Tipps Tottenham Brentford Premier League 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Tottenham Hotspur wins the match”

1. Tottenham Hotspur’s home statistics show defensive solidity despite a slight weakness in offense. However, their offensive potential of 57% exceeds that of Brentford away from home. This indicates that they have a greater ability to score during the match.

2. Looking at the probabilities, it is clear that Tottenham Hotspur has a high chance of winning this match, with a probability of 62.76%. The probability gap between Tottenham Hotspur winning and Brentford winning (14.8%) is quite wide, further bolstering the argument for a Tottenham Hotspur victory.

3. By examining the recent matches of both teams, it can be seen that Brentford struggles to win away from home. Their recent away matches have ended in defeats or draws, giving Tottenham Hotspur a mental edge as they will be playing on their home turf.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Tottenham Hotspur and Brentford both have an average of 1.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games, resulting in a total average of 3.2 goals per match. This indicates a high probability that the total goals in this match will exceed 2.5.

2. Both teams have also shown relatively weak defenses in their recent matches, conceding an average of 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively. This increases the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

3. Betting statistics give a success probability of 59.69% for over 2.5 goals in the match. This probability is significantly higher than for other score bets, thus reinforcing the reliability of the prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams: Tottenham Hotspur have the ability to score at home with an average of 1.6 goals per game, just like Brentford away with the same average. Both teams have thus shown they can find the back of the net in their matches. Moreover, they have both conceded goals at an average of about one goal per game, indicating they can be vulnerable in defense.

2. The results of their recent matches: In most of their respective recent matches, both teams have shown their ability to score goals. Looking at the results of their recent matches, it is evident that Tottenham and Brentford have rarely kept clean sheets, increasing the likelihood that both teams will score in their encounter.

3. Expert predictions indicate a success probability of 59.18% for both teams to score. This statistic strongly suggests that it is likely that each team will find the back of the net, reinforcing the argument for this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds 5.00

Bet on the exact result

Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Brentford

1. The probability of Tottenham winning at home is 62.76%, which is significantly higher than the probabilities of a draw or a Brentford win. This indicates an advantage for Tottenham.

2. On average, Tottenham scores 1.6 goals per home match while Brentford concedes 1.2 goals per away match, further suggesting that Tottenham is likely to score at least two goals in the match.

3. Based on the teams’ recent matches, even though Tottenham has had losses, they have managed to score more than 2 goals in several home matches. On the other hand, Brentford has scored in most of their away matches, implying that they could score a goal in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Tottenham Hotspur, at home, is struggling to win. In 5 matches, they have 1 win and 4 draws, with 7 goals scored and 9 goals conceded. On the other hand, Brentford, away from home, is also not shining. In 5 matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4 goals scored and 5 goals conceded. Additionally, both teams show a balance in offensive and defensive potential, with around 57% offensive and close to 50% defensive.

The probabilities favor Tottenham: win at 62.76%, draw at 22.45%. Brentford has a 14.8% chance of winning. As for goals in the match, more than 1.5 goals are predicted with an 85.71% likelihood, while the probability for over 2.5 goals is lower at 59.69%.

Recent history shows mixed results for Tottenham, with defeats against top teams, and similarly inconsistent performances for Brentford.

Verdict: Tottenham seems to have an advantage, but be cautious of Brentford who could surprise. Considering the recent goals scored and conceded, betting on “over 1.5 goals” seems wise.

The potential number of goals

Tottenham, winning 20% of its home matches, often ends in a draw (80%). Their offense often scores (1.6 goals/match) but their defense sometimes falters (1.4 goals/match). Brentford, playing away, also wins from time to time (20%) and often draws (40%). Their attackers score enough (1.6 goals/match) and their defense holds strong (1.2 goals/match).

Probabilities favor Tottenham to win (62.76%), followed by a draw (22.45%), with Brentford far behind (14.8%). A match with over 1.5 goals (85.71%) is likely, however, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals (59.18%) is possible. Both teams scoring is likely (59.18%).

Recently, Tottenham hasn’t always excelled at home. For Brentford, their performance away from home is mixed. A close match is on the cards, with Tottenham slightly favored!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the detailed statistics and recent performances of Tottenham Hotspur and Brentford, we can draw several key points. Tottenham Hotspur appears to have a slight advantage due to their home match history, despite some mixed performances. Their offensive and defensive capabilities, while slightly weak, outshine those of Brentford, especially when playing at home. Furthermore, Brentford has shown a lack of success in their away matches.

In terms of total goals, a score exceeding 2.5 goals seems highly likely given the average goals scored by both teams. Additionally, both teams are likely to score during the match, a forecast supported by high probabilities. We should also not rule out the possibility of a draw, despite high odds, considering the match history of both teams.

Lastly, a prediction of an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Tottenham Hotspur seems to be the most reliable prediction. However, sports betting always involves a degree of uncertainty and other unquantifiable factors may come into play. It is therefore recommended to bet prudently and responsibly.