Tipps Tokyo Verdy Cerezo Osaka J1 League 06/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cerezo Osaka wins the match.

1. Cerezo Osaka’s away performance: Cerezo Osaka has a good record in their away matches with a 40% win rate and 60% draws. Additionally, they have a strong defense when playing away, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match.

2. Probability of success: Based on the provided statistics, Cerezo Osaka wins the match with a success probability of 37.7%, meaning they are more likely to win than Tokyo Verdy or a draw.

3. Cerezo Osaka’s recent away performance: Taking into account the results of Cerezo Osaka’s previous away matches (Jubilo Iwata 1 – 1 Cerezo Osaka, Machida Zelvia 2 – 2 Cerezo Osaka, Kyoto Sanga 1 – 1 Cerezo Osaka, FC Ryukyu 0 – 1 Cerezo Osaka, Avispa Fukuoka 0 – 3 Cerezo Osaka), the team has shown an ability to score goals and get results away, especially against Avispa Fukuoka and FC Ryukyu.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Goal Statistics: Both teams have shown quite high goal statistics in their recent matches. Tokyo Verdy scored 13 goals and conceded 16 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Cerezo Osaka scored 8 goals away in the same period, indicating a strong possibility of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Goal Average: The average goals scored per match for both teams is over 1.5. Tokyo Verdy averages 1.8 goals per home match and Cerezo Osaka averages 1.8 goals per away match. This suggests that both teams have the offensive potential to score more than 2.5 goals together.

3. Recent Performances: Analyzing the recent results of both teams shows that they tend to be involved in high-scoring matches. For example, in the Tokyo Verdy vs. Consadole Sapporo match, there were 8 goals scored, and in the Avispa Fukuoka vs. Cerezo Osaka match, there were 3 goals scored, which may indicate a trend for matches where more than 2.5 goals are scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities in their last 5 matches, with Tokyo Verdy scoring 13 goals at home and Cerezo Osaka scoring 8 goals away. This indicates a high potential for both teams to score at least one goal.

2. The total goals conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches is also high, showing that they can both be defensively vulnerable. Tokyo Verdy has conceded 16 goals at home while Cerezo Osaka has conceded 8 goals away. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood that both teams will score in the match.

3. Looking at the recent matches of both teams, it is clear that they have a history of scoring goals in their encounters, with results such as “Tokyo Verdy 5 – 3 Consadole Sapporo” and “Avispa Fukuoka 0 – 3 Cerezo Osaka.” These high scores suggest that there is a good chance that “both teams to score: Yes” will occur in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Cerezo Osaka win the match – 1.40.

Bet on the exact result

Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Cerezo Osaka

1. Past statistics show that Tokyo Verdy averages 1.8 goals per match at home, while Cerezo Osaka also averages 1.8 goals per away match. This indicates a high offensive potential on both sides, which could lead to a draw with multiple goals scored.

2. In Cerezo Osaka’s last 5 away matches, three ended in a draw (60%). Similarly, Tokyo Verdy had a 40% draw rate in their last five home matches. This could suggest a possible repetition of this trend and result in a draw.

3. The probability odds suggest that the most likely scenario is a match with “Over 1.5 goals scored” and “Over 2.5 goals”. This is based on the offensive potential of both teams and further supports the possibility of a final score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tokyo Verdy is showing good form at home, with a 60% win rate. They have scored 13 goals, an average of 1.8 per match, and conceded 16 goals. The offensive potential is solid at 64%, but the defense is lacking at 57%.

Cerezo Osaka has a balanced away form with a 40% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored and conceded 8 goals, showcasing a strong defense at 29%, and a similar offensive potential to Verdy at 64%.

Probabilities based on recent statistics favor a win for Cerezo Osaka at 37.7% or a draw at 31.69%. The likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match is high at nearly 70%, so the attack will be a key focus.

Tokyo Verdy’s last five home matches include a notable 5-0 victory against Parceiro Nagano and a 0-2 loss to Real Sociedad. Meanwhile, Cerezo Osaka has managed to remain unbeaten away with tight scores and frequent draws.

Considering these key factors, although Tokyo Verdy has a home advantage, Cerezo Osaka demonstrates good stability in their away matches, which could potentially result in a draw or a win for Osaka. Given their similar offensive potential, the chances are also strong for both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Tokyo Verdy is strong at home, winning 60% of matches. They have an impressive offensive flair with 1.8 goals per game. However, their vulnerability should be noted with 16 goals conceded in 5 matches.

Cerezo Osaka, often solid away from home, wins 40% of matches and concedes 8 goals in 5 matches. Their attack is also strong with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

Both teams have similar offensive capabilities, but Tokyo Verdy seems to have a weaker defense.

The chances of victory are 30.6% for Tokyo Verdy and 37.7% for Cerezo Osaka. A draw is a possibility at 31.69%.

If betting on the total goals, there is a high chance (69.95%) of having more than 1.5 goals. However, there is a lower probability (42.62%) of the match exceeding 2.5 goals.

As for both teams scoring, the chances are nearly balanced at close to 50%.

Based on these statistics, I would recommend expecting a match with more than 1.5 goals, a chance for Cerezo Osaka to win, and a possibility of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka is expected to be highly contested, with a strong likelihood of both teams scoring due to their similar offensive potential. The statistics favor a win or a draw for Cerezo Osaka, especially due to their solid performances away from home. Additionally, the forecast suggests that there could be over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating an exciting encounter. Lastly, betting on a draw or a Cerezo Osaka victory at odds of 1.40 provides an interesting value bet considering the team’s recent form. It is essential to remember that, despite these predictions and analyses, football remains an unpredictable sport and risk is inherent in any sports betting.