Tipps ST Mirren Heart Of Midlothian Premiership 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Heart Of Midlothian wins the match.”

1. Probability of victory: Statistics show that Heart Of Midlothian has a success probability of 45.26% to win the match, which is significantly higher than that of St. Mirren (27.37%).

2. Previous match trend: The last 5 away matches of Heart Of Midlothian show that they have lost but managed to score against strong teams, demonstrating their potential to turn things around.

3. Defensive performance: Heart Of Midlothian has a defensive potential of 57%, higher than St. Mirren’s home offensive potential of 36%. This means that Heart Of Midlothian has good chances of containing St. Mirren’s attack and converting their own opportunities into goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Poor offensive performance of Heart Of Midlothian away from home: In their last 5 away games, they have only scored 2 goals, averaging 0.2 goals per match.
2. St Mirren’s home performances do not guarantee many goals: In their last 5 home games, they have scored 10 goals, averaging only 2 goals per match.
3. Head-to-head history: The recent matches between Heart Of Midlothian away and St. Mirren at home have often resulted in a total of less than 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The recent away form of Heart Of Midlothian is very poor. They have only scored 2 goals in their last 5 matches, showing that they struggle to find the back of the net when playing away.
2. St. Mirren’s defense at home is relatively strong. With 11 goals conceded in 5 matches, they demonstrate some defensive solidity, especially when comparing these stats to the low number of goals scored by Heart Of Midlothian away.
3. The probability of both teams not scoring is 47.89%, which is not negligible. Furthermore, the odds for this option are 2.05, representing a good risk-reward ratio.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

St. Mirren wins the match

Bet on the exact result

St. Mirren 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian

1. St. Mirren has a better home performance compared to Heart Of Midlothian’s away performance. St. Mirren has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Heart Of Midlothian has not won any of their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive statistics of the two teams favor St. Mirren. This team has scored an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 home matches, while Heart Of Midlothian has scored an average of 0.2 goals in their last 5 away matches. This shows St. Mirren’s ability to score but also Heart Of Midlothian’s vulnerability to conceding goals when playing away.

3. St. Mirren’s recent home performances show an ability to score more than 2 goals, as seen in matches against Hibernian and Valur Reykjavik. Given Heart Of Midlothian’s poor performances in away matches, it is likely that St. Mirren could score at least 2 goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

St. Mirren have shown strong performances at home, with victories in 40% of their recent matches. However, their defense concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game. On the other hand, Heart Of Midlothian struggle on the road, with no wins or draws and an average of 0.2 goals scored per match. Their defense, however, is slightly more solid, conceding 1.6 goals per game. The odds seem to favor Midlothian, despite their poor away performance.

St. Mirren have shown an ability to score at home, with an offensive potential of 36%. Both teams to score has a 52.11% chance. This could indicate a high-scoring performance.

Considering the performance of these teams, a thoughtful bet could be on under 3.5 goals in the match with an 82.11% probability. Recent performances suggest a tight match, with St. Mirren potentially having the advantage at home.

The potential number of goals

St. Mirren has a variable home performance, winning 40% of the time. However, they have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Their defense concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Heart Of Midlothian struggles away from home, having not won or drawn in their last 5 matches. They have only scored 2 goals but also conceded 5 goals. Their offensive capability stands at 7% while the defense is at 57%.

The predictions give St. Mirren a 27.37% chance of winning and 45.26% for Heart Of Midlothian. However, the probability for a draw or a St. Mirren victory is 54.74%.

Regarding goals, there is a 75.79% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals but only a 45.79% chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals. It’s worth noting that both teams have a 52.11% chance of scoring.

In summary, St. Mirren has a home advantage while Heart Of Midlothian struggles away. But with weak defensive performances, we could see some goals in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Premiership match between St. Mirren and Heart Of Midlothian could very well tilt in favor of the home team. Despite their lower win percentage, St. Mirren has displayed a stronger performance at home and against a struggling Heart Of Midlothian away side, they might have the upper hand. However, it is also worth noting that Heart of Midlothian has a higher probability of winning according to statistics, despite their recent poor performance on the road.

On the other hand, when it comes to betting on the total goals, the statistics suggest a total of less than 2.5 goals. The low offensive output from both teams recently justifies this prediction. The idea of both teams not scoring also seems to be a viable option given their recent offensive performance.

That being said, while it is not easy to predict with absolute certainty the outcome of a football match, reviewing statistics, team form, and recent history provides good insight for making the best bet. In any case, it is important to bet responsibly and within one’s means.