Tipps Toronto FC Austin Major League Soccer 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on these data, my prediction would be “Draw or Toronto wins the match”. Toronto’s offensive and defensive potential at home seems to be superior to Austin’s away, and the success probability of this option is 81.12%. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen on match day.

1. Toronto has shown greater stability at home with 40% wins and 60% draws, unlike Austin who has failed to secure any draws in their away matches. This gives Toronto an advantage to at least maintain a draw.
2. Toronto’s offensive and defensive efficiency at home is superior to Austin’s on the road. Toronto has an offensive potential of 57% compared to Austin’s 50%, and slightly better defense as well, with 57% compared to Austin’s 36% defense. This suggests that Toronto is more likely to score and less likely to concede goals.
3. The probability of success for the “Draw or Toronto win” option is highest at 81.12%, indicating that based on statistics, the most likely outcome is either Toronto winning the match or it ending in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Both teams have a strong offensive profile, with Toronto scoring an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Austin 1.4 goals per away match. These statistics suggest that there could be at least 3 goals scored in this match.

2. The defensive statistics of each team provide an additional indicator, with Toronto conceding an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Austin 1 goal per away match. This also shows a tendency towards a high-scoring match.

3. The calculated probability of over 2.5 goals is 57.14%. This computer-generated statistic further supports the argument that there could be over 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive performance, with Toronto averaging 1.6 goals per game at home and Austin averaging 1.4 goals per game away. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

2. Both teams have also shown defensive weaknesses in their recent games, with Toronto conceding 8 goals in 5 home matches and Austin conceding 11 goals in 5 away matches, further increasing the probability of each team conceding a goal.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 62.24%, significantly higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (37.76%). This suggests that the ‘Both Teams to Score: Yes’ option is the most likely bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Toronto wins the match – 1.26

Bet on the exact result

Toronto 1-1 Austin

1. The forecast of 1-1 could be based on the fact that Toronto, in their home matches, tends to score and concede an average of 1.6 goals per game. This indicates a trend towards balanced scores in their home matches.

2. On the Austin side, even though they score slightly less on average (1.4 goals per game) and also concede fewer goals (1 goal per game) in their away matches, the fact that both teams have a fairly high probability of scoring (62.24%) favors a forecast of a match with goals from both sides.

3. Lastly, the final argument would be Toronto’s high rate of draws at home (60%) combined with Austin’s lack of draws away from home in their last 5 matches. This paradox could potentially be resolved by a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Toronto has won 40% of their last 5 home games. They have also scored 6 goals and conceded 8. They have an equivalent offensive and defensive potential of 57%.

Austin has won 60% of their last 5 away games. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 11. Their offensive potential is 50%, while their defensive potential is 36%.

The probability of Toronto winning is 49.49%, with odds of 1.90. Austin has a 18.88% chance of winning with odds of 4.00. A draw has a probability of 31.63% and the odds are 3.75.

It is more likely to have more than 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 83.16% and odds of 1.25. The probability percentage for both teams to score is 62.24% with odds of 1.68.

Analyzing the recent matches, Toronto seems to struggle at home with several defeats. Austin, on the other hand, has had a mixed performance away with both wins and losses.

Based on these elements, a plausible prediction could be a match with over 1.5 goals. Given the recent performances of the teams, there is a chance that both teams will score.

The potential number of goals

Quick analysis:

In their last 5 home matches, Toronto has been relatively balanced. The team won 2 matches and drew 3 times. The total goals scored are 6, and Toronto conceded 8.

On the other hand, Austin has a better away record. In their last 5 matches, they won 3 times and lost 2 times. They scored 8 goals and conceded 11.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential, Toronto seems slightly more efficient than Austin with rates of 57% on both ends. Austin, on the other hand, has an offensive rate of 50% and a lower defensive rate of 36% compared to Toronto.

In terms of probability of success, Toronto appears to be more favored with an estimated win probability of 49.49% compared to only 18.88% for Austin. The odds also indicate that a draw has a 31.63% chance.

It seems quite probable that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 83.16%. However, the probability for over 2.5 goals drops to 57.14%, and for over 3.5 goals, it is even lower at 67.35%.

There is also a significant interest in the both teams to score bet, with a success probability of 62.24%.

In conclusion, the match between Toronto and Austin looks to be closely contested with an advantage for Toronto at home. Bettors could consider opting for a Toronto win or a draw, as well as a total of over 1.5 goals in the match. Bet to be confirmed.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on available statistics and recent performances of both teams, the safest bets for the Toronto vs Austin match would be “Draw or Toronto wins the match” and “over 1.5 goals in the match.” These predictions are supported by success probabilities of over 80% and 83% respectively. The option “both teams to score” can also be considered, with a probability of 62.24%. However, despite these probabilities, football remains an unpredictable sport and every bettor should remember that the risk of losing is always present in any sports bet. It is therefore crucial to avoid any form of over-betting and to bet responsibly. Remember, sports betting should primarily be about entertainment.