Tipps Sturm Graz Sporting CP UEFA Champions League 22/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sporting wins the match

1. Past Performance: Sporting has shown outstanding performance in their previous matches, winning in 80% of the cases when playing away. Therefore, they have a strong probability of winning this match.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: According to the provided statistics, Sporting has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of only 7%, which is significantly better compared to Sturm Graz, who has an offensive potential of 64% but a much higher defensive potential of 50%.

3. Success Probability: According to the odds provided, the probability of Sporting winning the match is 74.35%, which is significantly higher than the other options, which are either a draw or a victory for Sturm Graz.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of both teams show that they have a strong attack. Sporting has scored 18 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 2.2 goals per match, while Sturm Graz has scored 13 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.8 goals per match. This suggests that they have the ability to score more than 2.5 goals in a match.

2. Sturm Graz has a relatively weak defense, having conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, an average of 1.4 goals per game. On the other hand, Sporting also has a vulnerable defense, as they have conceded 19 goals in their last 5 away matches. These stats indicate that both teams are likely to concede goals, potentially leading to an increased total number of goals in the match.

3. According to the probabilities, the most likely scenario for the match is for Sporting to win (74.35% probability). With Sporting being very offensive (as shown by their attacking potential of 79%) and Sturm Graz having a weak defense, it is highly likely that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the game. These statistical and probability-based factors support the argument for a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show that they have consistently scored in their previous encounters. Sporting has scored in each of their last five away matches, while Sturm Graz has scored in three of their last five home matches.

2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest that they both have a strong ability to score. Sturm Graz has a 64% offensive potential at home, while Sporting has a 79% offensive potential away.

3. Both teams have conceded a significant number of goals in their recent matches, averaging 1.4 goals per match for Sturm Graz at home and 0.2 goals per match for Sporting away. This indicates that both teams are likely to concede goals, increasing the probability that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Sturm Graz wins the match – 25.65% chance of success: 3.10

Bet on the exact result

Sturm Graz 1-2 Sporting

1. Sporting’s past away performances indicate a high probability of victory for this team, with a winning rate of 80%. Furthermore, their offensive potential away from home stands at 79%, suggesting Sporting’s ability to score goals in away games.

2. Sturm Graz has an average defensive performance at home, having conceded more goals than they scored in their last 5 home matches (13 goals scored against 15 conceded). This gives Sporting an opportunity to exploit the defensive weaknesses of this team.

3. Considering the goal statistics, it is more likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (81.15% probability). Both teams have a history of high-scoring matches, and judging by their recent form, a 1-2 scoreline seems realistic. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 52.36%, further reinforcing the idea of a match with at least one goal from each side.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sturm Graz has shown an inconsistent performance at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 13 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match, and conceded 15 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Sporting, when playing away, has displayed a strong performance with an 80% win rate. They have scored an average of 18 goals, 2.2 goals per match, and have only conceded 19 goals, averaging 0.2 goals per match.

The probability of Sporting winning the match is 74.35%, with odds of 1.38. On the other hand, the probability of Sturm Graz winning is only 8.9% with odds of 7.90.

The statistics also suggest a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match (81.15%) and over 2.5 goals in the match (59.69%). Both teams have a 52.36% probability of scoring.

Analyzing their recent matches, Sporting appears more dominant with significant victories compared to Sturm Graz, who have had more mixed results.

In conclusion, Sporting seems to have a significant advantage for this match, with a high probability of success. However, football remains unpredictable, and Sturm Graz could spring a surprise.

The potential number of goals

Sturm Graz has scored 13 goals and conceded 15 in their last 5 home matches. On the road, Sporting has scored 18 goals and conceded 19 in their last 5 outings.

On average, Sturm Graz scores 1.8 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per home match. Sporting performs slightly better away, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded.

Sturm Graz’s offensive potential is at 64%, while their defense is rated at 50%. Sporting shines with an offensive potential of 79% and a solid defense at 7%.

The probability of Sturm Graz winning this match is only 8.9%. A draw is slightly more likely at 16.75%. Sporting, however, dominates with a 74.35% chance of victory.

Regarding the number of goals, it’s more likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match (81.15%). The probability of there being over 2.5 goals is 59.69%.

There is a 52.36% chance that both teams will score.

Sturm Graz’s recent home matches include impressive wins against Red Bull Salzburg and SV Kapfenberg, but also losses against Bruges and Wolfsberger AC.

Sporting has been solid away, with notable wins against Estoril, Arouca, Farense, and Nacional, and a draw against PSV Eindhoven.

In conclusion, Sporting appears to be the favorite for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past performances, statistics, and probabilities, a victory for Sporting can be predicted in this UEFA Champions League match against Sturm Graz. Sporting shows both strong overall performance and solid away performance, giving them a clear advantage. However, football being unpredictable, it is not entirely out of the question for Sturm Graz to surprise and deliver an impressive performance.

Despite Sturm Graz showing inconsistent home performance, they have still managed to score in the majority of their matches, indicating serious offensive potential. Additionally, Sporting’s defense, although solid overall, has shown signs of vulnerability in some away matches.

Regarding the number of goals, statistics suggest that there will likely be over 2.5 goals in the match, with both teams demonstrating obvious offensive potential in their previous encounters. Furthermore, the probability of each team scoring at least one goal is quite high.

For punters looking for a ‘value bet’, the possibility of a draw or a Sturm Graz victory could be considered, offering a more attractive return despite a lower likelihood of success. Finally, a correct score of 1-2 in favor of Sporting seems like a plausible bet given the past and current performances of both teams.

However, it is important to remind all punters that, although statistics and probabilities may indicate a certain trend, the final result of a football match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors.