Tipps Ternana Ascoli Serie B 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Ternana wins the match

1. The main statistic that supports this prediction is that Ternana has a higher combined probability of winning or drawing based on recent performances and odds. They have a success probability of 69.23%, which is significantly higher than Ascoli’s 63.08%.

2. Ternana’s recent performance at home is slightly better than Ascoli’s performance in away matches. In their last 5 home matches, Ternana has won 20% and drawn 20%, while Ascoli has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches and also drawn in 20% of those games.

3. In terms of goals scored by the home team (Ternana) and goals conceded by the away team (Ascoli), Ternana averages 0.8 goals per match while Ascoli concedes 1.6 goals per match away. This means that Ternana is more likely to score a goal than Ascoli is to concede one.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that both teams are struggling to score goals. For instance, Ternana has only scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Ascoli has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, suggesting a low-scoring game.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Ternana has shown a strong defense by conceding only 4 goals, whereas Ascoli has conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 away games. These statistics indicate that both teams are quite solid defensively.

3. The results of the teams’ recent matches indicate that most of them have ended with less than 2.5 goals. For example, in Ternana’s last 5 home matches, 4 have ended with less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, for Ascoli, 4 out of their last 5 away matches have ended with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Statistics show that Ternana has a low average of goals scored at home (0.8 goals per match) and that Ascoli has an even lower average of goals conceded away (0.6 goals conceded per match).

2. Ternana’s recent home matches show a low level of offensive play: two goalless draws, a 1-0 win, a 1-3 loss, and a 1-1 draw. This suggests a lower likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. The odds offered by bookmakers are also an important indicator. “Both teams to score – No” has a higher success probability (51.79% compared to 48.21% for “Yes”) and a slightly higher odds (1.90 compared to 1.85).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Ternana 1-1 Ascoli

1. Past performances: Both teams appear to be nearly equal in terms of recent statistics. In their last 5 matches, Ternana and Ascoli have each won 20% of their games and drawn in 20% of cases. Statistics show that they tend to score close to 1 goal per match on average, with a similar average of goals conceded. This indicates a potential balance on the field that could result in a draw.

2. Result probabilities: The probability of a draw is 32.31%, making it the second most likely outcome after a home win for Ternana. However, considering the past performances and the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a draw seems reasonably probable.

3. Number of goals: Probabilities suggest a low-scoring match, with a 68.72% chance of having over 1.5 goals and an 87.18% chance of having under 3.5 goals in the match. This, combined with the average number of goals scored by both teams, points towards a probable score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Ternana has an average performance at home, with 20% wins and 20% draws. They score 0.8 goals per match but concede 1. They have an offensive record of 29% and defensive record of 36%.

Ascoli, on the other hand, has 20% wins and draws away from home, but score more with 1 goal per match and concede less with 0.6. They have an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 21%.

The probability of Ternana winning is 36.92%, and the option of a draw or Ternana winning has a 69.23% chance of success.

Ascoli has a 30.77% chance of winning, with the draw or Ascoli’s victory having a probability of 63.08%.

It is likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (68.72% probability).

Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a slight advantage for the option of both teams not scoring (51.79%).

Based on these statistics, the match could be close with a moderate number of goals scored. Safety lies in the option of a draw or Ternana winning and more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.

Making an accurate prediction is a challenge given the recent performances of both teams, but this information provides an indication of where to place a bet to maximize the chances of winning.

The potential number of goals

Ternana has shown a modest performance at home, with only a 20% win rate in the last 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4. Their offensive potential is at 29% and defensive potential at 36%.

Ascoli, on the other hand, has only won 20% of their away matches and scored 5 goals while conceding 8. Their offensive potential is at 36% and defensive potential at 21%.

The probability of Ternana winning is 36.92% with odds of 2.45, while Ascoli has a 30.77% chance of winning with odds of 2.90. A draw is possible at 32.31% with odds of 3.20.

The match is expected to have few goals, with an 87.18% probability of under 3.5 goals (odds at 1.25). There is a 68.72% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, odds at 1.36.

Both teams scoring has a success probability of 48.21%, odds at 1.85, while both teams not scoring has a higher probability of 51.79%, odds at 1.90.

Based on these statistics, one could predict a match with few goals, possibly a draw or a slight win for Ternana.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the duel between Ternana and Ascoli looks to be competitive with a slight advantage for Ternana, especially considering their past performances and home history. With a probability of 69.23%, the safest bet would be that Ternana wins or draws.

The match is also expected to have a low number of goals, as the statistic indicates fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, supported by the recent struggles of both teams to score.

Both teams seem unlikely to score given their recent offensive inefficiency and typically low scores in their matches. However, this could provide attractive odds for those willing to take more risks.

In terms of the exact score, data suggests a possible 1-1 outcome, but this remains a risky option compared to other bets.

Overall, bettors should anticipate a close match with likely low scores. As always in sports betting, it is crucial to consider all factors and manage bets responsibly to minimize risks and maximize potential gains.