Tipps Tondela Penafiel Segunda Liga 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tondela wins the match

1. The probability percentage of success for the bet “Draw or Tondela wins the match” is the highest among all the proposed bets (76.5%), indicating a very high likelihood of winning if we choose this bet. 2. Tondela’s recent performances at home have been quite balanced with wins and draws, meaning there is a strong chance they will not lose the match. 3. The Penafiel team has lost more matches away than they have won, indicating poor performance in away games, thus increasing the likelihood of a draw or Tondela’s victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

My prediction for the Tondela vs Penafiel match is Under 2.5 goals.

1. The offensive performance of both teams is relatively low. Tondela scores an average of 1.2 goals at home and Penafiel scores an average of 1 goal away in their last 5 matches.
2. The defensive performance of both teams is also solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per match each. This indicates that the chances of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match are minimal.
3. Previous match statistics show that both teams tend to have matches with less than 2.5 goals. Only one of Tondela’s last five home matches and two of Penafiel’s last five away matches have exceeded this 2.5 goal limit.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Tondela’s offensive potential at home is 43% while Penafiel only has a 36% offensive potential away. These relatively low rates suggest that both teams may struggle to score in this match.

2. Looking at the scores from Tondela’s last 5 home matches, it can be seen that in three of them, Tondela couldn’t score more than one goal. Similarly, Penafiel failed to score more than one goal in four of their last away matches.

3. The odds also indicate a 51.37% probability that both teams will not score in this match, which is the highest probability among all possible outcomes. This suggests that professional bettors also expect a low-scoring match from both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – 43.72% chance of success: 2.20

Bet on the exact result

Tondela 1-1 Penafiel.

1. The statistics show that Tondela and Penafiel have a very close average of goals scored and conceded per match, around 1. This suggests that a 1-1 draw is a plausible result, considering their respective offensive and defensive performances.

2. Tondela has a history of getting draws in their home matches, with 40% of their last 5 matches ending in a tie. Additionally, Penafiel, despite winning more frequently away, has not registered any draws, which makes a draw result possible.

3. The likelihood of a draw is quite high, with a 30.6% chance of occurrence. This probability, along with the fact that both teams score a similar number of goals per match, reinforces the idea that a 1-1 draw is more than plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Based on recent results, Tondela appears less strong at home with only one win in their last 5 matches (20% success rate). They are a team that concedes few goals, having only let in 3.

On the other hand, Penafiel has had more success away, with 2 wins in their last 5 matches (40% success rate). However, they score and concede the same amount of goals (5), indicating some instability.

According to the statistics, there is a 45.9% probability of Tondela winning this match, compared to 23.5% for Penafiel. This confirms Tondela’s advantage in this encounter, despite their recent form.

Offensively, Tondela averages 1.2 goals at home, while Penafiel averages 1 goal away. Both teams also concede an average of 1 goal, showing a certain balance.

In terms of goal probabilities, there is a 65.03% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. The matches of both teams are not the most spectacular, so there is an 81.97% chance of seeing less than 3.5 goals.

Regarding the “both teams to score” option, the distribution is almost equal, with slightly more chances (51.37%) of both teams not scoring.

In conclusion, this match could be considered fairly balanced with a slight leaning towards Tondela. Feel free to explore other betting options like the number of goals, as there seem to be opportunities there.

The potential number of goals

Tondela has won 20% of their last 5 home games, while Penafiel has won 40% of their last 5 away games. Tondela has scored 3 goals and conceded 3 goals at home. Penafiel has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals away.

In terms of averages, Tondela scores and Penafiel concedes 1 goal each per match. Tondela has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%. For Penafiel, both offensive and defensive potentials are at 36%.

In terms of probabilities, Tondela has a 45.9% chance of winning. A draw has a probability of 30.6%. Penafiel has a 23.5% chance of winning. The chances of either a draw or a Tondela win are 76.5%.

As for goals, there is a 65.03% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals but only a 43.72% chance for more than 2.5 goals. The chances of less than 3.5 goals are 81.97%.

In conclusion, based on these statistics, a close match is expected with likely few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on preliminary data and match analysis, some relevant trends can be observed. Tondela is favored to win this match with a probability of 45.9%. However, a draw, with a probability of 30.6%, could also be a possible outcome. The recent performances of both teams do not suggest a high-scoring game. The chances of the match ending under 2.5 goals are therefore high. The option of “both teams not to score” could also be interesting, with a probability of 51.37%. Lastly, a value bet could be to bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 2.20. It is important to note that even with the best predictions and analysis, there is no such thing as zero risk in sports betting.