Tipps Tajikistan Pakistan World Cup - Qualification Asia 11/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Taking into account the statistics provided, the prediction for the match between Tajikistan and Pakistan would be “Tajikistan wins the match” or “Draw or Tajikistan wins the match.” Tajikistan’s past performances at home are better than Pakistan’s away performances, so Tajikistan seems to have the upper hand.

1. Home vs. away performance: Tajikistan’s home performances are significantly better than Pakistan’s away performances. The latter show an inability to secure a win, with a 0% win rate, while Tajikistan has a 20% win rate at home.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Tajikistan has a better offensive and defensive potential than Pakistan. Tajikistan’s offensive potential is 14% compared to Pakistan’s 7%. Additionally, Tajikistan’s defensive potential is much better, with a 50% rate compared to Pakistan’s 164%, indicating higher defensive vulnerability for Pakistan.

3. Recent match history: Looking at the teams’ recent matches, it is evident that Tajikistan has performed better, even managing to secure a draw against stronger teams like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Pakistan, on the other hand, has suffered heavy defeats in their away games, suggesting a potential struggle against Tajikistan at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The past performances of both teams show a low number of goals scored. Tajikistan has averaged 0.4 goals per match at home, and Pakistan has failed to score in their last 5 away matches. These low scoring rates suggest a total goals under 2.5.

2. Looking at defensive performance, Tajikistan concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home while Pakistan concedes an average of 4.6 goals per match away. However, Tajikistan lacks a strong offensive potential which suggests it could be challenging for them to exploit Pakistan’s defensive weaknesses and score many goals.

3. Reviewing previous match results, it is evident that both teams tend to play low-scoring games. For example, none of Tajikistan’s last 5 home matches have exceeded 2.5 goals and all of Pakistan’s away matches have been goalless defeats. This highlights the trend towards low-scoring games when these teams are involved.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The match history shows a poor offensive performance from the Pakistan team when playing away. In fact, they have not scored any goals in their last 5 away matches. This strongly indicates that Pakistan may not score in this match.

2. The Tajikistan team also does not have a very impressive offensive performance at home, averaging 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Even if they score, it is unlikely that Pakistan will respond, justifying the prediction of “Both teams to score: No”.

3. Pakistan’s defense appears to be their weak point, conceding an average of 4.6 goals per match away. Therefore, if Tajikistan scores early, the Pakistan team may adopt a more defensive playing style to avoid a heavier defeat, further diminishing their chances of scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“The both teams do not score”

Bet on the exact result

Tajikistan 1-0 Pakistan

1. Tajikistan has managed to score goals in most of their recent home matches. Even though they don’t have a very high goal average, they have consistently shown that they are capable of scoring, which could explain why they may get one against Pakistan.

2. Pakistan has defensive issues away from home. In all their last 5 away matches, Pakistan has conceded goals and failed to score any. This trend could continue against Tajikistan, suggesting a possible scoreline of 1-0 to Tajikistan.

3. Lastly, Tajikistan’s offensive potential appears to be superior to that of Pakistan, as well as their defensive potential. This hints at a low-scoring match, followed by a narrow victory for Tajikistan.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The performance of Tajikistan at home is mixed. With only one win in their last 5 matches (20%), they seem to be struggling. However, they have managed to secure two draws (40%). Tajikistan has scored a low total of 4 goals, while conceding 5.

As for Pakistan, their away performance is weak. They have not been able to secure a single win in their last 5 away matches, managing only one draw (20%). Pakistan has failed to score in these matches and has conceded 4 goals.

Tajikistan has an offensive potential of 14% at home, compared to Pakistan’s 7% away. Defensively, Tajikistan has an average of 50%, while Pakistan’s is at 164%.

These statistics suggest that the match could be dominated by defense. The probability of both teams not scoring is 100%. Additionally, there is a 100% probability of fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match.

Based on these numbers, a bet on a low-scoring match could potentially be profitable. However, the lack of data on win probabilities makes the prediction uncertain. It is recommended to approach this match with caution.

The potential number of goals

Tajikistan at home, in 5 matches, has only won 20%, which is one match, and managed to draw in 40% of cases, which is two matches. With a total of 4 goals scored and 5 conceded, the defense seems to be the team’s weak point.

Pakistan away, in 5 matches, has no victories and managed just one draw, a 20% performance. With no goals scored and 4 conceded, the attack is weak and the defense is lacking.

Comparatively, Tajikistan seems to have a weak attack with an average of 0.4 goals per match, while their defense concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Pakistan has a weak attack, scoring an average of 0.2 goals per match. Their defense is overwhelmed, conceding an average of 4.6 goals per match.

The data suggests a strong likelihood that both teams will not score, at 100%. There is also a high probability of there being less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals in the match, at 100%.

Looking at Tajikistan’s past home matches and Pakistan’s away matches, it seems that Tajikistan has a slight advantage. However, it is very uncertain to define the winner of this match due to their past performances.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of the current and past performances of both teams, Tajikistan appears to have the advantage for this World Cup qualification match. However, making a precise prediction remains challenging given the defensive and offensive statistics highlighted. It seems reasonable to bet on a low-scoring match, reflecting the limited offensive performances of both teams. An interesting bet would be “Both teams to not score”, supported by both current and past statistics. Ultimately, the prediction for the exact score suggests a slight victory for Tajikistan 1-0. Nonetheless, in betting, it is crucial to remember that the final outcome can always be unpredictable, which is why it is advisable to bet with caution and responsibility.