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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Sunderland Derby

    Tipps Sunderland Derby Championship 01/10/2024

    Last update : 01/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Sunderland wins the match.

    1. The performance in the last 5 home matches for Sunderland is very good, with a win rate of 80% and an average of 2.2 goals per match. This indicates a strong offensive performance at home.

    2. Compared to Sunderland, Derby County has shown a poor performance in the last 5 away matches, as they have not won a single match and have also displayed a lower average of goals per match.

    3. The success probabilities clearly indicate that Sunderland has a high chance of winning the match. With a success rate of 56.48%, the probability of Sunderland winning is higher compared to Derby County’s (18.13%).

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    “More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

    1. Sunderland has a strong attacking potential at home: Sunderland averages 2.2 goals per game at home, indicating a tendency towards a solid offensive game.
    2. Derby County has a weak defense away from home: Derby County concedes an average of 0.6 goals per game away from home, suggesting that their defense could be vulnerable against Sunderland’s aggressive attack.
    3. High likelihood of over 2.5 goals: The success rate for over 2.5 goals in the match is 51.3%, indicating it is a reasonable possibility.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams score: Yes

    1. Sunderland has shown a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This is a positive indicator that Sunderland will score during the match.

    2. Derby County has proven that they can score away from home despite their low winning performance, having scored at least one goal in three of their last five away matches.

    3. Based on the provided statistics, both teams have weak defensive performances, with Sunderland conceding 13 goals in 5 home matches and Derby County conceding 10 goals in 5 away matches, leaving a great chance for both teams to score.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match – 2.00

    1. Over their last 5 home matches, Sunderland has averaged 2.2 goals scored per game, while Derby County has conceded an average of 0.6 goals away. This indicates a strong offensive potential for Sunderland.

    2. The forecast shows a 51.3% success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests that the statistics from previous games support this bet.

    3. Previous home matches for Sunderland (Sunderland 5 – 0 South Shields, Sunderland 2 – 2 Marseille OM, etc.) and away matches for Derby County (Blackburn Rovers 4 – 2 Derby County, Barnsley 4 – 3 Derby County, etc.) have also often seen a high number of goals, further strengthening the assumption of a high-scoring match.

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    Bet on the exact result

    “Sunderland 2-1 Derby County”

    1. Sunderland’s offensive efficiency: In their last 5 home games, Sunderland has scored a total of 13 goals, averaging 2.6 goals per match. This demonstrates a strong attacking capability, which supports the prediction of Sunderland scoring 2 goals.

    2. Derby County’s defensive weakness: Away from home, Derby County has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches, indicating a defensive vulnerability. This could allow Sunderland to score twice in this match.

    3. Sunderland’s recent overall performances: Sunderland has won 80% of their last 5 home matches, showing good form. Additionally, with a 56.48% probability of winning the match, the statistics favor Sunderland.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Sunderland is in solid form at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 13 goals, averaging 2.2 goals per match. Their defense remains solid, conceding 13 goals.

    Derby County struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 10, averaging 1 goal scored per match.

    The probability of Sunderland winning is highest at 56.48%, with odds of 1.69. A draw is possible at 25.39%, with odds of 3.91. Derby County is not favored, with a 18.13% probability of winning, and odds of 4.87.

    The odds suggest over 1.5 goals in the match with a 75.13% probability (1.33). The possibility of over 2.5 goals is also worth considering, with a 51.3% probability (2.00).

    Based on the data, Sunderland appears to be the favorite team. However, as football is unpredictable, a draw or a surprise win by Derby County should never be ruled out.

    The potential number of goals

    Sunderland has a strong home form, with a victory in 80% of their last 5 matches and 13 goals scored. On the other hand, Derby County struggles away from home. They haven’t won any of their last 5 matches, with only 6 goals scored.

    Sunderland has a powerful offense, averaging 2.2 goals per home match. They also have a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. Derby County scores only 1 goal per away match and concedes 0.6 goals.

    The probability of Sunderland winning the match is 56.48%, with odds of 1.69. The draw has a probability of 25.39% with odds of 3.91. Derby County has a low probability of winning at 18.13%, with odds of 4.87.

    Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 75.13%, with odds of 1.33. Betting on over 2.5 goals has a success probability of 51.3%, at odds of 2.00.

    Therefore, a bet on Sunderland to win or on over 1.5 goals in the match seems to be the safest options.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, the statistics at our disposal clearly point towards a Sunderland victory, as they are in better form than Derby County and will be playing at home. However, it is important to note that football is a sport where surprises are not uncommon. Odds and probabilities are by no means guarantees of success.

    A bet on over 2.5 goals also seems like an interesting option to consider, as both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals.

    Ultimately, it is important to remember that regardless of odds, probabilities, and statistics, sports betting always carries a risk. Therefore, it is essential to bet thoughtfully and responsibly.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Sunderland against Derby on 01/10/2024

    1. The performance in the last 5 home matches for Sunderland is very good, with a win rate of 80% and an average of 2.2 goals per match. This indicates a strong offensive performance at home.

    2. Compared to Sunderland, Derby County has shown a poor performance in the last 5 away matches, as they have not won a single match and have also displayed a lower average of goals per match.

    3. The success probabilities clearly indicate that Sunderland has a high chance of winning the match. With a success rate of 56.48%, the probability of Sunderland winning is higher compared to Derby County’s (18.13%).

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Sunderland to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Derby to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sunderland or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Derby or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Sunderland or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Derby or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sunderland or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Derby or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Sunderland vs Derby match!

    To not miss anything from the Sunderland vs Derby match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 01/10/2024 in the Championship live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Sunderland vs Derby

    logo team a
    composition
    1Patterson
    32Hume
    26Mepham
    13O'Nien
    3Cirkin
    11Rigg
    4Neil
    7Bellingham
    10Roberts
    18Isidor
    14Mundle
    Lineups Sunderland
    logo team a
    composition
    1Widell
    2Wilson
    35Nelson
    12Phillips
    6Joe
    8Osborn
    18Harness
    17Goudmijn
    32Adams
    28Chirewa
    10Yates
    Lineups Derby

    Match Highlights Sunderland vs Derby on 01/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Sunderland vs Derby match on 01/10/2024 at Stadium of Light stadium.

    25'Dennis Cirkin
    picto
    36'Marcus Harness
    picto
    40'Jobe Bellingham
    picto
    55'Wilson Isidor
    picto
    59'Chris Mepham
    picto
    65'Tawanda ChirewaCraig Forsyth
    picto
    66'Jerry YatesCorey Blackett-Taylor
    picto
    66'Marcus HarnessKayden Jackson
    picto
    66'Ben OsbornNathaniel Méndez-Laing
    picto
    74'Patrick RobertsIan Carlo Poveda
    picto
    74'Chris RiggAlan Browne
    picto
    75'Nathaniel PhillipsRyan Nyambe
    picto
    85'Wilson IsidorNazariy Rusyn
    picto
    85'Ian Carlo PovedaTom Watson
    picto
    89'Kenzo Goudmijn
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Sunderland and Derby

    All statistics for the match between Sunderland and Derby will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Sunderland
    Derby
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    51%
    49%
    Total Shots
    9
    13
    Shots on Goal
    3
    6
    Shots off Goal
    4
    3
    Corner Kicks
    1
    8
    Passing Accuracy
    83%
    76%
    Total Passes
    364
    334
    Successful Passes
    302
    255
    Fouls Committed
    7
    19
    Yellow Cards
    2
    2
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Sunderland against Derby!

    logo team

    Form state of Sunderland in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Sunderland has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Sunderland has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Derby in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Derby has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Derby has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Sunderland against Derby!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Sunderland in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Sunderland in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Sunderland
    Sunderland has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Sunderland in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sunderland
    Sunderland has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Derby in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Derby in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Derby
    Derby has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Derby in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Derby
    Derby has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Sunderland and Derby, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Sunderland vs Derby: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Sunderland has a strong attacking potential at home: Sunderland averages 2.2 goals per game at home, indicating a tendency towards a solid offensive game.
    2. Derby County has a weak defense away from home: Derby County concedes an average of 0.6 goals per game away from home, suggesting that their defense could be vulnerable against Sunderland’s aggressive attack.
    3. High likelihood of over 2.5 goals: The success rate for over 2.5 goals in the match is 51.3%, indicating it is a reasonable possibility.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Sunderland and Derby!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Sunderland

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Derby

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Sunderland Derby?

    Finding a forecast for the Sunderland Derby match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Sunderland Derby on 01/10/2024 in Stadium of Light are the team's past performance in the Championship, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Sunderland at home and Derby away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 01/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Sunderland and Derby on 01/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Championship, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Stadium of Light, Sunderland could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Sunderland and Derby, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Sunderland and the away win rate of Derby, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 01/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Sunderland and Derby can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 01/10/2024 at Stadium of Light.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Sunderland and Derby, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Sunderland or Derby on 01/10/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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