Tipps Stal Mielec Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Stal Mielec wins the match.

1. In their last 5 home matches, Stal Mielec has won or drawn in 80% of cases. This statistic indicates a certain dominance or stability when they play at home.

2. Motor Lublin, in their last 5 away matches, has only won in 40% of cases and drawn also in 40% of cases, indicating a certain difficulty in winning when they play away.

3. By analyzing the offensive and defensive potential of the two teams, Stal Mielec has a better defensive potential of 50% compared to 36% for Motor Lublin. These factors highlight Stal Mielec’s ability to withstand Motor Lublin’s attacks and therefore reinforce the hypothesis of a draw or a victory for Stal Mielec.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The data shows that both teams have a relatively low average of goals scored per match at home and away respectively. Stal Mielec scores an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, while Motor Lublin scores 1 goal per match on average away. Their combined averages are below 2.5 goals per match.

2. Both teams have a relatively solid defense with a 50% defensive potential for Stal Mielec at home and 36% for Motor Lublin away. This could lead to a match where both teams are more focused on defense, thus reducing the total number of goals scored.

3. The match history shows generally low scores for both teams. Additionally, the probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is available at odds of 1.72, suggesting that the market believes this to be a likely outcome.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive performance: It has been shown that both teams, Stal Mielec and Motor Lublin, have a strong defensive performance, conceding on average 1.4 and 1 goals per match respectively in their last 5 matches. This suggests that it is likely that the teams will not concede goals to the opponent during the match.

2. Offensive performance: At home, Stal Mielec has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, and away, Motor Lublin has scored an average of 1 goal per match in their last 5 matches. This indicates a low offensive potential from both teams, which could reduce the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

3. Head-to-head history: In the last five home matches of Stal Mielec, two ended with neither team scoring. Similarly, two out of the last five away matches of Motor Lublin also ended with no team scoring. This suggests that in their recent performances, it is common for these teams to finish a match without scoring or conceding a goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Stal Mielec 1-1 Motor Lublin is the correct translation into English.

1. The statistics from the latest matches show that Stal Mielec and Motor Lublin have a similar record in terms of wins and draws (40% each), suggesting a potentially equivalent level of play between these two teams. Furthermore, the ratio of goals scored and conceded in their recent matches is very close, confirming a similar degree of competitiveness.

2. The data indicates an average of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams around 1: Stal Mielec has an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and Motor Lublin 1 goal scored per match. It is therefore plausible to predict a score of 1-1, considering their average offensive performance and also their defensive performance.

3. The odds offered for different match outcomes indicate an almost equal chance for all three possible results (Stal Mielec win, Motor Lublin win, or draw). With the draw having a probability of 31.44%, predicting a score of 1-1 seems reasonable. Additionally, the projection of “under 2.5 goals in the match” is supported by odds of 1.72, also suggesting a low-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Stal Mielec, playing at home, shows balance with a 40% win and draw rate. The scores are even, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their offensive potential is limited at 21%, while their defense is at a level of 50%. The probability of a win is 36.08% at odds of 2.45.

Motor Lublin, playing away, has the same win/draw ratio (40%). While they have scored 7 goals, they have also conceded 8. Their offensive impact is at 36% with equivalent defensive potential. The odds for their win are 2.80 with a probability of 32.47%.

The probabilities suggest a low-scoring match with a 67.01% chance for over 1.5 goals at 1.33 and a high probability of under 3.5 goals (85.57% at 1.25). In fact, there is only a 46.91% chance of both teams scoring at 1.80.

Overall, Stal Mielec seems to have a slight advantage at home, but the match is expected to be balanced. A low number of goals is expected, with a slight probability of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Translate directly to English:

In their last 5 matches, Stal Mielec and Motor Lublin have similar results, with 40% wins and 40% draws each. Stal Mielec’s home matches have seen 8 goals for and 8 goals against, while Motor Lublin’s away matches have had 7 goals for and 8 goals against.

Offensively, Stal Mielec averages 0.6 goals per match at home, while Motor Lublin averages 1 goal away. The offensive potential is 21% for Stal Mielec and 36% for Motor Lublin.

Defensively, Stal Mielec concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match, and Motor Lublin concedes 1 goal away. The defensive potential is 50% for Stal Mielec and 36% for Motor Lublin.

According to the probabilities, Stal Mielec has a 36.08% chance of winning, compared to 32.47% for Motor Lublin. The draw stands at 31.44%. Betting on a draw or a Stal Mielec win has a 67.53% chance of success, compared to 63.92% for a draw or a Motor Lublin win.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 67.01% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals, and 37.63% for more than 2.5 goals. Predicting fewer than 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 85.57%. Both teams have a 46.91% chance of scoring.

In conclusion, this match appears fairly balanced, with a slight preference for a Stal Mielec win or a draw. An average total of around 2 goals seems likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics and probabilities presented, it appears that the match between Stal Mielec and Motor Lublin should be very evenly matched, with a slight advantage in favor of Stal Mielec due to their home performance. However, the outcome of the match could also result in a draw, given the relatively equivalent performance of these two teams in terms of offensive and defensive potential.

As for the number of goals, the data suggests a low-scoring match. On average, fewer than 3 goals are expected to be scored. The odds also suggest a high probability that at least 2 goals will be scored during the game.

For bettors, the “Stal Mielec to win or draw” bet could be worth exploring, as well as the odds for under 2.5 goals in the match. The potential for a “value bet” could lie in the bet for a draw, due to the frequency of draws recently noted for these teams.

However, it is important to emphasize that sports betting carries risks and that, no matter how much research and analysis are put forward, they largely remain a matter of luck. Betting is suitable for those seeking excitement in the game and who accept that the outcome could just as easily be a loss.