Tipps Torino Lecce Serie A 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Torino wins the match

1. Home Performance of Torino: Torino has shown a good performance at home by winning 60% of its last 5 matches, with an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 21%. This performance should work in their favor.

2. Weak Away Performance of Lecce: Lecce has weak performances when playing away, winning only 20% of their matches. They have an offensive potential of only 36% and their defensive potential is quite high at 71%, indicating that they concede more goals away from home.

3. Overall Probabilities: The overall probabilities also support Torino’s victory outcome with a success probability of 51.23% compared to 17.28% for Lecce.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Torino has a strong home goal average in their last 5 matches with 2 goals per game, suggesting they will likely contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals.
2. Lecce has a weak defensive potential away from home, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This increases the likelihood of Torino scoring and contributing to a total of over 2.5 goals.
3. Recent statistics from both teams indicate that there have been over 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches, such as Torino 2 – 1 Atalanta Bergamo, Torino 3 – 1 AC Milan, Inter Milan 2 – 0 Lecce, and Galatasaray 2 – 1 Lecce.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Torino’s defensive numbers at home are stronger than Lecce’s offensive numbers away. Torino has only conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, compared to Lecce’s 1 goal per match average away. This suggests Torino has a good chance to maintain their fortress and prevent Lecce from scoring.

2. Lecce has a low away win rate and therefore is less likely to score. In their last five away matches, Lecce has only won in 20% of cases and scored only 5 goals, indicating a potential offensive weakness when playing away from home.

3. Statistics indicate a low likelihood of both teams scoring. The “Both Teams To Score: No” bet has a 50.62% success probability based on the provided figures, slightly higher than the probability of both teams scoring (49.38%). This reflects the tendency for both teams to play defensively, especially Torino at home and Lecce away.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Torino 2-1 Lecce

1. Torino has a strong performance when playing at home with a 60% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match. Furthermore, their last 5 home matches confirm this trend with scores like 2-1, 2-0, and 3-1.

2. On the other hand, Lecce has less convincing performances away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches and score an average of 1 goal per match when playing away.

3. The defensive and offensive statistics of each team support this argument. Torino has a home offensive potential of 71%, while Lecce has an away defensive potential of 71%. These statistics favor a score in favor of Torino.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Torino shows strong momentum at home, winning 60% of the time and drawing 20% of the time. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same amount. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 71% and 21% respectively, highlighting a strong attacking force.

Lecce doesn’t shine away from home, with only 20% wins and 20% draws. They have scored 5 goals but also conceded 5. Their averages are 1 goal scored per match and 2 goals conceded. Their offensive and defensive potentials are only 36% and 71% respectively.

The probabilities favor Torino to win with 51.23% and odds of 1.82, while Lecce has only a 17.28% chance to win with odds of 4.75.

Bets with over 1.5 goals have a success probability of 71.6% with odds of 1.45. Over 2.5 goals have a 43.83% chance of success with odds of 2.35.

Both teams to score have a probability of 49.38%, while both teams not to score have a slightly higher probability of 50.62%.

Based on this data, Torino seems to have the advantage at home while Lecce struggles on the road. The match leans towards Torino with goal-scoring chances.

The potential number of goals

Torino has shown strength at home, with 60% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals, but also conceded 8 goals. Their offensive performance is at 71% and defensive at 21%.

Lecce struggles on the road, winning only 20% of their matches and drawing in 20% of cases. They have scored 5 goals and conceded the same amount. With an offensive potential of 36% and defensive of 71%, their performance is lower than Torino’s.

Torino, strong at home, has a 51.23% likelihood of winning this match. A draw stands at 31.48%, while Lecce only has a 17.28% chance of victory.

Regarding goals, there is a prediction of over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 71.6%. There is a 103.09% probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Overall, the analysis leans towards a win or draw for Torino. This is a forecast based on their recent home performance, offensive and defensive potential, as well as Lecce’s poor performance on the road.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the parameters studied and recent statistics lean towards a Torino victory against Lecce. Torino’s strong home form, Lecce’s poor away record, and statistical probability all support this prediction. Additionally, the bet “more than 2.5 goals in the match” seems to offer an interesting value bet, given Torino’s offensive potential at home and Lecce’s defensive weaknesses away. The exact score of the match is likely to be 2-1 in favor of Torino. However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a degree of uncertainty, so it is essential to bet responsibly.