chance of winning, the probability of a draw is 33.33%, and Dundee Utd has a 31.28% chance of winning.

If you are betting on goals, there is a 68.72% chance of more than 1.5 goals and 33.85% for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams to score is at 47.69%.

Based on past performances, St. Mirren has been strong against teams like Heart Of Midlothian and Hibernian. Dundee Utd struggled against Motherwell but fared well against Heart Of Midlothian.

In summary, this could be a balanced match with goal-scoring opportunities. But considering their recent performances, a draw could be possible. Make your decisions accordingly.

The potential number of goals

St. Mirren is among the strong home teams, with a 40% win rate. They have scored 8 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. However, they have also conceded 8 goals, raising questions about their defense.

On the other hand, Dundee Utd has been quite consistent away from home with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 11 goals in 5 matches, averaging over 2 goals per game. Their defense, however, is leaky with 13 goals conceded.

For a prediction, St. Mirren has a 35.38% chance of winning with odds of 2.45. A draw has a 33.33% probability with odds of 3.20. Dundee Utd has a 31.28% chance with odds of 2.95.

Regarding goal bets, under 1.5 goals are at odds of 3.00, while over 1.5 goals have a 68.72% probability with odds of 1.38. Under 2.5 goals are at 1.68, and over 2.5 goals have a 33.85% probability with odds of 2.15.

For a safer bet, under 3.5 goals in the match has a very high probability of 87.69% with odds of 1.25. If you want to take more risks, over 3.5 goals is at 4.00.

There’s nearly a 50/50 chance that both teams will score, with odds of 1.87 for ‘yes’ and 1.90 for ‘no’.

Finally, considering the teams’ recent matches and their defensive and offensive parameters can help make a more accurate prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Premiership match between St. Mirren and Dundee Utd potentially holds surprises. On one hand, St. Mirren has the advantage of playing at home and showing a satisfactory defensive capability. However, Dundee Utd demonstrates a significant away form consistency. The match is expected to be balanced despite favorable probabilities for St. Mirren.

Regarding goals, statistics indicate a potentially low-scoring match, with an average of less than 2.5 goals expected. Yet, the history of both teams suggests the possibility of both teams scoring.

Furthermore, the possibility of a draw or a win for Dundee Utd emerges as an interesting value bet to consider. Finally, the predicted exact score is a 1-1 draw, although this remains the most difficult result to forecast.

In general, sports betting remains a challenging prediction exercise, involving a precise assessment of the respective strengths and weaknesses of the teams and their current form. Always remember to bet responsibly.