Tipps Sudtirol Brescia Serie B 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

South Tyrol wins the match

1. Past performances: Sudtirol’s performance is better than Brescia’s in their respective matches. With a 60% win rate for Sudtirol compared to 0% for Brescia in their last 5 matches, Sudtirol has shown better form.
2. Home performance vs away performance: Sudtirol has an average home performance (60% win rate, 9 goals scored), while Brescia struggles away from home (0% win rate, 5 goals scored).
3. Offensive and defensive potential: Sudtirol has displayed higher offensive potential than Brescia (36% vs 43%), as well as equivalent defensive potential (43% for both). This could indicate they are more likely to score goals and therefore win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. Match History: By analyzing the last 5 matches played by Sudtirol at home and Brescia away, there have been more than 2.5 goals in the majority of the matches. For example, Sudtirol had scores of 3-2, 4-3, and Brescia had 2-2 twice.

2. Goal Average: On average, Sudtirol scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2 goals per match when playing at home, while Brescia scores 1.2 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals per match when playing away. This consistently indicates a total of 2.4 goals per match, very close to over 2.5.

3. Weak Defensive Performance: Both Sudtirol and Brescia have a defensive potential of 43%, meaning they are likely to concede goals. This low defensive rate can lead to high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Sudtirol and Brescia have an average of 1 and 1.2 goals scored per match respectively, demonstrating sufficient offensive potential for each to score at least one goal during the match.
2. The defense of both teams appears to be vulnerable with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match respectively, which increases the chances of each team conceding at least one goal.
3. The historical data of both teams shows that they have both managed to score in the majority of their last 5 matches, suggesting that they tend to be involved in games where both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Sudtirol 1-1 Brescia

1. Recent performances of both teams suggest a draw as a probable scenario. Sudtirol is not particularly dominant at home with only a 60% win rate, while Brescia manages to secure a draw in 40% of their away matches.

2. With Sudtirol averaging 1 goal scored per match at home, and Brescia averaging 1.2 goals per match away, it is reasonable to expect that both teams could score a goal during the match.

3. Match history shows that Sudtirol often plays on neutral ground, scoring and conceding goals in equal measure (9 goals scored for 9 conceded in their last 5 home matches). Similarly, Brescia has not been particularly effective in attack or solid in defense with a negative goal difference (5 goals scored for 7 conceded), which could result in a tie in the score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sudtirol seems to have a good home performance, with a win rate of 60%. Their average goals per match at home is 1, indicating a decent offense. However, they concede more goals than they score, showing a somewhat leaky defense.

On the other hand, Brescia struggles when playing away from home, having not won any of their last 5 away matches. Their offensive potential is similar to Sudtirol’s, but they have shown a slightly more solid defense.

Sudtirol’s recent home matches have trended towards high-scoring games, while Brescia struggles to win away but often manages to equalize.

The probabilities for match results are not available, but both teams seem to have satisfactory offensive potential with leaky defenses.

However, a 100% probability for a match with under 3.5 or 4.5 goals suggests a low-scoring game.

The both teams to not score probability is at 100%, somewhat contradicting the offensive potential mentioned earlier for both teams.

Overall, this match might be difficult to predict due to the teams’ contrasting performances, and the score could remain low despite the offensive capabilities of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Sudtirol, playing at home, has a strong performance with a 60% win rate. Their attack is effective with 9 goals in 5 matches, however, the defense shows weaknesses, as evidenced by the 9 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Brescia struggles away from home with no wins and only a 40% draw rate. Their offensive lineup is weak with 5 goals scored, but their defense has shown resilience by conceding only 7 goals.

Sudtirol’s average goals at home is 1 per match while their average goals conceded is 1.2 per match. Sudtirol has a 36% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential.

Brescia, away from home, scores an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.2 goals. They have an equivalent offensive potential of 43% and a similar defensive potential of 43%.

The probabilities do not favor a win for either team or a draw. However, there is a 100% probability that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals.

Also, it appears that both teams will not score during the match with a probability of 100%.

These statistics suggest a low-scoring match where defenses will prevail. A result of under 2.5 goals seems likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Sudtirol and Brescia appears to be an interesting but complex duel to predict in terms of betting. However, statistics and past performances suggest some trends. Firstly, Sudtirol seems to be in better form than Brescia and has a higher chance of winning the match. Additionally, the Over/Under 2.5 goals indicator leans towards a total of over 2.5 goals in the match, due to both teams’ goal averages and their weak defensive performance.

Furthermore, considering their offensive potential and the number of goals they have both conceded in the past, it is likely that both teams will score during the match. Despite a trend towards high-scoring games, an interesting value bet could be to bet on under 3.5 goals in total in the match, as both teams have generally been involved in low-scoring matches. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems like a probable scenario.

Lastly, while Sudtirol and Brescia have shown satisfactory offensive potential, a low score seems more likely, mainly due to the defensive performances of both teams. Therefore, bettors are advised to take these factors into consideration when making their decision.