Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Tigre Independiente
1. Independiente is more likely to win: Independiente has a success probability of 38.32% compared to 27.1% for Tigre, making Independiente the favorite to win the match.
2. Independiente’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Independiente won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time, showing a strong away performance which increases their chances of victory.
3. Stronger defense by Independiente: Independiente has shown a better defensive performance, conceding only an average of 0.2 goals per match away, compared to Tigre who concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match at home. This defensive excellence by Independiente could give them the edge over Tigre.
1. Recent match history shows low scores: The statistics from the last five games of Tigre at home and Independiente away show that these teams have a low goal-scoring rate per match. For example, in four out of the last five away games of Independiente, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored.
2. Offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams: Statistics demonstrate that Tigre averages 1.6 goals per home match, while Independiente only scores 0.8 goals on average away. Furthermore, their defensive capabilities are quite strong, with average goals conceded per match of 0.6 for Tigre and 0.2 for Independiente, indicating they are more likely to prevent goals.
3. The odds related to the proposed bets support the prediction: The prediction of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.40, meaning it is considered a highly probable event. Additionally, the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a very low success probability, only 23.36%.
1. Independiente’s defensive level away from home is quite strong, with an average of 0.2 goals conceded per match in their last 5 away matches. This reduces the likelihood of Tigre scoring.
2. Tigre has been scoring fewer goals in their recent home matches (1 goal in two of their last five matches), decreasing the likelihood of them scoring against Independiente.
3. The probability of both teams not scoring is 65.42%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (34.58%). This is a key indicator showing a strong likelihood of one or both teams not scoring.
1. Both teams have a history of scoring goals in their recent matches, with Tigre averaging 1.6 goals per home match and Independiente averaging 0.8 goals per away match. The total of these two averages is 2.4 goals per match, higher than the value of 1.5 goals.
2. In their last 5 matches, Tigre has conceded an average of 2 goals per home match and Independiente has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per away match, which could indicate a high-scoring match.
3. Many of the recent matches between these two teams have seen a total of more than 1.5 goals. For example, the match Tigre 1 – 1 Gimnasia La Plata had 2 goals, and the match Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba 0 – 3 Independiente had 3 goals. This suggests that matches between these two teams tend to be high-scoring.
1. The high percentage of draws for Independiente away (40%) and Tigre at home (20%) shows that both teams tend to have balanced performances, which could lead to a 1-1 scoreline.
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams indicate a tendency for low-scoring matches. In particular, Independiente scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match, while Tigre concedes an average of 0.6 goals per home match. This aligns with a prediction of a low score.
3. The odds suggest a higher probability for a match with less than 2.5 goals (95.33% success probability for less than 3.5 goals). Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency not to score in recent matches (65.42% probability of both teams not scoring). These factors point towards a low-scoring match, such as a 1-1 draw.
Tigre, playing at home, manages to win the match in 40% of cases. Their offense scores an average of 1.6 goals per match and their defense concedes an average of 0.6 goals.
Independiente, when playing away, either wins in 40% of cases or draws in 40% of cases. They score an average of 0.8 goals and concede 0.2 goals.
The goals scored / goals conceded ratio of both teams suggests a closely contested match. Statistics slightly favor Independiente with a 38.32% chance of winning.
Recent match trends for both teams indicate a match result with fewer than 2.5 goals (95.33% probability).
It is less likely that both teams will score, with a 65.42% chance of them not doing so.
Therefore, considering a bet on a draw or Independiente winning the match, with fewer than 2.5 total goals and both teams not scoring, could be viable. Nonetheless, this prediction should be approached with caution.
Tigre, at home, shows mixed form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their attack is productive with 9 goals scored but their defense struggles, conceding 10 goals.
Independiente, on the road, manages to achieve solid results with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. They have a struggling attack (6 goals scored) but a solid defense (7 goals conceded).
In terms of power analysis, Tigre is more efficient in attack (57% compared to Independiente’s 29%) but Independiente defends better (only 7% of goals conceded compared to Tigre’s 21%).
Based on the statistics, the match suggests a slight leaning towards Independiente with a 38.32% chance of victory. However, the “draw or Independiente win” option is the most likely with 72.9%.
But beware, this game could be low-scoring. The bet “Under 3.5 goals” is highly favored with a 95.33% chance. Additionally, the option “Both teams to not score” has a success probability of 65.42%.
In conclusion, a slight advantage for Independiente, but a match that looks to be low on goals.
In summary, based on statistics and detailed analyses of the match between Tigre and Independiente in the Argentine Liga Profesional, predictions lean towards a win, either narrow or draw, for Independiente. Independiente’s strong away performances, combined with a solid defense, seem to give them an edge over Tigre.
As for the number of goals, it is more likely to see less than 2.5 goals in the match. Both Tigre and Independiente have shown a tendency to be involved in low-scoring matches. Moreover, the probability of both teams scoring is quite low.
Finally, although the match may turn out to be low-scoring, the bet “Over 1.5 goals in the match” could offer an interesting value bet, considering their recent goal-scoring history.
It is important to remember that, despite all the expertise and careful analysis, the world of sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and risk. It is crucial to bet responsibly and wisely.
1. Independiente is more likely to win: Independiente has a success probability of 38.32% compared to 27.1% for Tigre, making Independiente the favorite to win the match.
2. Independiente’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Independiente won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time, showing a strong away performance which increases their chances of victory.
3. Stronger defense by Independiente: Independiente has shown a better defensive performance, conceding only an average of 0.2 goals per match away, compared to Tigre who concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match at home. This defensive excellence by Independiente could give them the edge over Tigre.
To not miss anything from the Tigre vs Independiente match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 01/10/2024 in the Liga Profesional live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Tigre has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Tigre has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Independiente has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Independiente has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Tigre
Tigre has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Tigre
Tigre has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente
Independiente has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente
Independiente has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Tigre and Independiente, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. Recent match history shows low scores: The statistics from the last five games of Tigre at home and Independiente away show that these teams have a low goal-scoring rate per match. For example, in four out of the last five away games of Independiente, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored.
2. Offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams: Statistics demonstrate that Tigre averages 1.6 goals per home match, while Independiente only scores 0.8 goals on average away. Furthermore, their defensive capabilities are quite strong, with average goals conceded per match of 0.6 for Tigre and 0.2 for Independiente, indicating they are more likely to prevent goals.
3. The odds related to the proposed bets support the prediction: The prediction of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.40, meaning it is considered a highly probable event. Additionally, the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a very low success probability, only 23.36%.
Finding a forecast for the Tigre Independiente match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Tigre Independiente on 01/10/2024 in Estadio José Dellagiovanna are the team's past performance in the Liga Profesional, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Tigre at home and Independiente away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 01/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Tigre and Independiente on 01/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga Profesional, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Tigre could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Tigre and Independiente, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Tigre and the away win rate of Independiente, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 01/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Tigre and Independiente can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 01/10/2024 at Estadio José Dellagiovanna.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Tigre and Independiente, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Tigre or Independiente on 01/10/2024.
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