Tipps Toluca Club Tijuana Liga MX 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Toluca wins the match

1. Toluca’s Home Performance: Over their last 5 home matches, Toluca has won in 60% of cases and has an offensive potential of 64%. This demonstrates a certain level of dominance at home which could be a determining factor in the outcome of the match.

2. Tijuana’s Away Performance: Tijuana has had significantly poorer performances away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches and having a weaker defensive potential of 71%. This could reduce their chances of winning against a stronger home team like Toluca.

3. Overall Probabilities: The predicted probability of Toluca winning the match is 57.24%, a relatively high odds compared to other options. This indicates a statistical confidence that Toluca will win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of both teams: Over their last 5 matches, Toluca has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game and Tijuana has scored an average of 1.6 goals per game. This results in a combined average of 3.4 goals per game, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defensive frailty of both teams: Toluca concedes an average of 1.4 goals and Tijuana concedes 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches respectively. This indicates a tendency to allow their opponents to score, thus further increasing the chance of a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. Match history: The recent matches of both teams have consistently seen over 2.5 goals scored. For example, in Toluca’s last 5 home matches, 4 have seen over 2.5 goals, and in Tijuana’s last 5 away matches, 3 have seen over 2.5 goals. This demonstrates that these teams have a historical tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The performance of both teams shows that they have the ability to score goals. Toluca has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home games while Tijuana has scored 4 goals in their last 5 away games.

2. Looking at the defensive performance, Toluca has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home games and Tijuana has conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away games, indicating that both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities.

3. The statistics show a 62.5% probability that both teams will score. Given the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams, this prediction seems reasonable.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds at 4.50

Bet on the exact result

Toluca 2-1 Tijuana

1. Home performance of Toluca: In their last 5 home matches, Toluca has shown their strong offensive potential by scoring 10 goals, which is an average of 2 goals per match. Moreover, they have won 60% of their home matches, indicating some superiority on their own turf.

2. Away performance of Tijuana: When playing away, Tijuana struggles to maintain a good defense, as evidenced by conceding 5 goals in their last 5 matches. They also have a tendency to lose away from home, winning only 20% of their matches.

3. Statistical probabilities: The statistics favor a match with over 1.5 goals (86.18% probability), both teams scoring (62.5% probability), and under 4.5 goals in the match (75% probability). These probabilities support a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Toluca.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Toluca is showing good form at home, winning 60% of their matches. They have scored a total of 10 goals in 5 matches. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 11 goals. On average, they score 1.8 goals per match and concede 1.4 goals.

Tijuana struggles away from home with only 20% wins and the same amount of draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5 in 5 matches. On average, Tijuana scores 1.6 goals and concedes 2 goals per match.

The predictions favor Toluca with a 57.24% chance of winning. A draw seems less likely at 24.34%. Tijuana has only an 18.42% chance of winning.

In terms of goals, there is an 86.18% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals and a 58.55% chance for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams are expected to score as there is a 62.5% probability.

In their recent matches, Toluca has mostly achieved victories, while Tijuana has often lost away from home.

In conclusion, Toluca seems to be in better form to win this match. A rather offensive game can be expected.

The potential number of goals

Toluca seems strong at home, winning 60% of their recent matches. They have scored 10 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2 goals per game. However, their defense appears weak with 11 goals conceded.

Tijuana struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. With only 4 goals scored and 5 conceded, their offensive and defensive performance is moderate.

The probabilities heavily favor Toluca with a 57.24% chance of victory. The chances of a draw are at 24.34%.

Over 1.5 goals in the match has a strong probability of 86.18%, suggesting a potentially lively game.

Both teams have a 62.5% chance of scoring in this match.

Given these stats, Toluca appears to be the favorite. Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match or both teams to score could be wise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the previous performances of the two teams, Toluca seems to have the advantage due to their superiority at home. Their home win percentage and strong offensive potential indicate a high probability of a victory, although they tend to concede goals. On the other hand, Tijuana has shown weaker performances away from home.

The number of goals scored by both teams in their recent matches suggests that it is likely to see a game with over 2.5 goals. The probabilities also indicate that both teams will score during the match.

The interesting value bet for this match is the draw. Although less likely than a Toluca win, the potential return is attractive.

For the exact score bet, Toluca’s offensive trend combined with Tijuana’s defensive vulnerability points towards a final score favoring Toluca at 2-1.

Overall, the forecast suggests that Toluca will win in an offensive game where both teams will score. However, as sports betting carries risks, it is important to bet responsibly.