Tipps Stromsgodset Ham-Kam Norvège 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Stromsgodset wins the match

1. Stromsgodset has a good home performance with a 40% win rate and a 60% draw rate. Consequently, they have a high probability of not losing the match.

2. Stromsgodset has a stronger defensive potential at home with 64% compared to Ham-Kam’s 50% away from home. This means Stromsgodset is more likely to prevent the opponent from scoring.

3. Stromsgodset’s win probability is higher at 43.81% compared to Ham-Kam’s 21.13% win probability. Additionally, the combination of a draw or Stromsgodset winning the match has a high success probability at 78.87%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Over their last 5 matches, both teams have shown an average of goals scored higher than 1 goal per match, indicating significant offensive potential.

2. The probability for the ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ market is 54.64%, which is higher than the probability for the ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’ market. This suggests that the statistics and previous performances are in favor of a high-scoring game.

3. The recent home matches of Stromsgodset and away matches of Ham-Kam have often seen a total of over 2.5 goals (4 out of 5 for Stromsgodset and 3 out of 5 for Ham-Kam), which seems to indicate that this prediction is plausible.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches show that both teams have significant offensive capabilities, with Stromsgodset and Ham-Kam scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match.
2. Both teams have also shown to have a fairly vulnerable defense, with Stromsgodset conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match at home and Ham-Kam conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match away.
3. The success rate evaluation of the “Both teams to score” prediction is 63.92%, which is a relatively high success percentage and indicates a favorable probability that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 35.05% success probability: 4.00

Bet on the exact result

Stromsgodset 1-1 Ham-Kam

1. Stromsgodset’s home statistics: In the last 5 matches, Stromsgodset has shown a strong tendency to draw (60%), with an average of 1.4 goals per match, which should, based on the observed average, lead to a goal in the game.

2. Ham-Kam’s away statistics: Despite a strong performance away from home with a 60% win rate, Ham-Kam has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, making it likely that they will concede at least one goal to Stromsgodset.

3. Draw probabilities: With a 35.05% probability of a draw and fairly balanced offensive and defensive potentials for both teams, a 1-1 scoreline seems like a plausible scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Stromsgodset has a mixed record at home with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 goals scored in 5 matches. However, they remain vulnerable in defense, having conceded 8 goals.

Ham-Kam, on the other hand, has won 3 away matches out of 5, with a total of 5 goals scored. Their defense also seems exposed, having conceded 6 goals.

The offensive potential of each team is similar, with 1.4 goals per match for both Stromsgodset and Ham-Kam. Defensively, Ham-Kam appears more solid with a 50% potential compared to Stromsgodset’s 64%.

Considering these statistics, Stromsgodset has an estimated win probability of 43.81%, while the likelihood of a draw is 35.05%. Ham-Kam has a slim chance with only a 21.13% probability of winning.

The probability of at least 1.5 goals in the match is 81.44%. The scenario of over 2.5 goals is also possible, with a 54.64% chance.

Based on previous matches, there is a 63.92% chance that both teams will score during the match.

In summary, a victory for Stromsgodset or a draw seems more likely, with potentially more than 1.5 goals scored during the game.

The potential number of goals

Stromsgodset is strong at home, with a win rate of 40% in their last matches. They have scored a total of 7 goals but also conceded 8 goals.

Ham-Kam is solid away, with a win rate of 60% in their last matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals.

Stromsgodset has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%. Ham-Kam has an offensive potential of 50% but a defensive potential of 50%.

The probability of Stromsgodset winning the match is 43.81%. A draw is unlikely with a probability of 35.05%. Ham-Kam has a lower chance of winning with a probability of 21.13%.

A match with less than 1.5 goals is unlikely. However, there is an 81.44% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a 54.64% chance of more than 2.5 goals.

Past results indicate a scoring trend for Stromsgodset and Ham-Kam. There is a 63.92% chance that both teams will score.

Prediction: Based on the statistics, the match could end with more than 1.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the statistics and analysis presented throughout this article, several key elements are to be considered in predicting this match between Stromsgodset and Ham-Kam. On one hand, the form of the teams suggests a victory for Stromsgodset or a draw as the most likely outcome, with a lower probability highlighted for a win by Ham-Kam.

Offensively, both teams have shown significant potential that could lead to a total number of goals in the match surpassing 2.5. Similarly, it is likely that both teams will score given their offensive capability and tendency to concede goals defensively.

The prediction of a “Draw – 35.05% success probability: 4.00” also presents a noteworthy interest, concerning a bet offering an interesting value bet.

Regarding the exact score, a plausible hypothesis would be a draw with a score of 1-1, considering their balanced offensive and defensive potential, as well as their recent performances.

In conclusion, a detailed and thorough analysis of the statistics reveals that choosing Stromsgodset as the winner or a draw, with a total of goals exceeding 2.5 and both teams scoring, seems to be a quite solidly supported betting choice.