Tipps Torreense Portimonense Segunda Liga 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data, it is difficult to determine a clear winner. However, considering their recent performances, Torreense seems to have a slight edge, having won at least once at home, unlike Portimonense who hasn’t won a single away match. Therefore, I would predict that the match will end in favor of Torreense or in a draw.

1. Recent home performance of Torreense: In their last 5 home matches, Torreense managed to win once and draw once as well. This shows some strength, especially considering the team scored four goals while only conceding five in these matches.

2. Recent away performance of Portimonense: Portimonense has failed to win any of their last five away outings, settling for five draws. They have only scored two goals in total in these matches, while conceding four goals.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Based on the averages of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches, Torreense has a lower offensive potential (36% compared to 50% for Portimonense) but a higher defensive potential (29% compared to 43% for Portimonense). This could indicate a tight match is expected, where Torreense might leverage their solid defensive performance to neutralize Portimonense’s attack.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The recent performances of both teams show a low number of goals scored. In particular, Torreense has had a rather low scoring performance with only 4 goals scored in 5 home matches, while Portimonense has scored 2 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Even considering the offensive and defensive potential of each team, which range from 29% to 50%, the average goals per match for the home and away team point to a low-scoring encounter. Torreense averages 1 goal per match and Portimonense averages 1.4 goals per match.

3. The third and final important point to draw from historical statistics and the probabilities of success of different match events. Probabilities are high (100%) for under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, both teams not scoring at a 100% probability reinforces the idea of a match under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. The offensive level of Portimonense away from home is quite low, with an average of one goal scored per match in the last five games, which could make it difficult for them to score.
2. Torreense’s defense at home has been quite solid, conceding only an average of 0.8 goals per match in the last five games, which could make it difficult for Portimonense to score.
3. In the last five home games, Torreense has only managed to score in 40% of cases, with a total of four goals, which could make it difficult for them to score against Portimonense.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Torreense 1-1 Portimonense

1. Recent statistics indicate that Portimonense has a strong tendency to draw when playing away, with a draw rate of 60%. This suggests that a draw result is quite possible for this match.

2. Considering Torreense’s home performances, which see an average of 1 goal scored per match and 0.8 goals conceded, a prediction of 1-1 falls within that average.

3. In Torreense’s last 5 home matches, they have not lost twice, recording a draw. Furthermore, in Portimonense’s away matches, they have not won a single match. This suggests that both teams could be relatively evenly matched in terms of strength, potentially resulting in a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Torreense has collected a win and a draw in their last 5 home matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5. Their offensive potential is rather low (36%), as well as their defensive potential (29%).

On the other hand, Portimonense hasn’t performed well away from home. In their last 5 matches, they have had no wins but 3 draws, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 4. However, they have a slightly higher offensive potential (50%) with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a defensive potential of 43%.

Considering the probabilities, there is a 100% chance of there being less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match, indicating a potentially low-scoring game.

Recent history of both teams has shown a lack of offensive strength. Torreense’s recent home matches against Oliveirense, Feirense, União de Leiria, Atlético CP, and 1º Dezembro have only seen 4 goals. On the other hand, Portimonense’s recent away matches against Mafra, Felgueiras 1932, Bristol Rovers, Maritimo, and Guimaraes have produced only 2 goals.

These data suggest a low-scoring match. Both teams have a 0% chance of winning based on the statistics, which may indicate a close contest and a more defensive than offensive game. The data also suggest a 100% probability that both teams will not score. Keep this in mind when placing your bets.

The potential number of goals

According to the statistics, Torreense has been getting mixed results at home, showing a modest performance with a 20% winning rate. Their home attack has only produced four goals in the last few matches, while conceding five goals.

On the other hand, Portimonense has not registered any recent away wins but has managed to secure draws in 60% of cases. Their away attack is also weak, with only two goals scored and four goals conceded.

Considering the offensive and defensive potentials, Torreense has a 36% attacking strength and 29% defense at home. In comparison, Portimonense has a stronger offensive punch at 50% and a defensive rate of 43%, despite their away matches.

It is important to note that there is no available prediction to forecast the match result, whether a Torreense win, a draw, or a Portimonense victory. However, both teams have struggled to score consistently, leading to a 100% probability that both teams will not score.

In terms of goals, it is likely that less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals will be scored in the match.

In conclusion, given the recent performances of both teams and their offensive and defensive capabilities, a low-scoring match could be expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the previous analysis, the performances of both teams reveal a likely extremely tight match. Torreense’s superiority at home is subtly highlighted, but Portimonense has also shown some resilience on the road by achieving a high rate of draws. Predictions lean towards a draw or a victory for Torreense, but a precise score remains uncertain.

When looking at the offensive and defensive potentials, Torreense stands out for its solid defense, while Portimonense operates with a slightly stronger attack even away from home. This could result in a game with few goals, hence the Under 2.5 bet could be a wise choice. In fact, the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) also favors the “no” option, indicating a high probability that one or both teams will not score.

The interesting value bet would lie in a draw, a decision also reflected in the exact score bet, which suggests a 1-1 for this match.

In summary, it will likely be a low-scoring match, with a strong chance of a draw. Given the relatively weak performance of both teams, it is advisable to bet cautiously and thoughtfully to maximize your chances of success in betting.