Tipps Stade Brestois 29 Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League 19/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Brest wins the match.

1. Home performance history: Brest has shown a strong performance at home in their last 5 matches with a 40% win rate, even though the team has recorded draws at 40%, its ability to not lose on its turf is a strong indicator of its potential to win this match.

2. Offensive and defensive potential comparison: Statistics show that Brest has a higher defensive potential compared to Sturm Graz (86% vs. 36%). This means that Brest is more likely to withstand the attacks of the opposing team. Additionally, even though the offensive potential is lower than that of Sturm Graz (57% vs. 107%), the Brest team tends to be more effective at home (1.6 goals scored per home match vs. 3 goals scored on average per match by Sturm Graz away).

3. Success probabilities: Forecasts give Brest a 58.08% chance of winning the match. This high success rate, reinforced by an 82.83% success rate for the “Draw or Brest wins the match” bet, strongly supports the prediction that Brest will win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The goal statistics of goals scored and conceded by Brest and Sturm Graz in their last 5 matches show a significant offensive capability. Brest has scored 8 goals and conceded 9, while Sturm Graz has scored 15 goals and conceded 16.

2. The average goals per match for Brest and Sturm Graz are 1.6 and 3 respectively. For Sturm Graz, this average demonstrates a strong ability to score goals when playing away.

3. The probability of the prediction ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ is 49.49%. This probability, although slightly less than 50%, is supported by the offensive statistics of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown notable attacking strength in their recent matches, with Brest averaging 1.6 goals per game and Sturm Graz averaging 3 goals per game. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring in the match.

2. The defense of both teams appears to be weak, as shown by the number of goals they have conceded in their recent matches. Brest concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game while Sturm Graz concedes an average of 1 goal per game. This suggests that neither team is strong enough defensively to prevent the other from scoring.

3. Recent match historical data shows that both teams have scored in several of their recent matches. For example, most of Brest’s recent home matches have seen both teams score, as have several of Sturm Graz’s away matches. These past trends could continue in the next match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sturm Graz wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Brest 2-3 Sturm Graz

1. Recent Performance: Sturm Graz’s recent performance away from home has been impressive, winning 80% of their matches. They have also scored a significant number of goals, averaging 3 goals per match. These strong offensive performances could lead to a high number of goals scored against Brest.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Statistics reveal Sturm Graz has an offensive potential of 107% and a defensive potential of 36%, much higher than Brest’s. This indicates that Sturm Graz is more likely to score a large number of goals and concede fewer goals, contributing to the possibility of a high score.

3. Score History: The previous match scores of both teams show a tendency towards high scores. Sturm Graz notably scored 6 goals against Weiz recently. Similarly, Brest has also had high-scoring matches with recent games like Brest 4 – 0 Saint Etienne and Brest 1 – 5 Marseille OM. This provides additional evidence to support a prediction of a high score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Brest has shown a solid performance at home, with wins in 40% of cases and draws in 40% of cases. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Their home offensive efficiency is at 57% while their defense is weak at 86%.

Sturm Graz, when playing away, has very good results with a win rate of 80%. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 16, averaging 3 goals per match. Their attacking efficiency is at 107% and their defensive solidity is at 36%.

As for the betting odds: Brest to win has a probability of 58.08% with odds of 1.85. A draw is predicted at 24.75% with odds of 3.75, and Sturm Graz to win has a probability of 17.17% with odds of 4.40. The probability of Brest winning or drawing is set at 82.83% with odds of 1.23.

Regarding the number of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have a success probability of 73.74% with odds of 1.33, and over 2.5 goals have a probability of 49.49% with odds of 1.98.

Both teams to score has a probability of 50% with odds of 1.85.

In conclusion, Brest has a slight edge, mainly due to their home efficiency. The possibility of a high-scoring match should also be considered with over 1.5 goals in the match having a 73.74% probability and both teams to score at 50%.

The potential number of goals

Quick analysis: Brest has a mixed performance at home, while Sturm Graz seems very comfortable away. However, both teams can concede goals.

Brest has a home advantage with a 40% win and draw rate. However, they have conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8).

Sturm Graz dominates away with an 80% win probability. Despite this, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (16).

Brest’s offensive potential is at 57% while their defensive potential is higher at 86%. Sturm Graz, on the other hand, has a massive offensive potential of 107% and a modest defensive potential of 36%.

The probability of Brest winning is 58.08%. The chances of a draw are 24.75% while Sturm Graz’s victory is less likely at 17.17%.

The odds also suggest a high probability of 73.74% of having over 1.5 goals. This could hint at a high-scoring game, with Sturm Graz being offensive.

However, in Brest’s recent home matches, they have shown both solid defense and weak resistance. Sturm Graz has displayed a strong performance away except against Rapid Vienna.

Verdict: An unpredictable match but one that could see a good number of goals from both sides. The final score will likely be determined by who has the better defensive day.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match looks to be intense and potentially high-scoring. The past performances of Brest and Sturm Graz show a significant offensive potential for both teams. It is important to note the home advantage for Brest, as well as the impressive away performance demonstrated by Sturm Graz. Safe bets to consider include “Brest to win the match” and “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” both backed by solid statistics. For value bets, the bet “Sturm Graz to win the match” could offer attractive odds, although its likelihood of success is lower. Additionally, a bet on the exact score could be risky but provides an enticing reward. In the end, caution is advised, and it is crucial for each bettor to rely on their own analysis beyond these past-based predictions.