Tipps Swansea Millwall Championship 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and past performances of both teams, my prediction would be “Draw or Swansea City wins the match.” This is based on Millwall’s weak away performance and Swansea’s potentially stronger defensive capabilities at home.

1. In their last 5 home matches, Swansea has only lost once, while Millwall has not won a single game in their last 5 away trips. This indicates a trend towards better performance by Swansea City at home compared to Millwall away.

2. Over the past 5 matches, Swansea City has shown a better defensive performance with a defensive potential of 21% compared to Millwall’s 29% away defensive potential. Considering defense is a key factor in the final outcome of a match, this also tilts the balance in favor of a draw or a win for Swansea.

3. Millwall’s away match history displays a tendency for draws, with 60% of their last 5 away matches ending in a draw. Meanwhile, Swansea has a win and a draw from their last 5 home matches. Therefore, the most likely scenario would be a draw or a victory for Swansea City.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The offensive performances of both teams are relatively weak: Swansea City has scored only 3 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Millwall has scored 4 goals away in the same period.

2. Swansea City has a defensive potential of 21% at home, meaning they are relatively good at preventing opponents from scoring. Meanwhile, Millwall has a strong defensive potential of 29% in away matches.

3. Recent home matches for Swansea City and away matches for Millwall have generally produced fewer than 2.5 goals. For Swansea, their last 5 home matches have seen a total of 6 goals (for both teams), averaging 1.2 goals per game. For Millwall, their last 5 away matches have generated a total of 8 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Swansea City has a low offensive potential at home with an average of only 0.2 goals scored per match in their last 5 home games, while Millwall has also had offensive problems away from home with an average of 1 goal per match.

2. Millwall has had poor away results by not winning any of their last 5 matches and conceding a total of 8 goals, highlighting their defensive vulnerability.

3. Results from both teams’ previous matches show a trend towards low-scoring or goalless draws. For example, several recent games involving Swansea City and Millwall have ended with scorelines of 0-0 or 1-0.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Swansea City 0-1 Millwall

1. Swansea City has shown a recent weakness in defense, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This gives Millwall a chance to score at least one goal.

2. Millwall has an average of 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 away matches, which aligns with the prediction of a 0-1 scoreline in their favor.

3. Both teams have a low likelihood of scoring, with a 100% probability of both teams not scoring in this match, making it easier to predict a game with only one goal scored by Millwall.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Swansea City performs slightly better at home but remains unconvincing with only a 20% win or draw rate. With just 3 goals scored, their attack is not very effective. The defense is holding up well, conceding only 4 goals.

On the other hand, Millwall struggles to win away, with a high draw rate of 60%. They have scored 4 goals but have conceded twice as many, totaling 8 goals conceded.

Swansea shows a low offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 21%, while Millwall is slightly more aggressive with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 29%.

However, the low probability of success for either side confirms that the match could end in a draw. Both teams have trouble scoring, and there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score, which seems very likely.

It is therefore unlikely that the total number of goals will exceed 1.5, and almost certain that it will remain below 4.5. Taking this into consideration, a safe bet could be a low-scoring draw, and it is highly probable that both teams will struggle to score.

The potential number of goals

Swansea City struggles at home. In 5 matches, only 1 win and 1 draw. They have an average of 0.2 goals scored per match. Their defense allows very few goals with an average of 0.6 goals conceded.

Millwall hasn’t shined away from home. In 5 matches, no wins, but 3 draws. They have scored 4 times and conceded double that. Offensive and defensive averages of 1 and 0.8 goals per match, respectively.

Looking at previous encounters, Swansea City has scored 3 times in 5 matches. Millwall has the same score when playing away. The results suggest a low probability of goals from both sides.

Predictions for over 3.5 goals are low. Less than 3.5 goals have a 100% probability, as well as less than 4.5 goals. According to statistics, both teams are unlikely to score.

In conclusion, the Swansea City vs. Millwall match could end with a low number of goals, possibly none. The teams have shown inefficiency in scoring goals and have solid defenses. A draw or a minimal victory for either team seems likely.

However, as always in sports betting, nothing is certain. Every match is unique and can bring surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of this match between Swansea City and Millwall indicates that the teams may struggle to score. The lack of offensive strength from both teams, along with their relatively solid defensive performances, suggest a low-scoring match. The most likely prediction would be a draw or a narrow victory for either team. However, in sports betting, there is always a risk involved. It is advisable for bettors to consider these predictions while analyzing other factors such as playing conditions, player injuries, and their current form before placing their bets. As always, bet responsibly.