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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Toluca Guadalajara Chivas
Tipps Toluca Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 12/05/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Based on the statistics provided, Toluca seems to have a better home record with more goals scored and a stronger defense, while Guadalajara has a balanced record but a less reliable defense away from home. Therefore, I would say “Toluca wins the match.”
1. Home Performance: Toluca has an excellent home record, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. They also have a strong attack, averaging 2.6 goals per home match, indicating a high offensive potential of 93%.
2. Away Performance: Guadalajara, although also boasting an 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches, has a less solid defense, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match. This lack of defensive solidity, with a defensive potential of only 14%, could penalize them against Toluca’s strong offense.
3. Direct Comparison: Based on the recent performance of both teams, Toluca seems to have a significant advantage, with a solid defense and powerful attack against Guadalajara whose defense is more vulnerable on the road.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Over 2.5”
1. Toluca’s home statistics are impressive, with an average of 2.6 goals scored per match. At the same time, they have a weak defensive potential, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. This could lead to a high-scoring game.
2. Guadalajara also has a respectable offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. Their defensive potential is also weak, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match, which could contribute to a higher total number of goals.
3. Recent home matches for Toluca and away matches for Guadalajara have often exceeded 2.5 total goals. This is evident in scores such as Toluca 4 – 1 Atlas, Toluca 3 – 0 Pumas UNAM, and America 2 – 3 Guadalajara.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Recent match statistics show that both Toluca and Guadalajara have strong offensive performance. Toluca scored 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Guadalajara scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates that both teams have the ability to score goals.
2. At the same time, both teams have also shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 11 and 10 goals respectively in their recent matches. Similarly, Toluca’s recent home scores show that they have generally conceded at least one goal per match.
3. Toluca’s offensive potential is at 93%, meaning they are very likely to score a goal at home. While Guadalajara, although their offensive potential is slightly lower at 64%, has shown in previous matches that they are capable of scoring even away from home.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Recent performances of Toluca and Guadalajara indicate a strong offensive trend. Toluca has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games, while Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games.
2. Furthermore, Toluca’s defense appears to be a weak point, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 home games, which could potentially increase the total number of goals in the match.
3. The history of matches between the two teams also shows a trend for a high-scoring game. The total number of goals scored and conceded by Toluca and Guadalajara in their last 5 home and away games is 22 and 17 respectively, surpassing the threshold of 2.5 goals per match.
Bet on the exact result
Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara
1. Toluca’s home performance is very strong, with a win rate of 80% and an average of 2.6 goals scored per match. Given these statistics, it is likely that Toluca will score at least 2 goals in this match.
2. Guadalajara, although performing well in away matches with an 80% win rate, tends to concede more goals than Toluca in their away games, with an average of 10 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. This trend could see Guadalajara conceding at least 2 goals against an attacking team like Toluca.
3. Both teams have considerable attacking potential, with Toluca at 93% and Guadalajara at 64%. This suggests that both teams will score in this match. However, considering Guadalajara’s defensive potential (14%), it is likely that Toluca will score more than Guadalajara, making a 2-1 prediction plausible.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Toluca is strong at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 11 goals. Guadalajara also has a good 80% win rate away from home but has scored fewer goals, only 7.
Toluca averages 2.6 goals per game at home and concedes 2 goals. Guadalajara averages 1.8 goals per game away from home and only concedes 0.4 goals. Toluca’s offensive and defensive potential at home is greater than Guadalajara’s away from home.
Given Toluca’s recent home scores (0-1 against Cruz Azul, 4-1 against Atlas, 3-0 against Pumas UNAM, 2-1 against Tigres UANL, and 2-0 against Tijuana) and Guadalajara’s away scores (0-1 against Atlas, 0-1 against Pachuca, 0-2 against Monterrey, 2-3 against America, 3-0 against Cruz Azul), the match looks promising.
The safest bet is to wager on under 3.5 goals in the match with a 100% success rate, and under 4.5 goals with a 100% success rate. Furthermore, it is unlikely that both teams will score as the probability is 0%.
However, it should be noted that the winning probabilities for Toluca, Guadalajara, and a draw are not available.
The potential number of goals
Toluca, at home, has a win rate of 80%. They have also scored and conceded 11 goals. It’s quite balanced. Guadalajara, on the other hand, when playing away, also wins 80% of the time, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. There seems to be a defensive weakness on their part.
In terms of offensive and defensive potentials, Toluca shows 93% and 71% respectively, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match. Guadalajara has an offensive potential of 64% but a defensive one of only 14%. Their average goals are 1.8 per match.
Now let’s look at their previous results. Toluca has had some significant wins: 4-1 against Atlas and 3-0 against Pumas UNAM. Guadalajara also with victories of 2-0 against Monterrey and 3-2 against America.
Given these statistics, we can expect a tight match, but with Toluca having a slight advantage due to their superior offensive potential. The probability of both teams not scoring is 100%, making it a relevant prediction. The match is likely to be based on solid defense on both sides. Bets on “under 3.5 goals in the match” and “under 4.5 goals in the match” are also 100% probable. This suggests a low-scoring match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on the previous analysis, it is clear that Toluca has an advantage due to their impressive performances at home and strong offensive potential. However, Guadalajara should not be underestimated as they have proven their ability to score in away matches.
Considering the statistics, we can recommend the following bets: “Toluca to win the match,” “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” “Both teams to score: yes,” and an exact score of “Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara.” These bets are based on solid data and offer an opportunity to take advantage of the interesting value bet of “Over 2.5 goals in the match.”
Despite all these analyses, it is important to remember that sports betting is subject to randomness and it is always recommended to bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Toluca against Guadalajara Chivas on 12/05/2024
1. Home Performance: Toluca has an excellent home record, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. They also have a strong attack, averaging 2.6 goals per home match, indicating a high offensive potential of 93%.
2. Away Performance: Guadalajara, although also boasting an 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches, has a less solid defense, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match. This lack of defensive solidity, with a defensive potential of only 14%, could penalize them against Toluca’s strong offense.
3. Direct Comparison: Based on the recent performance of both teams, Toluca seems to have a significant advantage, with a solid defense and powerful attack against Guadalajara whose defense is more vulnerable on the road.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas match!
To not miss anything from the Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 12/05/2024 in the Liga MX live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
Lineups Toluca
Lineups Guadalajara Chivas
Match Highlights Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas on 12/05/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas match on 12/05/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas
All statistics for the match between Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Toluca against Guadalajara Chivas!
Form state of Toluca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Toluca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Toluca has a form rating of %.
Form state of Guadalajara Chivas in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Guadalajara Chivas has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Guadalajara Chivas has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Toluca against Guadalajara Chivas!
Average goals scored by Toluca in the current season.
Goals scored by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Toluca
Toluca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Toluca
Toluca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Guadalajara Chivas in the current season
Goals scored by Guadalajara Chivas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Guadalajara Chivas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Toluca’s home statistics are impressive, with an average of 2.6 goals scored per match. At the same time, they have a weak defensive potential, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. This could lead to a high-scoring game.
2. Guadalajara also has a respectable offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. Their defensive potential is also weak, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match, which could contribute to a higher total number of goals.
3. Recent home matches for Toluca and away matches for Guadalajara have often exceeded 2.5 total goals. This is evident in scores such as Toluca 4 – 1 Atlas, Toluca 3 – 0 Pumas UNAM, and America 2 – 3 Guadalajara.
Forecast results from winflix for Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas!
The last 5 winning predictions für Toluca
The last 5 winning predictions für Guadalajara Chivas
How do I find the best forecast for Toluca Guadalajara Chivas?
Finding a forecast for the Toluca Guadalajara Chivas match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Toluca Guadalajara Chivas on 12/05/2024 in Estadio Nemesio Díez are the team's past performance in the Liga MX, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Toluca at home and Guadalajara Chivas away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/05/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas on 12/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga MX, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Toluca and the away win rate of Guadalajara Chivas, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/05/2024!
The individual performances of players from Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/05/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Díez.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Toluca or Guadalajara Chivas on 12/05/2024.
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