Tipps Tigres UANL Necaxa Liga MX 21/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is: Draw or Tigres UANL wins the match.

1. The first argument is based on Tigres UANL’s home performance. With a win rate of 60% and a draw rate of 20%, they are a strong team on their own turf. Moreover, Tigres UANL’s offensive potential at home is 57% and their defensive potential is 71%, indicating a certain superiority compared to Necaxa, which has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 43% in their away games.

2. The second argument concerns the probability of the prediction’s success. The prediction “Draw or Tigres UANL wins the match” has a success probability of 78.57%, which is much higher than Necaxa’s winning probability of only 21.43%.

3. Lastly, the final argument is based on the latest matches played by both teams. Tigres UANL has scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 home matches. As for Necaxa, although they have managed to score in each of their recent away matches, they have also conceded goals, indicating some defensive weakness that could lean towards Tigres UANL or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that Tigres UANL, when playing at home, has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 71%. Necaxa, when playing away, has an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 43%. These numbers indicate a high probability of goals from both sides.

2. In their last five matches, Tigres UANL has scored 11 goals (an average of 2.2 goals per match) and Necaxa has also scored 9 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per match). The trend of both teams scoring is strong, further supporting the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. The forecast “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 57.65%, with odds of 1.72. This probability is higher than that of the forecast “Under 2.5 goals in the match.” Therefore, it is more logical to bet on the former forecast.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Based on recent performances, Tigres UANL have shown a strong offensive and defensive prowess at home, with a total of 11 goals scored and 11 goals conceded, suggesting they are likely to both score and concede goals in this match.

2. Recent away matches for Necaxa indicate they have the ability to both score and concede goals. In their last 5 away matches, they have scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals.

3. Looking at the offensive and defensive potential rates, Necaxa has an 79% offensive potential away from home, indicating they are very likely to score. Additionally, Tigres UANL has a 71% defensive potential at home, meaning they are also likely to concede a goal. These factors increase the probability of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.75

Bet on the exact result

Tigres UANL 2-2 Necaxa

1. In their last 5 matches, both teams have shown a relatively high offensive performance, each scoring more than 1.5 goals on average per match. This data suggests a fairly offensive match and justifies a score prediction of 2-2.

2. The probability percentage of both teams scoring during the match is quite high at 63.78%, which leads us to believe that each team has a strong chance of scoring at least one goal. A 2-2 draw would therefore be a possibility.

3. Statistics show that Necaxa tends to draw away matches in 40% of cases, while having an offensive potential of 79%. Furthermore, Tigres UANL also tends to draw in 20% of cases while conceding an average of 2 goals at home, which could indicate a draw with a high number of goals, such as the score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tigres UANL has won 60% of their home matches and scored 11 goals. On the other hand, Necaxa has won 40% of their away matches with 9 goals scored.

Tigres UANL has an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per home match, but a less solid defense with an average of 2 goals conceded.

Necaxa, when playing away, shows more convincing stats with an average of 2.2 goals per match and a stronger defense conceding only 1.2 goals, representing 79% offensive potential and 43% defensive potential.

In this match, the probability of Tigres UANL winning is 44.39% with odds of 1.90. The possibility of a draw is estimated at 34.18% (odds: 3.75) and Necaxa has a 21.43% chance of winning (odds: 3.75).

There is an 82.65% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals (odds: 1.22) and a 57.65% chance that the total goals will exceed 2.5 (odds: 1.72). Both teams could score with a probability of 63.78% (odds: 1.66).

Therefore, based on the available data, an interesting bet would be “over 1.5 goals in the match” (odds: 1.22) based on the offensive potential of each team. Another bet would be the probability that “both teams score” (odds: 1.66) based on the average goals conceded and scored by each team.

The potential number of goals

Tigres UANL shows a strong performance at home, with a 60% win rate. However, their attack is inconsistent, scoring 11 goals in 5 matches. Their defense is also unreliable, conceding just as many goals.

Necaxa, on the other hand, has a 40% win rate when playing away, along with an equal number of draws. With 9 goals scored and 11 conceded, the team’s performance on the road is balanced.

Tigres UANL boasts a 57% offensive strength but a weak defense at 71%. Necaxa competes with a strong offensive potential at 79% and a less solid defense at 43%.

Calculations indicate that Tigres UANL has a 44.39% chance of winning, compared to 21.43% for Necaxa. A draw is possible at 34.18%. Bets on “draw or Tigres win” are favored with a 78.57% probability.

The match could be high-scoring. Over 1.5 goals are expected with a probability of 82.65%. A total of over 2.5 goals is anticipated with a 57.65% chance. Both teams have a 63.78% chance of scoring.

Considering these statistics, a lively match is predicted where Tigres UANL seems to have a slight edge.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it is clear that this match between Tigres UANL and Necaxa could see a high number of goals, with a strong likelihood for both teams to score. The statistics indicate a slight dominance for Tigres UANL, especially at home, but the match could just as easily end in a draw considering that both teams have conceded a fairly high number of goals. It is important to keep an eye on Necaxa’s performance away from home. Interesting bets would therefore be on “draw or Tigres UANL to win”, “over 2.5 goals in the match”, and “both teams to score”. However, in the realm of sports betting, it is crucial to remember that even with thorough analysis, risk is always present. Therefore, bet with caution and gamble responsibly.