Tipps Toulouse Montpellier Ligue 1 03/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Toulouse wins the match”

1. Toulouse shows a higher offensive performance when playing at home, with an average of 1.8 goals per match compared to Montpellier’s 1.6 goals per match away. This indicates that Toulouse has a greater offensive potential.

2. Despite more away wins for Montpellier, they have conceded more goals on the road (12 goals) than Toulouse has at home (10 goals). This defensive vulnerability of Montpellier could be exploited by Toulouse.

3. The statistical probability of Toulouse winning this match is higher at 37.84%, compared to Montpellier’s 30.81%. This is a key indicator suggesting that Toulouse has better chances of winning this specific match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Both teams have a higher average of goals scored than 2.5 in their last 5 matches (1.8 for Toulouse and 1.6 for Montpellier), suggesting an attacking style of play and a certain potential to score goals.

2. Looking at the last 5 home matches of Toulouse and the last 5 away matches of Montpellier, 8 out of 10 ended with more than 2.5 goals, indicating a historical trend for both teams to participate in high-scoring matches.

3. The probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match is 57.84%. Compared to other betting options regarding the number of goals in the match, this is the bet with the highest probability.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. Both teams have shown strong attacking ability in their recent matches: Toulouse has scored 9 goals and Montpellier has scored 8 goals in their respective last 5 matches. This indicates that they both have high-performing strikers.

2. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses by conceding multiple goals in their recent matches. Toulouse has conceded 10 goals and Montpellier 12, suggesting that their defenses may be vulnerable to opposition attacks.

3. The statistics from Toulouse’s recent home matches and Montpellier’s away matches show a trend of both teams finding the back of the net. In their last 5 matches, Montpellier has always scored at least one goal when playing away, and Toulouse has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Toulouse 1-1 Montpellier

1. The past performances of both teams indicate some parity, with Toulouse showing a capacity to score at home and Montpellier also performing well offensively away. This suggests that it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

2. The draw rate for both teams is similar, at around 20%, which shows that there is a clear chance that the match could end in a tie.

3. Finally, looking at the average goals scored and conceded by Toulouse at home and by Montpellier away, one can expect a match with less than 2.5 goals, making a final score of 1-1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Toulouse, playing at home, shows a moderate form with 40% wins and 20% draws. Their attack scores 1.8 goals per match while their defense concedes 0.8 goals, revealing an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 29%. With 9 goals scored and 10 conceded, their record remains slightly negative.

Montpellier, playing away, displays a better performance with 60% wins and 20% draws. They score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 0.6 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 21%. The team has scored 8 goals and conceded 12, showing a slight defensive weakness.

The probabilities indicate that Toulouse has a 37.84% chance of winning, while Montpellier has 30.81%. A draw is also possible with a probability of 31.35%. The choice “Draw or Toulouse wins” has a high success probability of 69.19%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 78.38% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored. Both teams score with a probability of 59.46%, suggesting an exciting match.

Looking at their recent matches, Toulouse has often conceded goals at home, while Montpellier has shown its ability to score away.

Conclusion: the match could be in favor of Toulouse but watch out for Montpellier, who can be surprising. A safe prediction would be for the number of goals to exceed 1.5.

The potential number of goals

Toulouse struggles at home with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10. Montpellier is more solid and wins 60% of the time away, with 8 goals for and 12 against.

At home, Toulouse produces 1.8 goals per match and concedes 0.8. Their offensive potential is at 64%, defensive at 29%. Montpellier is slightly less prolific, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Their offensive potential is at 57% and defensive at 21%.

The probability of Toulouse winning is at 37.84%, with odds of 2.12, while the draw is at 31.35% (odds of 3.70) and Montpellier’s victory at 30.81% (odds of 3.25). A result for Toulouse or a draw can be considered with 69.19% chance (odds of 1.36). There is also a chance of a draw or a Montpellier win at 62.16% (odds of 1.75).

The match should be quite goal-rich, with more than 1.5 goals at 78.38% probability (odds of 1.24). The possibility of more than 2.5 goals is conceivable at 57.84% (odds of 1.72).

Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 59.46% (odds of 1.62). The recent home matches of Toulouse and away matches of Montpellier confirm this trend.

In summary, this match seems uncertain, but the offensive potential of each team will result in goals. A draw with more than 1.5 goals could be an interesting bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the clash between Toulouse and Montpellier appears to be promising and potentially high-scoring. Both teams show solid offensive form with high attacking potentials. Toulouse, with their home advantage and past statistics, seems slightly favored, but Montpellier’s strong performance away from home should not be underestimated. A draw or a Toulouse win seems the most likely scenario, but betting on over 1.5 goals appears to be the safer bet. Another option for more daring bettors could be a bet on a draw with an exact score of 1-1, considering the parity in the two teams’ past performances. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and every bet carries risks. It is advisable to bet responsibly.