Tipps Tigre Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional 29/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Deportivo Riestra wins the match.

1. The historical statistics of both teams demonstrate a weak performance in terms of winning. With Tigre not having won any of their last 5 home matches and Deportivo Riestra not having won any of their last 5 away matches, there is a strong argument to consider a draw or a win for Deportivo Riestra.

2. Probability statistics suggest that the most likely scenario is for the match to end in a draw or for Deportivo Riestra to win – with a success probability of 70%, the highest probability among all proposed scenarios.

3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is relatively low, with Tigre conceding more goals than they score on average at home, and Deportivo Riestra having a similar performance away. This also leads to considering a draw or a win for Deportivo Riestra, as Tigre’s abilities to defend their home turf seem limited.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The recent performances of both teams have been relatively weak from an offensive perspective. At home, Tigre has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, and away from home, Deportivo Riestra has scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches.

2. The defensive trend of both teams is strong. Tigre has only conceded 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Deportivo Riestra has only conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The recent meetings between these two teams have been relatively low-scoring. Therefore, the probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals is high.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Low performance history: Previous match statistics show a low winning rate for both teams, Tigre has not won any of its home matches and Deportivo Riestra also has no wins away.
2. Weak offensive capability: Both teams have a low offensive potential, as shown by their low average goals scored, with Tigre and Deportivo Riestra scoring an average of only 1 goal per match.
3. Strong defensive potential: Tigre’s high defensive potential at 64% with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match suggests the team is capable of preventing the opposing team from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 1.5 goals in the match: 2.25

Bet on the exact result

Tigre 1-1 Deportivo Riestra

1. Tigre has drawn in 60% of their recent home matches and Deportivo Riestra has drawn in 20% of their recent away matches. There is a noticeable trend towards draws for both teams.

2. On average, both teams score and concede 1 goal per match, which aligns with the proposed score of 1-1. Moreover, the “Both Teams to Score” option has a success probability of 38.18%, supporting this prediction.

3. Based on the goal statistics of both teams, the match is likely to have less than 2.5 goals as indicated by the 85.45% success rate for “Under 3.5 goals in the match”. A score of 1-1 is therefore a viable prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tigre has been struggling at home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have only scored 2 goals and conceded 3. Deportivo Riestra isn’t performing any better away from home, also without any wins. They have scored 3 goals but conceded 5.

The offensive potential is equal for Tigre and Deportivo Riestra, at only 36%. The defensive potential is 64% for Tigre and 36% for Deportivo Riestra.

The probability of Tigre winning is 30% with odds of 2.75. A draw stands at 36.36% with odds of 2.95. Deportivo Riestra has a 33.64% probability of winning the match, with odds of 2.80.

Betting on a draw or a Tigre win has a 66.36% chance of success, with odds of 1.45. Betting on a draw or a Deportivo Riestra win has a 70% chance of success, with odds of 1.47.

Betting on under 1.5 goals in the match can yield 2.25, while betting on over 1.5 goals has a 53.64% success rate with odds of 1.62.

The probability of both teams scoring is 38.18%, with odds of 2.29. If both teams do not score, the probability is 61.82%, with odds of 1.57.

Looking at their recent form, Tigre and Deportivo Riestra have had many draws or losses, which could lead to a tight encounter with few goals.

The potential number of goals

Tigre, at home, shows a poor performance with 0% wins and 60% draws in the last 5 matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match, with an offensive potential of 36%. Their defensive record is concerning with 1.8 goals conceded per match and a defense success rate of 64%.

Deportivo Riestra, away, has not won any recent matches (0%), with a draw rate of 20%. They score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, with their offensive and defensive potential at 36%.

Based on the probabilities, a draw is more likely than a win for either team. There is a 36.36% probability for a draw compared to 30% for a Tigre win and 33.64% for a Deportivo Riestra win.

There is a high probability (94.55%) for a match with less than 4.5 goals. Additionally, there is a 61.82% probability that both teams will not score.

Examining the previous matches of each team, there is a trend towards a low number of goals with most matches ending with less than 3 goals.

Based on this, a draw or a match with less than 3.5 goals seems like a reasonable bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Tigre and Deportivo Riestra is likely to be limited in terms of goals and offensive action. The recent performance level of both teams does not suggest a high-scoring affair or a decisive victory for either side. The match is expected to be evenly poised, with the possibility of a draw or a narrow win for Deportivo Riestra.

Based on statistics, there is a high probability that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals. Therefore, betting options such as “Both teams to score: No”, “Under 1.5 goals in the match”, and “Draw or Deportivo Riestra to win the match” seem to be viable betting choices.

It is also worth noting that due to the poor performance of both teams, there is potential for a value bet by betting on “Under 1.5 goals in the match” at odds of 2.25.

Finally, the suggested exact score here is a 1-1 draw, based on recent offensive and defensive performances of both teams, as well as their head-to-head history. It is important to remember that no bet is 100% certain, and responsible gambling is key.