Tipps Stal Mielec Pogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa 17/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Pogon Szczecin wins the match

1. Pogon Szczecin has a higher probability of winning (57.04%) compared to Stal Mielec (18.52%).
2. Even though Pogon Szczecin’s past performance away from home is not impressive with 0% wins, they have managed to draw in 60% of cases, showing that they have some resilience on the road.
3. Defensively, Pogon Szczecin appears stronger, conceding on average fewer goals (1.6) than Stal Mielec at home (2.2). This could mean that Pogon Szczecin may be able to effectively contain Stal Mielec’s attacks and have the opportunity to score goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams show a potential to score and concede goals. Stal Mielec averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per home match, while Pogon Szczecin averages 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per away match. These combined averages exceed 2.5 goals per match.

2. There is a high probability (67.41%) that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, according to the odds offered. This figure indicates a clear and fairly strong trend towards a high-scoring match.

3. In their respective recent matches, both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games. At Stal Mielec, 3 out of the last 5 home matches have seen more than 2.5 goals, while at Pogon Szczecin, 2 out of the last 5 away matches have seen more than 2.5 goals. These trends suggest that this match could also see a total number of goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of both teams is sufficiently high with a 50% scoring rate for Stal Mielec at home and 36% for Pogon Szczecin away. Both teams therefore have significant chances of scoring.

2. Recent statistics for both teams also show that they regularly concede goals. Stal Mielec averages 2.2 goals per home match and Pogon Szczecin, 1.6 goals per away match.

3. Based on the recent home matches of Stal Mielec and away matches of Pogon Szczecin, both teams have shown a tendency to score goals, making it likely that each team will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Stal Mielec 1-1 Pogon Szczecin

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Stal Mielec has scored and conceded an average of 1.4 and 2.2 goals per match, respectively, indicating an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive vulnerability of 79%. This suggests that the team’s performance is fairly balanced at home, making a 1-1 scoreline plausible.

2. Pogon Szczecin has drawn in 60% of their recent away matches, demonstrating the team’s ability to hold their own against opponents on the road and potentially secure a draw against Stal Mielec.

3. Betting probabilities suggest a higher likelihood of the match ending in a draw or a victory for Pogon Szczecin (81.48%), as well as a strong chance of both teams scoring (62.22%). These factors point towards a drawn match with both teams scoring as a probable scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Stal Mielec has won 40% of its home matches and, with 1.4 goals per match, its attack is strong. However, its defense is average, conceding 2.2 goals per match.

Pogon Szczecin, on the other hand, has no victories away from home. Their matches often end in a draw (60%) and they score an average of one goal per match with a slightly unstable defense (1.6 goals conceded per match).

Previous matches show mixed form for both teams: Stal Mielec with two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Pogon Szczecin has collected four draws and one loss.

On paper, Pogon Szczecin has a 57.04% chance of winning, but considering recent performances, a draw could be a safer bet with a 24.44% chance of success.

The match is likely to have a low score with a 60.74% chance of fewer than 3.5 goals, suggesting a tight encounter.

Both teams could score in the match with a success probability of 62.22%.

The analysis suggests that this match promises to be tight and potentially end in a draw or with fewer than 3.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Stal Mielec, in their last 5 home matches, have shown a mixed performance. They win 40% of the time, draw 20%. With 7 goals scored and 8 conceded, they display an offensive power of 50% and defensive resilience of 79%.

As for Pogon Szczecin, it seems that victories are eluding them in their recent away matches. No wins, but a notable 60% draw rate. Their 6 goals scored and 7 conceded reflect an offensive capability of 36% and defensive solidity of 57%.

Let’s look at the odds. Stal Mielec has a 18.52% chance of winning. A draw is more likely at 24.44%. Pogon Szczecin appears to have the advantage with a 57.04% chance of winning.

Goals seem to be where the action could be, with a 67.41% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. There is also a 62.22% chance of both teams scoring.

From reviewing past matches, Stal Mielec has shown a variety of results at home, while Pogon Szczecin has struggled to secure victories away.

In conclusion, the football match between Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin could be a matter of conceding goals, with Pogon Szczecin showing a slight superiority in terms of winning probabilities.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin promises to be exciting with several interesting possibilities for bettors. The 1×2 prediction suggests an advantage for Pogon Szczecin, but do not underestimate the possibility of a draw. Statistics also indicate a high-scoring match, with a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals, as well as a high chance of both teams scoring.

The value bet could lie in a draw, considering Pogon Szczecin’s ability to draw away games and the home factor for Stal Mielec. Betting on the exact score of 1-1 could offer a substantial payout, although it remains a risky bet.

In summary, before placing your bets, carefully consider the recent performances of both teams, the strength of their defense, and their offensive potential. Stay cautious, and remember, football is inherently unpredictable, and the most important thing is to enjoy the game.