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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Toluca Cruz Azul
Tipps Toluca Cruz Azul Liga MX 28/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Toluca wins the match
1. Toluca has an outstanding home record, with a 100% win rate in their last matches, highlighting their dominance on their own turf.
2. Toluca’s offensive potential at home (114%) is significantly higher than Cruz Azul’s away record (57%). With an average of 3.2 goals per game at home, Toluca possesses a serious goal-scoring threat that could challenge Cruz Azul’s defense.
3. Despite Cruz Azul winning some away games, their overall performance remains inferior. They have only won 40% of their away matches and have scored just 4 goals, significantly lower than Toluca’s home performance. This suggests that Cruz Azul could struggle to prevail against Toluca.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Toluca’s home performances have been impressive with an average of 3.2 goals scored per match. This shows a strong offensive capability, increasing the likelihood of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. In their last 5 away matches, Cruz Azul has scored an average of 1.6 goals per game. Coupled with Toluca’s relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match, this indicates that the match could be high-scoring.
3. Toluca’s recent home matches have shown a trend of high-scoring games, with final scores like 4-1, 3-0, and 2-1. This reinforces the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Toluca’s offensive potential at home is very high (114%), indicating that they are very likely to score at least one goal in the match. Additionally, they have scored a total of 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, proving their strong goal-scoring record.
2. Cruz Azul, despite a less consistent away record, has a notable offensive potential at 57%. They have scored a total of 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, showing that they also have the ability to score.
3. Looking at the defensive statistics, Toluca has conceded a considerable number of goals at home (12 goals in 5 matches), and Cruz Azul has a defensive potential of only 36% away from home. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to concede goals, making it probable that both teams will score during the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw – 32.82% success probability: 3.50
1. Considering the scores of Toluca’s last 5 home matches where the defense seems to have a significant flaw with 12 goals conceded, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per match, and Cruz Azul’s away performance where they have scored in all matches except one, there is a strong possibility for Cruz Azul to score in this match. This statistic could lead to a draw if Toluca also scores, as they have done in all their recent home matches.
2. The odds of 3.50 for a draw seem to be of good value given the probabilities. With a success probability of 32.82%, the expected value of the bet (odds multiplied by the probability of winning) is positive. In the long run, bets with a positive expected value are advantageous.
3. When comparing the attacking and defensive statistics of both teams, it is clear that Cruz Azul has a stronger defense (only 1 goal conceded on average in away matches) compared to Toluca’s attack (3.2 goals on average per home match). This could lead to a balance of power on the field and result in a draw.
Bet on the exact result
Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul
1. The overall trend for Toluca at home is very positive. With a 100% win record in their last 5 matches and an average of 3.2 goals per game, Toluca has showcased a strong attacking ability and a relatively solid defensive resistance, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game.
2. Cruz Azul, in their last 5 away matches, has shown a lower attacking capability with only 1.6 goals per game and a relatively weak defensive capacity, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. The away win rate is only 40%.
3. The probabilities also indicate that the likelihood of Toluca winning the match is the highest (36.92%) among the three possible outcomes (Toluca win, draw, Cruz Azul win). Furthermore, the probability of the match having over 2.5 goals is 52.31% and both teams scoring is 61.03%, suggesting a high-scoring game.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Toluca is strong at home, with a 100% win rate and a total of 12 goals in their last 5 matches. Cruz Azul struggles away with a 40% win rate and only 4 goals scored.
Toluca shows a formidable attack at home with an average of 3.2 goals per match. Cruz Azul is weaker offensively away, with an average of 1.6 goals.
In terms of defense, Toluca concedes 1.8 goals per match at home, while Cruz Azul concedes 1 away.
Based on the probabilities, there is a 36.92% chance of Toluca winning. The possibility of a draw is 32.82%, and Cruz Azul winning is 30.26%.
The potential success rate for the “Over 1.5 goals” bet in the match is 75.9%, and for “Over 2.5 goals” it is 52.31%. There is a 61.03% chance that both teams will score.
Considering past performances and probabilities, it seems wise to bet on over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds at 1.25, and that at least one of the teams will score with odds at 1.68.
The potential number of goals
Toluca, in their last 5 home matches, have a flawless winning record of 100%, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded, averaging 3.2 goals per game. Their offensive potential is 114% and defensive potential is 64%.
Cruz Azul, in their recent 5 away matches, have a weaker performance with a 40% win rate. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive potential is 36%.
The probabilities favor Toluca, with a 36.92% chance of winning the match. For Cruz Azul, the probability of winning is lower at 30.26%.
Interestingly, the probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is 75.9%. Both teams scoring in the match has a success probability of 61.03%.
Take these factors into account for your prediction.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, statistics and probabilities suggest that Toluca has a significant advantage in this match due to their strong home performance, but Cruz Azul should not be overlooked, especially in terms of their offensive potential. The data also indicate a match where more than 2.5 goals will be scored, and both teams could score. The exact score prediction would be 3-1 in favor of Toluca. However, it is also worth noting the value bet for a draw at 3.50, which offers good value considering a success probability of 32.82%. Ultimately, all these elements are just indicators and should be used wisely to inform your bets, always keeping in mind that football is unpredictable and nothing is guaranteed.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Toluca against Cruz Azul on 28/04/2024
1. Toluca has an outstanding home record, with a 100% win rate in their last matches, highlighting their dominance on their own turf.
2. Toluca’s offensive potential at home (114%) is significantly higher than Cruz Azul’s away record (57%). With an average of 3.2 goals per game at home, Toluca possesses a serious goal-scoring threat that could challenge Cruz Azul’s defense.
3. Despite Cruz Azul winning some away games, their overall performance remains inferior. They have only won 40% of their away matches and have scored just 4 goals, significantly lower than Toluca’s home performance. This suggests that Cruz Azul could struggle to prevail against Toluca.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Toluca vs Cruz Azul match!
To not miss anything from the Toluca vs Cruz Azul match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/04/2024 in the Liga MX live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Toluca vs Cruz Azul
Lineups Toluca
Lineups Cruz Azul
Match Highlights Toluca vs Cruz Azul on 28/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Toluca vs Cruz Azul match on 28/04/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Toluca and Cruz Azul
All statistics for the match between Toluca and Cruz Azul will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Toluca against Cruz Azul!
Form state of Toluca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Toluca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Toluca has a form rating of %.
Form state of Cruz Azul in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Cruz Azul has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Cruz Azul has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Toluca against Cruz Azul!
Average goals scored by Toluca in the current season.
Goals scored by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Toluca
Toluca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Toluca
Toluca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Cruz Azul in the current season
Goals scored by Cruz Azul in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Cruz Azul in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Toluca and Cruz Azul, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Toluca vs Cruz Azul: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Toluca’s home performances have been impressive with an average of 3.2 goals scored per match. This shows a strong offensive capability, increasing the likelihood of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. In their last 5 away matches, Cruz Azul has scored an average of 1.6 goals per game. Coupled with Toluca’s relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match, this indicates that the match could be high-scoring.
3. Toluca’s recent home matches have shown a trend of high-scoring games, with final scores like 4-1, 3-0, and 2-1. This reinforces the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Forecast results from winflix for Toluca and Cruz Azul!
The last 5 winning predictions für Toluca
The last 5 winning predictions für Cruz Azul
How do I find the best forecast for Toluca Cruz Azul?
Finding a forecast for the Toluca Cruz Azul match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Toluca Cruz Azul on 28/04/2024 in Estadio Nemesio Díez are the team's past performance in the Liga MX, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Toluca at home and Cruz Azul away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Toluca and Cruz Azul on 28/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga MX, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Toluca and Cruz Azul, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Toluca and the away win rate of Cruz Azul, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Toluca and Cruz Azul can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/04/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Toluca and Cruz Azul, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Toluca or Cruz Azul on 28/04/2024.
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