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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Toluca Atlas
Tipps Toluca Atlas Liga MX 29/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Toluca wins the match
1. Home Performance: Toluca has a good record when playing at home with 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, the team’s offensive capability at home is quite strong, with an average of 2 goals per match.
2. Away Performance of Atlas: Atlas has a less impressive record when playing away, only winning 20% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they score fewer goals per match on average and concede more goals compared to Toluca.
3. Probabilities: Statistics indicate a 64.55% probability of Toluca winning the match, which is significantly higher than Atlas’s chances of winning the match (14.29%).
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match
1. Historical data shows a high scoring potential for both teams. Indeed, Toluca has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home, while Atlas has scored 1 goal per match away.
2. Toluca has a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match at home. Similarly, Atlas concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match away. This increases the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Probability forecasts indicate “Over 2.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 57.67%, which remains relatively high. This element supports the forecast of a match with more than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Toluca’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, they have scored an average of 2 goals per game with an offensive performance of 71%. Additionally, they have conceded a total of 12 goals, highlighting a defensive weakness.
2. Atlas’s away defensive performance: In their last 5 away matches, Atlas has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game with a defensive potential of 50%. Therefore, it is likely that they will concede a goal in this match.
3. Match trends: Recent matches involving Toluca at home and Atlas away have often seen both teams scoring. For instance, with Toluca, all but one of their last 5 home matches have seen both teams score. Similarly, at Atlas, except for one match, all of their recent away matches have seen both them and their opponents scoring.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. Statistically, over their last 5 matches, both Toluca and Atlas have an average of goals per game (scored and conceded) that exceeds 2.5. Toluca has an average of 3.2 goals per game (2 scored and 1.2 conceded) and Atlas has an average of 2.4 goals per game (1 scored and 1.4 conceded), which suggests a game total of over 2.5 goals.
2. The recent matches of Toluca at home and Atlas away also show a trend towards an excess of goals. Except for one exception for Toluca (Toluca 1 – 2 Colorado Rapids) and Atlas (Houston Dynamo 0 – 1 Atlas), all other listed matches have had more than 2.5 goals.
3. The calculated probability for the value bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 57.67%, which is significantly higher than the inverse probability (under 2.5 goals). This high probability makes this bet a Potential choice.
Bet on the exact result
Toluca 2-1 Atlas
1. Toluca’s home statistics: In their last 5 home matches, Toluca has mostly won (60% of the time), scores fairly frequently with an average of 2 goals per match, and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match. This trend aligns with the predicted score of 2-1.
2. Atlas’ away performances: In Atlas’ last 5 away matches, their results have been poor with only a 20% win rate. Additionally, Atlas scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match, which also corresponds to the predicted score of 2-1 in favor of Toluca.
3. Result probabilities: Future probabilities also support this prediction. The probability of Toluca winning the match is 64.55%, and the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is 80.95%. There is also a greater than 50% chance of both teams scoring in this match (55.56%), which aligns with the predicted score of 2-1.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Toluca seem stronger at home with a victory in 60% of their recent matches. They have scored 11 goals in these matches, possessing an offensive potential of 71%. However, Toluca has conceded 12 goals, showing defensive weakness.
Atlas only wins 20% of their away matches. They have scored only 4 goals in 5 matches. The offensive potential is at 36% and they have also conceded 4 goals.
There is a 64.55% chance of Toluca winning, with odds of 1.55. The option of a draw or Toluca winning also has a high probability of success, at 85.71%, with odds of 1.14.
It seems likely that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, with a probability of 80.95%. However, the possibility of fewer than 3.5 goals being scored also seems strong, with a probability of 69.84%.
Finally, it should be noted that in 55.56% of cases, both teams score.
Based on these statistics, my prediction would lean towards a Toluca victory with more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.
The potential number of goals
Toluca, when playing at home, has a positive record. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 12 goals.
On the other hand, Atlas struggles to perform well away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. Their 4 goals scored and conceded show a balanced record.
On average, Toluca scores 2 goals per home match. Their offensive capability stands strong at 71%, while their defense is at 43%.
During their away games, Atlas scores an average of one goal per match. Their attacking prowess is relatively weak at 36%, but their defense is solid at 50%.
The prediction favors Toluca with a 64.55% probability of winning. A draw or a victory for Toluca is the safest prediction with an 85.71% chance.
Expectations are for a high-scoring match. There is an 80.95% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match. There is a 55.56% chance that both teams will score at least one goal.
Let’s not forget the recent results of Toluca and Atlas. Toluca scores regularly but also concedes goals to their opponents. Atlas, on the other hand, struggles to find the net away from home. All of this points to a potentially high-scoring match, with a probable victory for Toluca.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis of recent performances, home and away game statistics, as well as match result probabilities, strongly suggest a victory for Toluca against Atlas. Taking into account the defensive performances of both teams, it is also likely that the match will have over 2.5 goals. Another interesting trend is that both teams tend to score in the same match, which could also be the case in this encounter.
The value bet for this match appears to be “over 2.5 goals in the match,” which has a probability of 57.67%, significantly higher than the inverse probability. The exact predicted score for the match is 2-1 in favor of Toluca. In practical terms, if you were to bet, a Toluca win with over 2.5 goals in the match could be an interesting and potentially profitable bet.
It is important to remember that sports betting carries risks and should be done responsibly. The information presented in this article is based on statistics and probabilities and does not guarantee a certain outcome.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Toluca against Atlas on 29/09/2024
1. Home Performance: Toluca has a good record when playing at home with 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, the team’s offensive capability at home is quite strong, with an average of 2 goals per match.
2. Away Performance of Atlas: Atlas has a less impressive record when playing away, only winning 20% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they score fewer goals per match on average and concede more goals compared to Toluca.
3. Probabilities: Statistics indicate a 64.55% probability of Toluca winning the match, which is significantly higher than Atlas’s chances of winning the match (14.29%).
Live Match: Get all the details about the Toluca vs Atlas match!
To not miss anything from the Toluca vs Atlas match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 29/09/2024 in the Liga MX live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Toluca vs Atlas
Lineups Toluca
Lineups Atlas
Match Highlights Toluca vs Atlas on 29/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Toluca vs Atlas match on 29/09/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Toluca and Atlas
All statistics for the match between Toluca and Atlas will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Toluca against Atlas!
Form state of Toluca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Toluca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Toluca has a form rating of %.
Form state of Atlas in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Atlas has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atlas has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Toluca against Atlas!
Average goals scored by Toluca in the current season.
Goals scored by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Toluca
Toluca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Toluca
Toluca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Atlas in the current season
Goals scored by Atlas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atlas
Atlas has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atlas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atlas
Atlas has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Toluca and Atlas, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Toluca vs Atlas: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Historical data shows a high scoring potential for both teams. Indeed, Toluca has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home, while Atlas has scored 1 goal per match away.
2. Toluca has a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match at home. Similarly, Atlas concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match away. This increases the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Probability forecasts indicate “Over 2.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 57.67%, which remains relatively high. This element supports the forecast of a match with more than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Toluca and Atlas!
The last 5 winning predictions für Toluca
The last 5 winning predictions für Atlas
How do I find the best forecast for Toluca Atlas?
Finding a forecast for the Toluca Atlas match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Toluca Atlas on 29/09/2024 in Estadio Nemesio Díez are the team's past performance in the Liga MX, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Toluca at home and Atlas away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 29/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Toluca and Atlas on 29/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga MX, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Toluca and Atlas, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Toluca and the away win rate of Atlas, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 29/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Toluca and Atlas can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 29/09/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Toluca and Atlas, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Toluca or Atlas on 29/09/2024.
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