Tipps The Strongest Huachipato Copa Libertadores 16/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

The Strongest wins the match.

1. The Strongest’s home performance is significantly higher than Huachipato’s away performance, with a win rate of 80% compared to Huachipato’s 40% win rate.
2. The Strongest has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 21% when playing at home, compared to Huachipato’s respective offensive and defensive potentials of 36% and 71% away. This suggests that The Strongest has a stronger defense relative to Huachipato’s offense.
3. The probability percentage for The Strongest to win is 81.82% with odds of 1.20, which is significantly higher than the estimated win probability for Huachipato at 6.49% with odds of 13, indicating The Strongest’s superiority in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. In the last 5 home matches, The Strongest has scored more than one goal per game on average, representing a 36% probability of a strong offensive performance. This same trend is visible with Huachipato, which has scored an average of one goal in each of its away matches, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

2. From a defensive standpoint, Huachipato has shown weaknesses by conceding an average of two goals per match in its away games. The Strongest has also conceded a total of 8 goals at home in its last 5 matches, which could be a significant source of goals.

3. Betting statistics also indicate a 61.04% probability of success for a total of over 2.5 goals in this match, reinforced by the recent match history where both teams have been able to score and concede goals frequently.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches reveal that both teams have scored and conceded goals: The Strongest has scored and conceded 8 goals at home, while Huachipato has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals away.

2. Both teams have shown an ability to score regularly, as their offensive potential is 36% each. This suggests that they have the offensive quality to score in this match.

3. The recent matches of The Strongest at home and Huachipato away show that both teams have scored and conceded goals. This is especially true for Huachipato, who has scored in three of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds 6.50

Bet on the exact result

“The Strongest 2-1 Huachipato”

1. Recent Home History of The Strongest: In their last 5 home matches, The Strongest has shown a strong performance by winning the majority of the matches. They have scored a total of 8 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match, which justifies the prediction of scoring 2 goals.

2. Recent Away Performance of Huachipato: Huachipato has had a mixed performance with only two wins in their last 5 away matches. They have an average of 1 goal per match, which is insufficient compared to The Strongest’s performance, justifying the prediction of scoring 1 goal.

3. Probability Statistics: According to probability statistics, The Strongest has a very high probability of winning the match at 81.82%, and there is a probability of 85.06% for the match to have over 1.5 goals. This strongly supports the 2-1 score prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Strongest shows a strong performance at home with 4 wins out of 5. In contrast, Huachipato struggles away from home with only 2 victories.

The Strongest is solid defensively, conceding only 8 goals at home. Huachipato, on the other hand, is not as strong in defense, having conceded 6 goals on the road.

With an 81.82% probability, The Strongest is the heavy favorite to win this match. A draw seems unlikely, at only 11.69%.

In terms of offense, both teams score an average of 1 goal per game; however, Huachipato concedes more, with an average of 2 goals per game.

As for goals scored in this match, there is a 61.04% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals. However, the likelihood of a match with over 3.5 goals is low, at only 7.14%.

In summary, The Strongest appears better positioned to win and the match could see more than 2.5 goals, but less than 3.5.

The potential number of goals

The Strongest has been showing a strong performance at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. Their attack has displayed power by scoring 8 goals.

On the other hand, Huachipato has had a 40% win rate in their away games, scoring 5 goals. However, their defense has allowed 6 goals.

At home, The Strongest has a 36% offensive potential and a solid 21% defense. Huachipato shows a balanced performance in offense and defense with 36% and 71% respectively.

The probability of The Strongest winning the match is 81.82%, while a draw is less likely at 11.69%. The chance of Huachipato winning is very low at 6.49%.

There is a high likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals during the match, estimated at 85.06%. Also, a match with less than 3.5 goals is highly probable at 92.86%.

In their recent home games, The Strongest has had balanced results like 1-0, 1-2, 2-1, and 2-0. On the other hand, Huachipato has faced challenges in their away games, with scores like 3-1, 2-0, 0-0, and 0-2 in their last matches.

It is reasonable to expect a victory from The Strongest.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, the analysis of this match between The Strongest and Huachipato for the CONMEBOL Libertadores offers several betting opportunities. Based on statistics and past performances, The Strongest, with its strong home performance and solid defense, is the clear favorite to win the match, with a probability of 81.82%. However, a draw, although less likely, may prove to be an interesting value bet due to the high odds of 6.50. It is also highly likely that both teams will score and the match will end with over 2.5 goals. Predicting the exact score of 2-1 in favor of The Strongest also seems to be a good bet, based on team goal statistics. Ultimately, it is important to consider these elements when betting, while remaining cautious and prudent, as football is a sport with often unpredictable surprises.