Tipps Swansea Preston Championship 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Swansea City wins the match

1. Recent home performances: Swansea City has won 60% of their last 5 home games, showing they are quite strong when playing at home. Additionally, they have scored 8 goals in these matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game, demonstrating an attacking potential superior to that of Preston North End away from home.

2. Defensive potential comparison: Swansea City has a defensive potential of 36% compared to 43% for Preston North End in away matches. Swansea City seems to be better equipped to resist Preston North End’s attacks and therefore win the match.

3. Statistical probabilities: The statistical probabilities also favor Swansea City with a 45.45% chance of winning the match compared to only 21.39% for Preston North End. The odds are clearly in favor of Swansea City.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that the offensive and defensive performances of Swansea City and Preston North End are quite balanced. Swansea City scores an average of 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1 goal, while Preston North End scores and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match. These numbers indicate a tendency towards overall low scores.

2. In Swansea City’s last 5 home matches, the total goals surpassed 2.5 goals only twice. For Preston North End away matches, this happened three times in the last five matches.

3. The probabilities suggest a trend towards a number of goals less than 2.5 for the match. In fact, the probability for under 2.5 goals in the match is given at 1.75, which is higher than that for over 2.5 goals in the match which is at 2.10.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Statistically, Swansea City regularly scores at home with an average of 1.6 goals per match, indicating a strong offensive tendency, increasing the likelihood that the team will score in this match.
2. Similarly, Preston North End also has a decent record in terms of away goals, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, suggesting that they are also likely to score in this match.
3. Analysis of goals conceded by both teams shows that they both tend to concede goals, with Swansea City conceding an average of 1 goal per match at home and Preston North End conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match away. This indicates some defensive weaknesses on both sides, increasing the probability that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.46

Bet on the exact result

Swansea City 1-1 Preston North End

1. The performance of Swansea City at home and Preston North End away indicates a fairly equal inability to score and concede goals, which could lead to a draw. Indeed, Swansea City has an attacking potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 36%, while Preston North End has an attacking potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 43%.

2. The statistics suggest that both teams tend to play low-scoring matches. The probability of matches with less than 1.5 goals is very low, indicating that the match may not have many goals. Combined with the fact that both teams score 52.94% of the time, this favors a prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. The probabilities of the match outcome favor a draw or a Swansea City win with a success probability of 78.61%. If we also take into account that the probability of a draw is 33.16%, a 1-1 scoreline seems a very plausible result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Swansea City is showing strong form at home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 8 in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Preston North End struggles away from home with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 6 times and their defense has been breached 7 times, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Swansea’s offensive potential is at 57%, with a defensive potential of 36%. Preston’s potential is balanced at 43%.
The match would likely tip in favor of Swansea with a probability of 45.45% compared to Preston’s 21.39%. The draw option stands at 33.16%.
The probability of Swansea winning or the match ending in a draw is 78.61%, compared to 54.55% for the same scenario in favor of Preston.
The match is likely to be tight. Less than 3.5 goals is at 82.35%, while over 2.5 goals is below 50%.
Both teams scoring stands at an almost equal probability of 52.94% to 47.06% for them not to.
Swansea recently won against Gillingham 3-1 and Rio Ave 3-0 at home. In contrast, Preston was defeated away by West Bromwich Albion 3-0 and Queens Park Rangers 1-0. Advantage Swansea at home?
Consider these insights before placing your bets. Good luck!

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze the statistics. Swansea City shows a strong performance at home, with a 60% win rate. They have an offensive potential of 57%, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Their defense is solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

Preston North End has mixed results away from home, winning only 40% of their matches. They score an average of 1.2 goals and concede the same amount per match. Their offensive and defensive performances are balanced, at 43%.

Based on the probabilities, Swansea City has a 45.45% chance of winning, while Preston North End only has 21.39%. A draw is slightly more likely than Preston’s victory, with a probability of 33.16%.

In terms of goals, there is a 71.12% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. There is also a 52.94% chance that both teams will score.

Overall, Swansea City seems slightly favored for this match, with a high possibility of multiple goals. However, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of the match between Swansea City and Preston North End reveals several interesting betting opportunities. Swansea City’s strong offensive and defensive potential at home, coupled with Preston North End’s less solid performances away, suggests that Swansea City may have the edge in this match. Statistics also indicate a high likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored and both teams managing to score. However, predicting a 1-1 draw seems to be the most probable exact score and offers an interesting value betting opportunity. That being said, as always in sports betting and especially in football, the unpredictability of the game should be taken into consideration and bets should be placed with caution.