Tipps Tigre Boca Juniors Liga Profesional 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Boca Juniors or draw

1. The probability of Boca Juniors winning or a draw is the highest among all available options – 67.21%, indicating a statistically favorable prediction.
2. Boca Juniors has shown some solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average in their last five away games, compared to Tigre who has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home games. This suggests that Boca Juniors have a strong enough defense to at least secure a draw.
3. Boca Juniors’ recent away match performances demonstrate some consistency with a tendency towards draws (40% in the last 5 games). This, combined with the fact that Tigre has only won 40% of their home matches, further indicates that the odds are in favor of Boca Juniors or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The recent home match history of Tigre shows an average of only 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating a trend towards lower scores.
2. By analyzing Boca Juniors’ recent performances away from home, a low average of 0.6 goals scored per match can be observed, indicating a struggle to score outside of their home ground.
3. The offensive potential of Tigre (43%) and Boca Juniors (21%) is not very high, suggesting that the total number of goals in the match could be less than 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Boca Juniors’ offensive weakness: In their last 5 away matches, Boca Juniors have only scored 4 goals, indicating a struggle to score on the road.
2. Tigre’s defensive strength at home: Tigre has shown a solid defense at home, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 home games.
3. Head-to-head history: The recent away matches of Boca Juniors and home matches of Tigre have shown a limited number of goals scored and a high occurrence of matches where only one team scores.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Tigre wins the match – 32.79% chance of success: 3.20

Bet on the exact result

Tigre 1-1 Boca Juniors

1. On their last 5 matches, Tigre draws in 20% of the cases at home and Boca Juniors draws in 40% of the cases away, showing some alignment that could result in a draw.
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of Tigre at home (1.2 goals scored / 0.8 goals conceded) and Boca Juniors away (0.6 goals scored / 1.2 goals conceded) make a 1-1 score possible. Tigre has shown they can score at home, and Boca Juniors, despite their struggles away, has also proven they can score.
3. Observing the recent matches of both teams shows a trend towards low-scoring games. There is also a significant probability (45.9%) of both teams scoring, which could result in a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Recently, Tigre has won two out of five matches at home, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. On the road, Boca Juniors has struggled to win, with no victories but two draws, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5.

In terms of potential, Tigre is more offensive at home than away, with 43% compared to 29%. Boca Juniors is defensive when playing away with a rate of 43%, but struggles in attack with only 21%.

For this match, the probabilities are close. Tigre has a 32.79% chance of winning, a draw has a probability of 28.96%, and Boca Juniors is slightly favored with 38.25%.

Considering the recent performance and probabilities, the safest bet seems to be “Draw or Boca Juniors win” with a success probability of 67.21%.

As for goals, the bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” seems solid with a 90.71% chance of success. Similarly, the possibility of “Both teams not to score” is more likely with a 54.1% chance of success.

The potential number of goals

The analysis shows that Tigre has an average performance at home with 40% of wins and 9 goals scored in 5 matches. Boca Juniors struggles away from home, with no wins and only 4 goals scored in the same number of matches.

In terms of defense, Tigre concedes fewer goals at home than Boca Juniors away, with 10 and 5 goals conceded respectively in 5 matches.

The probability of winning is higher for Boca Juniors (38.25%) compared to Tigre (32.79%). However, Tigre’s offensive potential is higher at 43% than that of Boca Juniors at 21%.

Regarding goals, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match with a 90.71% probability. This aligns with the previous match statistics of both teams.

In summary, we can expect a competitive match with a slight edge for Boca Juniors. However, the number of goals is expected to be limited, indicating a defensive match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and recent performances shows a tendency towards a draw or a victory for Boca Juniors in the upcoming match between these two teams. Boca Juniors appears to have a stronger defense, which could limit Tigre’s offensive potential, although Tigre has shown stronger performance at home compared to Boca Juniors away. In terms of betting, under 2.5 goals in the match seems like an interesting option, given the low goal averages of both teams. Additionally, a bet on both teams not scoring has been identified as more likely. Despite Boca Juniors’ inconsistent away performances, their strong defense seems to be a deciding factor in this match against Tigre. However, as football is an unpredictable sport, these predictions should be approached with caution and taking into account other factors such as injuries, suspensions, and the current context of the teams.