Tipps Toronto FC Orlando City SC Major League Soccer 04/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Orlando City wins the match”

1. The offensive potential of Orlando City in their last 5 away matches is higher than that of Toronto at home. Orlando has an offensive potential of 64% compared to 36% for Toronto.
2. Furthermore, Orlando City also has a better defense on the road with a defensive potential of 86% compared to only 93% for Toronto at home.
3. Lastly, the probability of Orlando City winning the match is estimated at 43.28%, which is higher than Toronto’s win probability (33.58%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches exceeds 2.5 goals. Specifically, Toronto has scored 18 goals and conceded 19 goals in their last 5 home matches, making a total average of 3.7 goals per match. On the other hand, Orlando City has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals away from home, averaging 2.4 goals per match.

2. Toronto’s tendency to allow goals is a strong argument to expect goals in this match. Indeed, Toronto has a loose defense with a defensive potential of 93% in their last 5 home matches, meaning they have conceded a high number of goals.

3. Betting statistics also support this prediction, with a success probability of 59.7% for over 2.5 goals in the match according to bookmakers’ odds. This suggests a common expectation of at least 3 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Toronto has scored 18 goals in their last 5 home games, demonstrating a strong offensive capability, which, with an average of 1 goal per game, suggests they will likely score in this match.
2. Orlando City has had a good offensive performance away from home with 6 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 1.8 goals per game, further strengthening the probability that they may also score.
3. The defensive statistics of both teams show weaknesses, with Toronto conceding 19 goals at home and Orlando City conceding 6 goals away in their last 5 matches. This defensive weakness means it is likely that both teams will concede goals in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Orlando City wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Toronto 2 – 2 Orlando City

1. Home and away performances: Toronto has shown a strong likelihood of drawing at home in its last 5 matches, with 60% of cases. Similarly, Orlando City has drawn in 40% of cases in its away matches. These statistics indicate that the two teams could well neutralize each other.

2. Offensive and defensive performances: In their last 5 home matches, Toronto has scored an average of 1 goal per game and conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Orlando City has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in their away matches. These numbers align with a predicted score of 2-2.

3. Over 2.5 goals in the match: There is a 59.7% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, corresponding to the predicted 2-2 score, which requires a total of 4 goals. Additionally, “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 61.94%, which also supports our score prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Toronto, at home, has been putting in a mixed performance. In Toronto’s last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, a productive attack but a leaky defense with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. On the other hand, Orlando City seems to struggle away from home with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 goals and conceding the same amount.

The statistics reveal an offensive potential of 36% for Toronto compared to 64% for Orlando City. Defensively, it’s tight, with Toronto at 93% and Orlando City at 86%.

The odds slightly favor an Orlando City win at 2.80 compared to 2.50 for Toronto. A draw is not out of the question at 3.50.

The assumption of a match with over 1.5 goals is likely at 1.24. Both teams to score also seems plausible at 1.60.

Referring to their recent matches, Toronto has struggled to resist opponent attacks despite good performances against Saint-Laurent and Montreal Impact. Orlando City, despite mixed results, has managed to hold off New York RB and Chicago Fire.

In summary, a match promising goals with two teams showing defensive weaknesses. Orlando City has a slightly higher probability of winning, but a draw is still possible. The “Both teams to score” option seems intriguing.

The potential number of goals

Toronto has won 40% of their last 5 matches at home, with draws being more frequent at 60%. They have a strong attack with 18 goals scored but their defense needs improvement, having conceded 19 goals.

On the other hand, Orlando performs better defensively away from home, having conceded only 6 goals in 5 matches, but they are less effective in attack with only 6 goals scored. Their victories are rare at 20%, with draws occurring in 40% of their matches.

In terms of average goals, Toronto scores 1 goal per match compared to Orlando’s 1.8. Toronto struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match, while Orlando concedes 2.4 on average.

Orlando has a higher offensive potential with a 64% chance of scoring, compared to Toronto’s 36%. However, defensively, Toronto has the advantage with a 93% chance of not conceding, as opposed to Orlando’s 86%.

The probability of Orlando winning is slightly higher at 43.28%. However, the likelihood of a draw or Toronto winning is at 56.72%.

The most probable score scenarios are over 1.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match, with a 61.94% chance of both teams scoring.

Recommended prediction: Under 4.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Toronto and Orlando City promises to be exciting and high-scoring. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, coupled with somewhat deficient defense that needs improvement. Orlando City has displayed a greater offensive potential than Toronto, contributing to the prediction of an Orlando victory. However, Toronto should not be underestimated at home. Despite slightly lower chances of winning, they have shown a lot of fighting spirit in their previous matches.

The exact predicted score of 2-2 reflects the offensive and defensive balance of both teams and the high likelihood that they will both score. This also aligns with predictions of over 2.5 goals in the match and “Both Teams to Score: Yes.”

It is therefore crucial for bettors to carefully evaluate these factors before placing their bets. An Orlando City win or a draw could be attractive options for a 1X2 bet. The “Over/Under 2.5” bet with over 2.5 goals and the “BTTS: Both Teams to Score?” bet with the answer “Yes” could also offer good value.

However, it’s important to note that sports betting is always subject to the uncertainties of on-field performances and should therefore be done responsibly.