Tipps Tokyo Verdy Shonan Bellmare J1 League 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tokyo Verdy win the match

1. Tokyo Verdy’s home performances show a strong trend of not losing. With 40% of wins and 60% of draws, the team appears to be solid when playing on its own turf.

2. Despite Shonan Bellmare having a 60% chance of winning away from home, they have a higher average of goals conceded than goals scored (1.8 against 1.4). This indicates a defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Tokyo Verdy.

3. The probabilistic analysis reinforces the initial prediction. With a 71.35% probability for a draw or a Tokyo Verdy win, this scenario is statistically the most likely.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last five home matches of Tokyo Verdy and away matches of Shonan Bellmare show a tendency towards relatively low scores. Tokyo Verdy has scored 6 goals and Shonan Bellmare 7 goals, resulting in an average of less than 3 goals per match.

2. Tokyo Verdy’s offensive potential at home is 71% while Shonan Bellmare has a 50% offensive potential away, indicating relatively weak offensive efficiency for both teams, making a low-scoring match likely.

3. Betting odds suggest an 81.77% probability of a match with less than 3.5 goals, providing an indication of the overall betting trend, supporting the prediction of a match with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of each team is quite high, with Tokyo Verdy having a rate of 71% and Shonan Bellmare 50%. This suggests that both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring during the match.
2. The goals conceded statistics show that both teams have relatively weak defensive potential, especially Shonan Bellmare with a rate of 64%. This means there is a high probability that each team will concede at least one goal.
3. The recent match results of both teams show a tendency towards high scores. Most matches have seen both teams scoring. This reinforces the assumption that both teams will score during their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Shonan Bellmare

1. Tokyo Verdy has the home advantage with 60% of their previous matches ending in a draw. Coupled with the fact that they have scored 6 goals but conceded 7 at home shows that they have stable performances but leave some defensive errors that could allow Shonan Bellmare to score.

2. Shonan Bellmare has an offensive potential of 50% when playing away, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, they have a defensive potential of 64%, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, indicating some vulnerability in defense, which could allow Tokyo Verdy to score.

3. The statistics give a higher probability percentage for a draw or Tokyo Verdy winning the match (71.35%) and over 1.5 goals in the match (69.27%). A 1-1 draw score would be in line with these two probabilities, with both teams having the potential to score at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tokyo Verdy has a strong home performance with 40% wins and 60% draws. Their recent matches show an ability to score, with an average of 2 goals per game. However, they have also conceded more goals at home.

On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare has an impressive away record, with 60% wins on the road. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, but with a less effective defense conceding 1.8 goals on average.

The highest probability is a draw or a Tokyo Verdy win, at 71.35%. However, Shonan Bellmare should not be underestimated, with a 56.25% chance of winning or drawing.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, at 81.77%. Both teams have a scoring ability so there is a 51.56% chance of both teams scoring.

However, the statistics indicate a balanced and difficult-to-predict match. Given Tokyo’s home strength, a draw or a slight advantage to Verdy seem plausible. However, beware of Shonan’s good form away from home.

The potential number of goals

Tokyo Verdy show stability at home, with 40% of wins and 60% of draws. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare has demonstrated superiority away from home with 60% of wins and 7 goals scored.

Tokyo Verdy has an offensive potential of 71% but a defensive potential of 29%. For Shonan Bellmare, this ratio is 50% in attack and 64% in defense.

There is a 43.75% chance for Tokyo Verdy to win and a 28.65% chance for Shonan Bellmare. The probability of a draw is 27.6%.

According to the numbers, it is likely that there will be over 1.5 goals (69.27%) but less than 3.5 goals (81.77%).

Both teams have roughly equal chances of scoring, with a slight advantage for “yes” at 51.56%.

In summary, this match appears balanced with an edge to Tokyo Verdy and less than 3.5 expected goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In essence, the analysis of this match between Tokyo Verdy and Shonan Bellmare indicates a likely balanced and interesting match for bettors. Tokyo Verdy’s home performance and Shonan Bellmare’s offensive potential are two key factors to consider.

The match is likely to end with a close score, under 3.5 goals overall, with a high chance for both teams to score. A bet on a draw or a Tokyo Verdy win seems the safest, as the team has a home advantage, while a bolder bet would be on a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

However, it is always advisable for bettors to consider all factors and the teams’ developments leading up to the match day, as well as their own judgment, before placing their bets.