Tipps Tigre Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina 26/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tigre wins the match.

1. The home performance statistics of Tigre indicate a predominance of draws (60%), having not won any of its last 5 home matches. Meanwhile, Central Cordoba de Santiago has a poor away performance, with a win rate of only 20%. This gives a high probability of a draw or a Tigre win.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Tigre has a higher defensive potential at home (71%) compared to the offensive capability of Central Cordoba de Santiago away from home (43%). This suggests that Tigre may withstand the offensive attempts of Central Cordoba de Santiago, increasing the chances of a draw or a Tigre win.

3. Overall success probability statistics also support the prediction. The success probability of the prediction “Draw or Tigre wins the match” is 74.35%, which is significantly higher than the opposite prediction (“Draw or Central Cordoba de Santiago wins the match”) with only a 55.5% success probability. This further strengthens the argument for a draw or a Tigre win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches for both teams. In particular, Tigre has only scored 2 goals in their last 5 home matches, while conceding 3. Similarly, Central Cordoba de Santiago has scored only 4 goals in their last 5 outings, while conceding 9.

2. Furthermore, the average goals per match for both teams are also quite low. Tigre averages only 0.6 goals per match at home, compared to 1.2 for Central Cordoba de Santiago away. This suggests that both teams might struggle to score in this encounter.

3. Finally, the analysis of matches with under 2.5 goals gives odds of 1.69 (likely an odds ratio), indicating that bettors expect a low-scoring match. This expectation is supported by the strong defensive potentials of both teams (Tigre at 71% at home and Central Cordoba de Santiago at 79% away).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Looking at the offensive potential of both teams, it appears to be quite low. Tigre has an offensive potential of 21% while Central Cordoba de Santiago has an offensive potential of 43%. Both teams have struggled to score in their last five matches, with 2 goals and 4 goals scored, respectively, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games.

2. Defensively, both teams are quite effective, especially Tigre with a defensive potential of 71% and Central Cordoba de Santiago with a defensive potential of 79%. These numbers suggest that these teams tend to concede fewer goals.

3. The trend of Tigre’s last home matches and Central Cordoba de Santiago’s away matches also shows that it is likely that both teams will not score. For example, in Tigre’s last 5 home matches, the team managed to keep a clean sheet twice. Central Cordoba de Santiago, in its last 5 away matches, failed to score on two occasions.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Central Cordoba de Santiago wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Tigre 1-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

1. According to the statistics from their recent matches, Tigre and Central Cordoba de Santiago have shown an average performance in terms of goals. Tigre has scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Central Cordoba has scored 4 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that a 1-1 scoreline is possible.

2. The average number of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams also aligns with this prediction. On average, Tigre scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 2 goals per match at home. Central Cordoba scores an average of 1.2 goals per match and concedes 2.2 goals per match away. These averages point to a fairly balanced match with goal potential for each team.

3. Taking into account the probability of different outcomes, a draw seems like a plausible prediction. In fact, the probability of a draw is 29.84%, while the probabilities of each team winning are 44.5% for Tigre and 25.65% for Central Cordoba de Santiago, respectively. This further supports the idea that the match could end in a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tigre struggles at home, no wins in the last 5 matches, 3 losses and 2 draws. Their attack is anemic, only 2 goals scored. The defense leaks with 3 goals conceded. This translates to an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 71%.

Central Cordoba de Santiago struggles away from home. In the last 5 matches, only one win, 4 losses, 4 goals scored, and 9 goals conceded. They average 1.2 goals scored per match and 2.2 conceded, with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 79%.

Tigre has a 44.5% chance of winning the match, while Central Cordoba de Santiago has 25.65%. The draw is at 29.84%. The odds are 2.02 for a Tigre win, 3.65 for Central Cordoba, and 3.40 for a draw.

Over 1.5 goals in the match have a 66.49% chance of happening, with odds of 1.36. Under 3.5 goals have a 77.49% chance, with odds of 1.24.

Both teams to score have a probability of 49.21%, with odds of 1.87. On the other hand, both teams not to score have a probability of 50.79% and odds of 1.85.

In conclusion, Tigre seems like the favorite although their home performance is not convincing. A match with over 1.5 goals seems very likely. And everything remains open for both teams to score at least once.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing the latest matches, Tigre has struggled at home, not winning a single time in their last 5 matches. However, they manage to contain their opponents by conceding only one more goal than they score.

On the other hand, Central Cordoba de Santiago shows better offensive performances away from home with 4 goals in 5 matches, but has a weak defense, conceding almost double the number of goals they score.

Tigre has a relatively weak offensive potential at home with only 0.6 goals per match, but a better defensive performance by conceding only 2 goals per match. For Central Cordoba, there are more goals on average away from home (1.2).

The probabilities from the predictive modeling indicate that the most likely scenario would be a draw or a Tigre victory, with a success probability of 74.35%. The option ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ also has a high probability of 66.49%, while ‘Over 2.5 goals’ has a lower probability of 47.12%.

The probability of both teams scoring is very close to 50%, making it quite uncertain.

Looking at the recent matches, it can be observed that Tigre has a strong tendency to draw at home, while Central Cordoba de Santiago loses more frequently away.

In summary, this analysis suggests that a draw or a Tigre victory is the most likely scenario, with a reasonable chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on a detailed analysis of the statistics and recent performances of the two teams, the safest bet to make on the match between Tigre and Central Cordoba de Santiago is a draw or a Tigre win. This is mainly due to Tigre’s poor home performance and equally unimpressive away performance by Central Cordoba.

In terms of the number of goals, expecting less than 2.5 goals in the match seems like a reasonable and safe approach, given the lack of offensive efficiency from both teams and their respective defensive prowess. Similarly, betting that both teams will not score seems like a good idea considering their low offensive potential.

However, although the signs indicate that Tigre may not lose this match based on the team’s historical home performances and Central Cordoba’s offensive potential away from home, an interesting value bet would be to bet on a draw or a Central Cordoba de Santiago win.

Finally, the most likely exact score could be 1-1, considering the goal scoring and conceding statistics of both teams.

It is essential to remember that despite all these analyses and predictions, the world of football is often unpredictable and a surprise is always possible. Therefore, always bet with caution and responsibility.