Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Tondela Benfica B
1. A favorable history for Tondela in their last 5 home matches, with a 20% win rate, but notably 40% draws, resulting in a combined probability of 60% of not losing when they play at home.
2. Benfica B’s away results are not convincing. In their last 5 matches, Benfica B won 40% of the time away, never drawing, and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, almost three times more than Tondela at home.
3. The expected probability percentage for the “Draw or Tondela to win” in the match is promising, at 73.68%. This is a significantly higher figure than other alternatives, indicating a strong likelihood of this outcome.
1. According to the analysis of the last 10 matches, Tondela and Benfica B have a low offensive potential. On average, Tondela scores 1 goal per home match and Benfica B scores 0.8 goals per away match, suggesting that the match could be defensive with very few goals scored.
2. Historical data shows that Tondela’s home matches tend to have a low total of goals. In their last 5 home matches, Tondela scored 3 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 goals per match. This suggests that Tondela will likely have difficulty scoring more than two goals against Benfica B.
3. Analyzing Benfica B’s statistics in away matches also reveals a trend of low goal totals. Benfica B scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals in 5 matches, resulting in an average of 1.6 goals per match. This further supports the hypothesis of a low-scoring match.
1. Recent performances analysis: Tondela has scored in 3 out of their last 5 home matches, while Benfica B has scored in 4 out of their last 5 away games. This shows offensive potential from both teams, increasing the chances of both teams scoring.
2. Average goals scored and conceded: Tondela has an average of 1 goal scored per home match and Benfica B has an average of 0.8 goals scored away, which, combined with the goals each team concedes (0.6 for Tondela and 1.6 for Benfica B), suggests goal potential on both sides.
3. Probability projection: There is a projected 54.21% probability of both teams scoring, which is higher than the opposite probability (45.79%). This supports the idea that both teams are likely to score.
1. In the last 5 away matches of Benfica B, there have been an average of 3.2 goals per match, indicating a tendency to have matches with more than 2.5 goals.
2. Tondela has a 36% offensive potential at home and concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Benfica B has a 29% offensive potential away and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. This combination of offensive potential and defensive weakness could lead to a match with more than 2.5 goals.
3. In the provided statistics, the probability of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match is 44.74%, with odds of 2.10. This odds are interesting as they are above 2.0, indicating there is a value bet to be placed on more than 2.5 goals.
1. The statistics from previous matches show a trend towards relatively low scores, especially for Tondela at home who have scored an average of 1 goal per match and Benfica B away who have scored an average of 0.8 goals per match. These statistics suggest that the match is likely to end with a low score like 1-1.
2. On the other hand, the probability of a draw is quite high (31.05%), making the prediction realistic. Additionally, the teams have a history of draws, as seen in their recent results, further reinforcing the likelihood of a draw outcome.
3. Finally, both teams have a relatively high probability of scoring in this match (54.21%). Analysis of previous performances shows that both teams tend to score, even if it’s not a high number of goals. A scoreline of 1-1 would therefore be in line with this trend.
Tondela struggles to win at home, with only 1 victory in 5 matches. However, they manage to contain their opponents with a 40% draw rate and only 4 goals conceded.
Benfica B has a mixed away record, with 2 wins and 3 losses. Their defense appears fragile with 9 goals conceded in 5 matches.
Tondela has a 36% offensive potential at home, and a solid defense at 21%. Benfica B has less success away with an offensive potential of 29% but a weak defense at 57%.
The probability of Tondela winning the match is 42.63% with odds at 2.30. On the other hand, Benfica B has a success probability of 26.32% at 3.10. The draw is at 3.20.
For goals, “over 1.5 goals” is favored with a probability of 71.58%.
Based on this data, the match seems open with a slight lean towards Tondela. This could result in a low-scoring game, “under 2.5 goals” seems to be a good option.
Tondela rarely wins at home, with a 20% success rate in the last 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals but conceded 4. Additionally, they have a rather weak offensive potential of 36% and an average defense of 21%. Their probability of winning the match is 42.63%.
Benfica B, on the other hand, performs better away from home with a 40% win rate. They have scored more goals than Tondela (6 goals) but also have a less solid defense (conceding 9 goals). Their offensive potential is slightly lower than Tondela’s (29%), but their defensive potential is almost three times higher (57%). However, their chance of winning is lower than Tondela’s at 26.32%.
Based on these numbers, a draw or a Tondela victory seems the most likely outcome with a 73.68% chance. Many goals are not expected either, as there is an 81.05% probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match. With odds at 1.25, this is an option to consider. However, the probability of both teams scoring is 54.21%, so it should not be completely ruled out.
In summary, the statistics suggest a low score, possibly a draw or a narrow Tondela victory. The option of a draw or a Tondela win at 1.35 seems to be an interesting betting option.
In conclusion, after a thorough and detailed analysis of the teams, their statistics, and recent performances, several predictions can be recommended for the match between Tondela and Benfica B.
Firstly, a 1X2 bet – “Draw or Tondela to win” seems to be a solid betting option, with a probability of 73.68%. Regarding goals, “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is a potentially profitable choice given the offensive weaknesses of both teams.
However, a potentially riskier bet but offering higher odds would be “Over 2.5 goals”, despite the low goal-scoring trend of both teams, statistics show that it can still happen. Another interesting betting option would be both teams to score – “Yes”, with a probability of 54.21%.
Finally, betting on the exact score, “Tondela 1-1 Benfica B” represents a viable option given the statistics and odds.
It is crucial to remember that while statistics provide valuable information that can help make more accurate predictions, the outcome of a football match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is always important to bet responsibly.
1. A favorable history for Tondela in their last 5 home matches, with a 20% win rate, but notably 40% draws, resulting in a combined probability of 60% of not losing when they play at home.
2. Benfica B’s away results are not convincing. In their last 5 matches, Benfica B won 40% of the time away, never drawing, and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, almost three times more than Tondela at home.
3. The expected probability percentage for the “Draw or Tondela to win” in the match is promising, at 73.68%. This is a significantly higher figure than other alternatives, indicating a strong likelihood of this outcome.
To not miss anything from the Tondela vs Benfica B match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/04/2024 in the Segunda Liga live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Tondela has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Tondela has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Benfica B has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Benfica B has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Tondela
Tondela has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Tondela
Tondela has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Benfica B
Benfica B has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Benfica B
Benfica B has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Tondela and Benfica B, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. According to the analysis of the last 10 matches, Tondela and Benfica B have a low offensive potential. On average, Tondela scores 1 goal per home match and Benfica B scores 0.8 goals per away match, suggesting that the match could be defensive with very few goals scored.
2. Historical data shows that Tondela’s home matches tend to have a low total of goals. In their last 5 home matches, Tondela scored 3 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 goals per match. This suggests that Tondela will likely have difficulty scoring more than two goals against Benfica B.
3. Analyzing Benfica B’s statistics in away matches also reveals a trend of low goal totals. Benfica B scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals in 5 matches, resulting in an average of 1.6 goals per match. This further supports the hypothesis of a low-scoring match.
Finding a forecast for the Tondela Benfica B match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Tondela Benfica B on 28/04/2024 in Estádio João Cardoso are the team's past performance in the Segunda Liga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Tondela at home and Benfica B away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Tondela and Benfica B on 28/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Segunda Liga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Tondela and Benfica B, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Tondela and the away win rate of Benfica B, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Tondela and Benfica B can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/04/2024 at Estádio João Cardoso.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Tondela and Benfica B, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Tondela or Benfica B on 28/04/2024.
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