Tipps Tondela Leixoes Segunda Liga 12/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided, Tondela seems to have a better performance at home with a higher win percentage (60%) compared to Leixoes away (40%). However, Leixoes shows a notable resistance with 60% of draws in their away matches. Despite this, Tondela’s offensive performance at home remains superior to that of Leixoes away. My prediction would therefore be: Tondela to win the match.

1. Tondela has a better overall performance at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 games, indicating a strong likelihood of winning the match against Leixoes.

2. The Tondela team has shown superior offensive ability at home by scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game, compared to Leixoes who only scores an average of 1.2 goals per game. This home offensive mastery could prove decisive.

3. In addition to their offensive efficiency, Tondela also proves solid in defense by conceding only 0.8 goals per game at home, compared to Leixoes who concedes over 1.2 goals per game away. This indicates a stronger defense from Tondela that will be hard to break through for the opposing team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The analysis of Tondela’s last 5 home matches indicates that while the team scores an average of 2.4 goals per match, they also tend to concede (0.8 on average per match). This, combined with their offensive potential of 86% and defensive potential of 29%, suggests a higher likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Leixoes, in their last 5 away matches, has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded an average of 0.4 goals per match. With an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 14%, the probability of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match is also strengthened.

3. Finally, the prediction of “Both teams not to score” has a success probability of 100%, further reinforcing the likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match. If one of the teams fails to score, this significantly reduces the total number of potential goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent home performances by Tondela show a high rate of goals, having scored 10 goals in 5 matches and also conceding 10 goals. This indicates a strong attacking tendency but also a tendency to let in goals.

2. On the other hand, Leixoes has managed to score in their last 5 away matches despite a lower goal-scoring ratio, indicating that the team has a strong offensive performance when playing away from home.

3. The average goals per game for each team show that Tondela has an average of 2.4 goals per home match and Leixoes has an average of 1.2 goals per away match, strongly suggesting that both teams are capable of scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Tondela 2-1 Leixoes

1. Tondela’s home record: In the last 5 home matches, Tondela has scored at least 2 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and won 3 times. This indicates a certain offensive consistency and good management of their home ground.

2. Leixoes’ away performance: While Leixões has a high draw rate in away matches (60%), their win rate is only 40%, suggesting a struggle to secure victories away from home. Additionally, they average 1.2 goals per away match which aligns with the predicted score.

3. Goal averages: Tondela has a home match goal average of 2.4, while Leixoes has an away match goal average of 1.2. These averages support the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tondela has shown good form at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, they have an average defense, conceding 10 goals. Their attackers are in good shape, having scored 10 goals, an average of 2.4 goals per match.

On the other hand, Leixoes has been performing decently away from home. They have won 40% of their last 5 matches and drawn in 60% of cases. They have scored 4 goals and conceded only 5, indicating a solid defense, although their attack is lacking.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential, Tondela has a high offensive potential of 86% but a low defensive potential of 29%. Meanwhile, Leixoes has an offensive potential of only 43% but a strong defense with a potential of 86%.

Taking these factors into account, it seems likely that the match will see at least 2.5 goals, as Tondela averages 2.4 goals per match. However, this does not necessarily mean they will win the match. Leixoes has a strong defense that could be a challenge for Tondela.

The recent history of these two teams shows a balance. Tondela’s previous home matches resulted in 4 wins and 1 draw, while Leixoes’ away matches resulted in 2 wins and 3 draws.

In summary, while Tondela shows strong form at home with a potent attack, Leixoes’ solid defense could pose a challenge. It is not clear who the favorite is for this match, but we can expect goals.

The potential number of goals

Tondela, in their last 5 home matches, has shown good performances, winning 60% of the time and scoring 10 goals. However, their defense has also conceded 10 goals, showing variable defensive efficiency. Leixoes, when playing away, wins 40% of the time and draws 60%, indicating some stability. They have scored 4 goals and conceded only 5, showing a solid defense. Tondela has a strong offensive force with an average of 2.4 goals per match but an average defense with 0.8 goals conceded. Their defensive capability is at 29% and offensive potential at 86%. On the other hand, Leixoes has a limited offensive potential of 43% but a stronger defense with a defensive potential of 14%. In terms of probabilities, the match presents total uncertainty regarding potential winners as none of the options offered provide a success percentage. However, concerning the number of goals, it is noted that the match has a 100% chance of having less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals. Lastly, it is almost certain that both teams will not score with a probability of 100%. Based on the statistics, a match with less than 4.5 goals would be a safe bet. Riskier bets would include a match with neither team scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the Tondela vs Leixoes match is shaping up to be a tight and strategic encounter, with strong chances of seeing fewer than 2.5 goals scored. Tondela, despite having a solid offensive performance at home, needs to be wary of the strong defense of Leixoes, which could disrupt their plans. The bet “Both teams to score: yes” seems like a safe bet, given the recent scoring records of both teams.

Placing a bet on a draw could be an interesting proposition, considering Leixoes’ high rate of draws away from home and Tondela’s sometimes shaky defense at home. As for the exact score, the prediction would be for a close 2-1 result in favor of Tondela, taking into account their home performances and potentially superior attack.

The art of sports betting lies in a careful analysis of past performances, statistics, team form, and other key factors. However, football remains an unpredictable sport, and no result is guaranteed. It is therefore recommended to bet in moderation and responsibly. Good luck to all bettors!