Tipps Tokyo Verdy Nagoya Grampus J1 League 22/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Nagoya Grampus wins the match

1. Nagoya Grampus has a higher win percentage (60%) compared to Tokyo Verdy (40%) in their respective last 5 matches, indicating a better overall recent performance.
2. The odds for Nagoya Grampus to win the match are 2.75 with a success probability of 37.37%, slightly higher than other possible outcomes of the match. Bookmakers seem to believe that Nagoya has a slight advantage.
3. Despite their less impressive away results, Nagoya Grampus has managed to score in each of their last 5 away matches. This, coupled with the fact that Tokyo Verdy has conceded goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches, could indicate that Nagoya Grampus has a good chance of scoring and potentially winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

My prediction is Over 2.5 goals.

1. Tokyo Verdy has shown its offensive potential by averaging 2.4 goals per match at home in their last 5 games. With an 86% offensive potential, it is likely that this team will score at least 2 goals in the match.

2. Nagoya Grampus, despite having a lower offensive potential of less than 29% away from home, has demonstrated a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match in their last 5 away games. This leaves room for a third goal in the match.

3. The recent matches of both teams indicate a tendency towards an offensive game. For example, in Tokyo Verdy’s last home match against Consadole Sapporo, 8 goals were scored. Similarly, in Nagoya Grampus’ last away match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 5 goals were scored. These are indications that there could be more than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Nagoya Grampus is quite low away from home, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. Additionally, they have a defensive potential of only 29%, which reduces their likelihood of scoring.

2. On the other hand, Tokyo Verdy has a relatively strong defensive potential at home, conceding only an average of 1.8 goals per match. This means they are less likely to let in a goal.

3. Match history shows that in two out of the last five away matches of Nagoya Grampus, they did not score any goals. Similarly, Tokyo Verdy failed to score in two out of their last five home matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Nagoya Grampus

1. The statistics of the last 5 home matches of Tokyo Verdy and away matches of Nagoya Grampus show a fairly balanced trend in the performances of both teams. Tokyo Verdy has a 40% probability of winning and drawing at home, while Nagoya Grampus has a 60% chance of winning away and a 20% chance of a draw. These statistics support a possible 2-2 scoreline, representing a draw.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams. Tokyo Verdy has shown a strong offensive potential at home, averaging 2.4 goals per match. On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus has shown an ability to score away while having a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. These offensive and defensive statistics are consistent with a 2-2 draw.

3. The recent performances of both teams show a relatively high frequency of goals in their matches. In particular, Tokyo Verdy’s home matches tend to be high-scoring, with recent scores such as 5-0 and 5-3. As for Nagoya Grampus, their away matches show a potential for high scores, with recent matches such as 2-1 and 2-3.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tokyo Verdy has a relatively stable home form with 40% wins and the same number of draws. Their goal-scoring rate shows an interesting offensive potential: 12 goals in total, averaging 2.4 per match. However, their defensive potential is weaker: they have conceded 12 goals, an average of 1.8 per match.

Nagoya Grampus shows better performance away from home with 60% wins. But the number of goals scored is less impressive: 10 goals in total, averaging 0.8 per match. With 12 goals conceded, their defense has vulnerabilities.

For the upcoming match, the data suggests a slightly higher probability of victory for Nagoya Grampus: 37.37% compared to 34.74% for Tokyo Verdy. It’s very close.

However, if considering the possibility of a draw or a win, Tokyo Verdy (62.63%) has a slight advantage over Nagoya Grampus (65.26%). The game is wide open.

The probability of scoring more than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high: 67.37%. On the other hand, the probability of scoring more than 2.5 goals is lower: 38.42%.

Finally, the possibility of both teams scoring is quite balanced: 45.79% probability, while the opposite option stands at 54.21%.

In summary, the trend seems to favor a victory for Nagoya Grampus but with a relatively close scoreline. A safe bet on over 1.5 goals could be a good option.

The potential number of goals

Tokyo Verdy is often tough to beat at home, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws in their last 5 matches. They have a strong attacking potential, averaging 2.4 goals per game. However, their defense is average, conceding an average of 1.8 goals.

On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus is very strong away from home with a 60% win rate. However, they score less, with an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their defense is slightly better, conceding an average of 1 goal per game.

Both teams seem fairly evenly matched, with a similar win rate. Nagoya has a slight edge with a 37.37% chance of winning compared to Tokyo’s 34.74%.

The match could be tight with an average of goals below 3.5 according to the data. In fact, the probability of the match ending with less than 3.5 goals is 90%.

In summary, for this match between Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya, we can expect a close game with few goals and a low probability of victory for each team. Betting on under 3.5 goals in the match seems to be a safe option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a thorough analysis of the recent performances of Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus, the prognosis would be a slight victory for Nagoya Grampus, given that they have shown better performance in their previous matches and have the potential to score, even away from home. Furthermore, the option of over 2.5 goals in the match seems to offer an interesting value bet considering Tokyo Verdy’s offensive potential at home and Nagoya’s defensive weakness away.

On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is not very high, making the BTTS: No bet less plausible. For the exact score prediction, a 2-2 draw is considered based on the balanced performances of both teams.

In conclusion, the data suggests that the match could be highly contested with a relatively high number of goals scored. Betting on a Nagoya Grampus victory, a total number of goals over 2.5, and an exact score of 2-2 could be options to consider for this encounter between Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus. As always, while statistics provide valuable insight, the final bet should take into account any unforeseen factors that could influence the outcome. Good luck to all bettors!