Tipps Torreense Tondela Segunda Liga 04/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Torreense wins the match

1. Torreense has a strong home performance, with a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches. This demonstrates a relatively strong form at home which can increase the chances of winning or getting a draw.

2. Tondela’s away performance statistics show a lower win rate (20%) compared to a higher draw rate (40%) in their last 5 matches. This indicates a weak performance away from home, which decreases Tondela’s chances of winning the match.

3. The calculated statistical probability also supports the prediction: “Draw or Torreense wins the match” has a high success probability of 72.92%. This means there is a strong probability that the result will be a draw or a Torreense victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Match history: In Torreense’s last five home matches, we saw at least 3 goals in two out of five matches. For Tondela’s away matches, four out of five matches had over 2.5 goals, suggesting a high probability of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.

2. Teams’ offensive potential: Torreense and Tondela both have relatively high offensive potential, averaging 2 and 2.4 goals per match respectively. With such offensive statistics, there is a good chance of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.

3. Defenses of these teams are not extremely solid: Both teams have also conceded a considerable number of goals in their recent matches, with an average of 1 goal per match for Torreense and 1.2 goals per match for Tondela. This, combined with the mentioned offensive firepower, significantly increases the likelihood of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show a good attacking ability: Torreense has scored an average of 2 goals per home game, while Tondela has scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game. This indicates that both teams have a tendency to score in their respective matches.

2. The defense of both teams is relatively weak: Torreense has conceded the same number of goals as they have scored (6 goals in 5 games) at home, and Tondela has conceded more goals than they have scored (10 goals scored against 12 conceded) away. This suggests a possibility that each team may concede at least one goal.

3. The recent matches of each team show a trend of goals from both sides: For Torreense, in the last five home matches, three have seen goals from both sides. For Tondela, in the last five away matches, four have featured goals from both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Torreense 2-2 Tondela.

1. The statistics from the last matches show that both teams have high offensive potentials, scoring on average more than 2 goals per match (2 for Torreense and 2.4 for Tondela). Furthermore, their relatively vulnerable defenses (1 goal conceded per match for Torreense and 1.2 for Tondela) suggest the possibility of a high-scoring match, with 2-2 being a likely score.

2. The probability of a draw is 32.81%, which is quite significant. Moreover, in their last 5 matches, Tondela has drawn 40% of their away matches and Torreense has drawn 20% of their home matches, further supporting the likelihood of a balanced final score.

3. In Tondela’s recent away matches, 3 out of 5 have ended with Tondela scoring 2 goals. Similarly, Torreense has scored 2 goals or more in two out of their last five home matches, thus strengthening the probability of a final score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Torreense has been delivering mixed results at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored and conceded 6 goals each, showing a balance in their defense and offense. On average, they score and concede 2 and 1 goal respectively, with an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 36%.

On the other hand, Tondela has not been shining away from home, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. They have a goal score of 10 against 12, indicating a defensive issue. However, they average 2.4 goals per match, with a strong offensive at 86%.

When Torreense plays at home, they have a 40.1% chance of winning. Tondela only has a 27% chance of victory away.

The match offers good chances of seeing more than 1.5 goals (68.23%) and less than 3.5 goals (83.33%). Both teams also have almost the same probability of scoring (51.04%) or not (48.96%).

Considering the numbers, the most likely scenario would be a match with more than 1.5 goals and less than 3.5 goals, and the most probable outcome would be a draw or a Torreense victory.

The potential number of goals

Torreense, in their last 5 home matches, has had 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Tondela, in their last 5 away matches, has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded.

Torreense shows an offensive potential of 71% compared to Tondela’s 86%. However, Torreense has a better defense with 36% compared to Tondela’s 43%.

For the upcoming match, the probability of Torreense winning is 40.1% while Tondela has a 27.08% probability of winning. The draw has a probability of 32.81%. If we combine the draw or a Torreense win, the probability is 72.92%, while the draw or a Tondela win has a 59.9% probability.

Regarding goals in the match, over 1.5 goals is likely at 68.23% and less than 3.5 goals in the match has a high probability of 83.33%. There is a 51.04% chance that both teams will score.

Based on these statistics, the prediction would be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals and a win or draw for Torreense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the predictions for this match between Torreense and Tondela are marked by Torreense’s strong home performance and the high likelihood of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals. Both teams have shown good attacking ability but also vulnerable defense, which suggests the possibility of multiple goals in this encounter. However, Torreense has a better defense, which could work in their favor. Finally, based on recent statistics and probability rates, the most plausible forecast would be a win or draw for Torreense with a high success probability of 72.92%.