Tipps Stjarnan IA Akranes Premier 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Stjarnan wins the match

1. Stjarnan has a strong home performance with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, while IA Akranes has a weaker away performance with only a 20% win rate.
2. Stjarnan has a higher offensive potential and a better defense at home compared to IA Akranes away. That is, Stjarnan scores an average of 1.8 goals per match and concedes only 0.6 goals, against 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded for IA Akranes.
3. According to the betting odds, the most likely prediction for this match is a Stjarnan win, with a success probability of 55% compared to 17.5% for an IA Akranes win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Stjarnan has a strong offensive tendency, averaging 1.8 goals scored per home match, combined with IA Akranes’ weak defensive performance of conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match, significantly increasing the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. Recent home match statistics for Stjarnan show that they have scored 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. Additionally, IA Akranes has had matches with 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating a high probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.
3. The odds given for betting strongly suggest a high-intensity match with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals. Bookmakers typically set odds based on solid statistical and probabilistic analyses. Therefore, the odds of 1.40 for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” reinforce this assessment.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show both a strong offensive and defensive capability of the Stjarnan team, which has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded only 0.6 goals. This not only suggests the likelihood of Stjarnan scoring but also the possibility of them conceding a goal.

2. The away performances of IA Akranes are also interesting, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.8 goals conceded. This shows that even though they struggle more away from home, they still have the ability to score goals.

3. The odds offered support this argument, with a 70% probability of both teams scoring. This is a strong indication that bookmakers also expect both teams to score at some point during this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Stjarnan 2-1 IA Akranes

1. Stjarnan’s home performance is significantly superior to that of IA Akranes away, with a win rate of 80% against only 20%. Additionally, Stjarnan averages more goals scored (1.8 goals per match) compared to IA Akranes (1.2 goals per match).

2. Statistics also show that Stjarnan has better offensive (64%) and defensive (21%) potential at home compared to IA Akranes away (43% offensive and 64% defensive). Combined with the fact that Stjarnan has won their last three home matches by at least two goals, this reinforces the likelihood of them winning this match.

3. Betting odds indicate a higher likelihood of success for Stjarnan to win the match (55%) compared to IA Akranes (17.5%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high (70%), further supporting the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Stjarnan.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Stjarnan is victorious at home, winning 80% of its last matches and scoring 9 goals. On the other hand, IA Akranes struggles away from home, with a 20% win rate and 5 goals scored. Stjarnan’s offense is strong at 64% while IA Akranes struggles at 43%. Defensively, Stjarnan is more solid at 21% compared to IA Akranes at 64%.

According to the probabilities, Stjarnan has a 55% chance of winning, combined with an 80% home win rate, making a bet on their victory potentially lucrative. A draw is less likely, reducing IA Akranes’ chances.

It is likely to see more than 1.5 goals in this match, given the percentage of 92.5%. Stjarnan’s offensive potential could indeed ensure this scenario.

The recent results of both teams confirm these trends: Stjarnan has been on a winning streak while IA Akranes has faced defeats away from home.

In conclusion, it would seem prudent to bet on a victory for Stjarnan with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Stjarnan is a strong team at home. They win 80% of their matches and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, indicating their defense could be improved.

IA Akranes does not perform well away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches with 5 goals scored. Their defense is also weak, having conceded 6 goals.

Looking at the average goals, Stjarnan scores 1.8 goals per home match and concedes 0.6. They have an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 21%. IA Akranes, on the other hand, scores 1.2 goals away from home and concedes 1.8, with offensive and defensive potentials of 43% and 64% respectively.

Taking all these factors into account, Stjarnan has a higher probability of winning the match (55%), with odds of 1.95. The probability of a draw is 27.5% (odds of 3.75) and IA Akranes has a 17.5% probability of winning the match (odds of 3.20).

It is likely that this match will see more than 1.5 goals (92.5% probability, odds of 1.12), and it is also possible to see more than 2.5 goals (65% probability, odds of 1.40).

Both teams could score during the match, with a probability of 70%, and odds of 1.35.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistical and probabilistic analysis, the match between Stjarnan and IA Akranes seems to lean in favor of Stjarnan especially if they are playing at home. The past performances, current form, defensive and offensive potential of both teams all point towards a probable victory for Stjarnan. The likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored during the match is also quite high, as well as the chance of both teams scoring during the match.

Regarding an interesting value bet, less than 3.5 goals in the match seems to be an attractive option to consider. Despite Stjarnan’s strong offensive performance, the match might not see a goal fest due to the solid defenses of both teams.

Finally, in terms of the exact score, the prediction suggesting a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Stjarnan seems to be the most probable choice given the performances, statistics, and recent trends of both teams.

Any amount invested in sports betting should be treated as a high-risk investment. It is important to analyze carefully before placing a bet and to never wager more than one can afford to lose. Good luck in your bets!