Tipps Torino AC Milan Serie A 18/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

AC Milan wins the match

1. AC Milan has a higher overall performance than Torino in their recent matches, with a win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 40% for AC Milan, compared to only a 20% home win rate for Torino and no draws.
2. AC Milan has a higher offensive and defensive potential than Torino. On average, they score two goals per match and concede 1.6, showing an ability to score more than the opposing team. While Torino scores an average of 0.4 goals per match and concedes 0.6 goals per match, indicating weaknesses in both attack and defense.
3. The odds favor AC Milan to win the match with a probability of 46.28% compared to 25% for Torino. Additionally, the option of a draw or AC Milan winning the match has a higher success probability of 75%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Torino has a solid defensive performance at home, having conceded only one goal in their last five matches, indicating that it is difficult for opposing teams to score against them.
2. At home, Torino has a weak offensive potential, averaging only 0.4 goals per match. This suggests that they are unlikely to contribute significantly to the goal tally.
3. Despite AC Milan’s strong offensive record away from home (averaging 2 goals per match), Torino’s recent home performances, with four draws and one clean sheet victory, suggest a likely defensive playing tactic in this match. This could hinder AC Milan’s ability to score more goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Torino’s offensive efficiency at home is low, with an average of 0.4 goals per match and a win rate of only 20%. These numbers suggest they may struggle to score against AC Milan.
2. In their last 5 home matches, Torino has displayed a solid defense, conceding only one goal. Moreover, in 60% of these matches, no goals were scored at all.
3. Despite having a higher win rate away from home, AC Milan has shown a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. However, considering Torino’s offensive difficulties at home, it is less likely that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Torino wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Torino 0-2 AC Milan

1. The offensive potential of AC Milan on the road is significantly higher than that of Torino at home. In fact, on average over the last 5 matches, Milan scores around 2 goals away from home while Torino only manages to score 0.4 at home.
2. In terms of win statistics, AC Milan has a greater chance of winning the match with a 46.28% probability, while Torino only has a 25% chance of winning.
3. Based on the recent match results, Torino struggles to score at home (0 goals scored in 4 out of 5 matches) whereas AC Milan generally manages to score at least 1 goal away from home (9 goals scored in total over 5 matches).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The recent home form of Torino is weak. In their last 5 matches, they have only managed one win and four draws. They have scored only 1 goal and conceded 1. Their attacking potential is low at 14%, while their defense is at 21%.

AC Milan, on the other hand, has shown more balanced results in their last 5 away matches. With two wins, two draws, and one loss, they have an impressive goal tally of 9 scored and 10 conceded. Their attacking capability is strong at 71%, and their defense is at 57%.

The odds favor AC Milan with a winning probability of 46.28% compared to only 25% for Torino. However, the probability of a draw is 28.72%.

In terms of goals, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is 71.28%, suggesting a high-scoring game.

Comparatively, the probabilities of both teams scoring or not are almost equal – 48.4% versus 51.6%.

Recent trends in goals scored/against indicate a possibility of a low-scoring game. Torino’s home matches have been mostly goalless, while AC Milan has been involved in high-scoring games away.

In conclusion, the statistics lean towards AC Milan but with the possibility of a low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Torino has only won 20% of their home matches and scored just one goal. Furthermore, their offensive capability is only 14% and defensive capability is 21%. This reflects a poor performance on their home turf.

On the other hand, AC Milan has won 40% of their away matches with an offensive potential of 71% and defensive potential of 57%. They have scored 9 goals but also conceded 10 goals, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities.

The match is more likely (46.28%) to end in a victory for AC Milan, with odds of 2.50.

The probability of both teams scoring is 48.4%, with odds of 1.85. On the other hand, the probability of both teams not scoring is 51.6%, with odds of 1.95.

There is a 71.28% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, and an 84.04% chance of there being fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

Based on these statistics, the most likely bet would be on AC Milan to win with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the probability seems to favor AC Milan both in terms of overall performance and offensive and defensive potential. This could give AC Milan the edge to win the match, despite Torino’s strong defensive performance at home. Furthermore, the probability of a score of fewer than 2.5 goals as well as the scenario where both teams do not score are two appealing bets given Torino’s offensive struggles and their solid home defense. On the other hand, a bet on a draw or a Torino victory could be an interesting possibility considering their strong defensive performance at home and AC Milan’s goal conceding rate on the road. Finally, the prediction for the exact score could lean in favor of AC Milan given their offensive potential and Torino’s difficulty in scoring at home. However, as always in the field of sports betting, it is important to keep in mind that probabilities do not guarantee results and it is essential to bet responsibly.