Tipps Sudtirol Palermo Serie B 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sudtirol wins the match

1. Sudtirol’s home win rate is very strong at 60% with 40% draws. They have not lost a single match in their last 5 home games.

2. Although Palermo also has a 60% away win rate, they have never managed to secure a draw. This lack of flexibility in their performance could be a disadvantage in a tough away match.

3. The combined probability for a draw or Sudtirol win is 67.03%, which is higher than the probability of a Palermo win or draw (60.54%). This suggests that the statistics and recent performances more likely favor a draw or win for Sudtirol.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The average goals scored and conceded by Sudtirol and Palermo in their respective last 5 matches are 1.4 and 1.6 for Sudtirol, and 1.2 and 1 for Palermo. These numbers suggest that overall, both teams do not have a very high offensive performance, increasing the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals.
2. Probability statistics indicate 63.24% for over 1.5 goals in the match, but only 37.3% for over 2.5 goals. This shows a strong inclination towards matches with less than 2.5 goals.
3. The scores of Sudtirol’s recent home matches and Palermo’s away matches show a variety of results, but the majority of them are below the 2.5 goals mark. This, combined with the previously described statistics, reinforces the idea that a total of under 2.5 goals is a realistic estimate for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. The statistics from the latest matches show that both teams have a certain ability to score during their games. Indeed, Sudtirol has scored 10 goals in 5 home matches and Palermo has scored 5 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Furthermore, neither team has shown particular strength in defense. Sudtirol has conceded 13 goals in 5 home matches and Palermo has conceded 5 goals in 5 away matches.

3. Lastly, the forecast “Both teams to score – 48.11% probability of success” implies that the probability of both teams scoring is nearly 50%, which is relatively high.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“ Plus de 2,5 buts dans le match ” would be translated to “ Over 2.5 goals in the match ” in English.

Bet on the exact result

Sudtirol 1-1 Palermo

1. Statistics show that when Sudtirol plays at home, they tend to score an average of 1.4 goals per match and concede an average of 1.6 goals per match. This is close to the expected score of 1-1. Additionally, in 40% of cases Sudtirol draws at home, strengthening the possibility of a draw.

2. Looking at Palermo’s performances in their away matches, they score an average of 1.2 goals and concede an average of 1 goal per match. These averages suggest that Palermo is capable of scoring against Sudtirol, but is also likely to concede, potentially leading to a 1-1 draw.

3. Finally, examining the offered probabilities, it is noted that the draw has a success probability of 27.57%, which is significant. Furthermore, the probability for “Over 1.5 goals in the match” to happen is 63.24%, favoring a score like 1-1. Additionally, both teams to score has a success probability of 48.11%, also supporting a 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sudtirol shows solid form at home, winning 60% of their last matches. However, their defense concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Palermo, on the road, has also won 60% of their last matches. Their games tend to be more balanced with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded.

Regarding the probability of the match outcome, Sudtirol has a 39.46% chance of winning, while Palermo has 32.97%. In other words, the possibility of a draw or Sudtirol winning is 67.03%.

Statistically, it is likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (89.73%). It is also rather probable that both teams will not score (51.89%).

Looking at the past matchups, Palermo won the last match against Sudtirol. This could influence the upcoming encounter.

In conclusion, the match promises to be tight given the recent statistics of both teams. Bets on fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and both teams not scoring seem to have a high chance of success.

The potential number of goals

Sudtirol has shown strong offensive capabilities at home with an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their home defense is unreliable, having conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Palermo has a comparable offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, but their defense is more solid, having only conceded 5 goals in their last 5 matches.

Among the previous matches of Sudtirol at home and Palermo away, there is a trend towards scoring. 60% of the matches have resulted in more than 2.5 goals. The probabilities also suggest a match with over 1.5 goals (63.24% chance), but less than 3.5 goals (89.73% success probability).

Regarding the winner of the match, the balance slightly favors Sudtirol with a probability of 39.46%. Nevertheless, a draw does not seem to be ruled out, with a success probability of 27.57%.

Finally, there is a 48.11% chance that both teams will score, as the offensive performances of both teams are quite close. This is an important point to consider when betting on this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, probabilities and statistics suggest that the match between Sudtirol and Palermo will be very tight and competitive. Sudtirol, playing at home, appears to be slightly favored, but Palermo has also shown impressive form away from home. The combined probability of a draw or a Sudtirol win is estimated at 67.03%, while the probability of a Palermo win or a draw is 60.54%.

The analysis also suggests that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, reflecting the offensive performance level of each team and historical goal trends. However, there is an almost 50% probability that both teams will score, showing their ability to breach opposing defenses.

Lastly, an interesting value bet could be to bet on over 2.5 goals in the match, given the offered odds of 2.30, even though it goes against the general trend.

Overall, this is a very open match with several possible scenarios, making betting on this match all the more exciting. Ultimately, the key to making a profitable bet will be to have a good understanding of each team’s strengths and weaknesses and to strategically use this information when selecting from the various betting options available.