Tipps Sunderland Sheffield Wednesday Championship 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sunderland win the match.

1. Sunderland has a strong home performance: in their last 5 matches, they won 20% of their games and drew 40% of the time, which represents an accumulated probability of 60% to win or draw.

2. Compared to Sheffield Wednesday, Sunderland has a higher defensive potential at home (43% compared to 50%). This suggests they may be able to withstand Sheffield’s attack and secure at least a draw.

3. Betting statistics indicate a greater probability of Sunderland winning the match or a draw (72.54%) compared to Sheffield Wednesday winning the match (27.46%). Bookmakers seem to favor an advantage for Sunderland or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics show a low average score for both teams. Sunderland scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Sheffield scores an average of 1.6 goals away. These figures suggest a total number of goals for this match to be around 2.5.

2. These two teams have approximately equal defensive performance, with a defensive potential of 43% for Sunderland and 50% for Sheffield. This indicates that goal-scoring opportunities could be kept to a minimum.

3. Finally, in recent direct clashes between Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday, there have been fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, in their last match at Sunderland, the score was 0-2 in favor of Sheffield. This reinforces the idea that this match could see fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Historical data shows that both teams have a strong tendency to score and concede goals. In their respective last 5 matches, Sunderland scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals, while Sheffield Wednesday scored and conceded 8 goals.

2. Considering the average scores per match, Sunderland averages 1.2 goals per match and Sheffield Wednesday averages 1.6 goals per match. This indicates the potential for both teams to score during the match.

3. Analyzing the past head-to-head encounters between these two teams, we note that in their last meeting at Sunderland, Sheffield Wednesday managed to score 2 goals away, which could indicate a continued trend for this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sheffield Wednesday wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Sunderland 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday.

1. The past performance of Sunderland at home and Sheffield away: Sunderland has a stronger tendency to draw at home (40% of cases) while Sheffield has a slightly lower propensity to draw away (20% of cases). Moreover, the last match between these two teams at Sunderland ended in a 2-0 victory for Sheffield, which could indicate Sunderland’s reluctance to lose at home again.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is almost similar: Sunderland has scored and conceded exactly the same number of goals in their last five home matches (7 goals), indicating a tendency for balanced games. Similarly, Sheffield has also scored and conceded the same number of goals in their last five away matches (8 goals). This similarity suggests a draw is a plausible prediction.

3. Probability statistics: The draw has a success probability of 29.02%, which is lower than Sunderland’s win (43.52%) but higher than Sheffield’s win (27.46%). Furthermore, over 1.5 goals in the match has a probability of 74.61%, giving weight to the prediction of a 1-1 draw. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 56.48%, which also supports the prediction of an exact 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sunderland is weak at home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches and a 40% draw rate. They have scored and conceded 7 goals in these games.
Sheffield performs better away with a 60% win rate and 20% draw rate. They have scored and conceded 8 goals under the same conditions.
Sunderland’s offensive potential is at 43% at home, while Sheffield’s rises to 57% away. Defensively, Sunderland is at 43% and Sheffield at 50%.
The odds favor Sunderland more with a 43.52% chance of winning (odds at 2.18) compared to Sheffield with a success rate of 27.46% (odds at 3.37).
A draw has a 29.02% chance of occurring according to the odds (3.37).
There is a likelihood of less than 1.5 goals (odds at 3.20). The chances of having more than 1.5 goals in the match are set at 74.61% with odds of 1.36.
Finally, both teams have a 56.48% chance of scoring, with the odds at 1.83.
In conclusion, one should consider Sheffield’s offensive effectiveness away and Sunderland’s poor performance at home. A match with under 2.5 goals and the possibility of both teams scoring could be a reasonable prediction here.

The potential number of goals

Sunderland appears to struggle to dominate at home, with only a 20% win rate in its last 5 matches. Their defense and offense cancel each other out with 7 goals scored and conceded. On the other hand, Sheffield Wednesday shows better performance away from home with a 60% win rate. They have scored and conceded 8 goals each.

Sunderland’s home offensive capability is rather weak with an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to Sheffield Wednesday’s 1.6 away from home. Both teams have similar defenses, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match for Sunderland and 1.4 for Sheffield Wednesday.

According to the probabilities, the most likely final score would be a draw or a Sunderland win with a success probability of 72.54% at odds of 1.33. The visiting team, Sheffield Wednesday, has a 27.46% chance of winning the match at odds of 3.37.

In terms of the number of goals scored, there is a 74.61% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.36. Similarly, there is a 48.19% probability that the match will have over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.10.

Finally, regarding the most likely match outcome, it is possible that both teams will score with a probability of 56.48% at odds of 1.83.

These figures can be used to make an informed prediction about the match between Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on historical data, recent performances, and probabilities, several sports betting trends emerge for the match between Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday.

Although Sunderland is favored to win due to their strong home performance, it is worth noting that Sheffield Wednesday has shown better recent form with a 60% win rate compared to Sunderland’s 20%. A bet on a Sheffield win could therefore be potentially interesting.

Offensively and defensively, both teams are quite evenly matched, suggesting a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, their past performances indicate that both have the ability to score and concede goals. A bet on “both teams to score” seems relevant.

Lastly, considering the historical flow between these two teams and the 29.02% probability of a draw, a bet on a 1-1 scoreline could be an option to consider.

These trends can guide bettors in their decision-making but should be approached with caution as with any sports prediction. The outcome of a match depends not only on statistics and past performances but also on unpredictable factors such as the match day, player injuries, coach decisions, among others.