Tipps Tecnico Universitario Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro 18/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tecnico Universitario wins the match

1. Tecnico Universitario has a better home performance history, with a 20% win rate and a 20% draw rate. In comparison, Deportivo Cuenca has not won any of its last 5 away matches.

2. Over their respective last 5 matches, Tecnico Universitario has shown more balanced offensive and defensive statistics, with 4 goals scored and 4 goals conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca seems to struggle defensively, conceding more goals than they score.

3. Finally, the probabilities for the match outcome, meaning the actual prediction, also favor a win or draw for Tecnico Universitario, with a success probability of 77.72%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics from both teams show a trend towards relatively low scores. Tecnico Universitario has scored a total of 4 goals and conceded 4 goals in 5 home matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals in 5 away matches. This trend suggests that a total number of goals under 2.5 is likely for this match.

2. On average, Tecnico Universitario scores 1 goal per home match and Deportivo Cuenca also scores 1 goal per away match. This gives us a combined average of 2 goals per match between these two teams, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.

3. The probability of under 2.5 goals in the match is 1.68, which is higher than the probability for over 2.5 goals (2.10). Additionally, the probability of under 3.5 goals in the match is very high at 76.68%. These probability predictions strongly suggest a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. By analyzing the statistics of the recent matches, both at home for Tecnico Universitario and away for Deportivo Cuenca, we can see that both teams have an average of 1 goal scored per game respectively. This indicates offensive potential from both teams.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also show vulnerability, with Tecnico Universitario conceding an average of 1 goal per home game and Deportivo Cuenca conceding 2 goals per away game, providing opportunities for the other team to score.

3. Based on the probabilities provided, “Both teams to score” has a success rate of 47.15%, which is slightly below 50% but still a significant probability. Relying on the offensive strength of both teams, as demonstrated by their recent statistics, it is likely that both teams can score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Technico Universitario 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca.

1. Recent performance of both teams: Based on the last five matches, Tecnico Universitario has shown a solid defensive performance at home, conceding an average of just one goal per game. Deportivo Cuenca also has a similar offensive performance, scoring an average of one goal per game in their away matches. Therefore, a 1-1 draw seems plausible.

2. Previous results trends: Tecnico Universitario’s recent home matches have seen three draws out of five with a 1-1 scoreline. This is a significant trend that supports a prediction of a 1-1 score for the upcoming match.

3. Draw success rate: Data shows that Deportivo Cuenca has a 40% draw rate in their away matches, further reinforcing the likelihood of a draw. Additionally, Tecnico Universitario has a 30% draw rate, which is relatively high, also indicating that a draw is likely in their next match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tecnico Universitario wins only 20% of their home matches, with also 20% ending in draws. The team scores and concedes an average of one goal per match, revealing an equal offensive and defensive potential. As for Deportivo Cuenca, the situation is even less promising. The team has not won any of their last 5 away matches and only draws in 40% of cases. Cuenca scores one goal in each match, but generally concedes two.

In terms of predictions, Tecnico Universitario’s victory is predicted at around 48%, with odds of 2.00. A draw is expected at around 30%, with odds of 3.30. Finally, Deportivo Cuenca has about a 22% chance of winning, with odds of 3.60.

In the scenario of a draw or a Tecnico victory, the probability rises to nearly 78%, with odds of 1.22. The inverse (draw or Deportivo win) is less likely at 52%, with odds of 1.68.

Regarding goals, bets suggest a total of at least 1.5 goals in the match, predicted at around 68% probability. Both teams to score have a success probability close to 50%.

Tecnico Universitario’s final score in their last matches was unimpressive, with only one win in five. Deportivo Cuenca, on the other hand, has had no recent victories in their away games.

Based on all these data, a tight match is likely with an advantage for Tecnico Universitario. Betting on less than 3.5 goals in the match also seems wise and secure.

The potential number of goals

Tecnico Universitario, at home, has had little success with only a 20% win rate. Few goals scored, only 4 in total, and the same amount conceded.
Deportivo Cuenca struggles away from home, with a complete lack of victories. More goals scored with 6, but 8 conceded.
Looking at their potential, Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca offer a mediocre performance with a 36% offensive capacity. It’s worth noting that Deportivo Cuenca concedes easily with a 71% defensive potential.
In terms of predictions, Tecnico Universitario leads with a 47.67% chance of winning, but a draw is also likely with a 30.05% probability. Deportivo Cuenca’s chances are lower at 22.28%.
If you bet on under 1.5 goals in the match, you might be surprised. The statistics show a 67.88% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals.
Deportivo Cuenca has often struggled in their recent away matches. The match against Barcelona SC (lost 4 – 0) is a good example.
As for Tecnico Universitario, their home games are balanced. They had a narrow victory against Cumbayá (1 – 0).
In summary, a potentially close but interesting match, with a slight advantage towards Tecnico Universitario. Expect less than 3.5 goals (76.68% probability).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of the recent performances of both teams and statistical data suggests that Tecnico Universitario is more likely to win or draw against Deportivo Cuenca in the upcoming match on April 18, 2024. The analysis also indicates that it’s unlikely for the match to have many goals, with a prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals for the match. Additionally, there is a considerable possibility for both teams to score during the match, despite a trend of low-scoring games.

Ultimately, the most interesting value would be to bet on fewer than 2.5 goals during the match, considering the past performances of both teams and their respective issues in terms of offensive productivity and defensive vulnerability. However, predicting the exact score remains challenging, although a 1-1 score seems probable.

It’s important to bear in mind that sports betting involves risks and these forecasts do not guarantee precise outcomes. Therefore, bets should always be placed responsibly.