Tipps TSC Backa Topola Novi Pazar Super Liga 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics provided, I would say that “TSC Backa Topola or draw” would be the safest option to bet on for this match. TSC Backa Topola tends to get mixed results at home with a tendency to draw, while Novi Pazar has a poor away performance. This reflects Novi Pazar’s underperformance when away and TSC Backa Topola’s relatively better performance at home.

Here are the three arguments for the “TSC Backa Topola or draw” prediction:

1. TSC Backa Topola’s home performance: Based on the provided statistics, in their last 5 home matches, TSC Backa Topola won in 20% of cases and drew in 60% of cases. This indicates a strong ability to resist when playing at home.

2. Novi Pazar’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Novi Pazar won in 0% of cases and drew in only 20% of cases. These numbers show that Novi Pazar struggles to achieve positive results when playing away.

3. Comparison of offensive and defensive potentials: TSC Backa Topola has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 86% when playing at home, while Novi Pazar has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 71% when playing away. These data indicate that TSC Backa Topola has a better defense, which could help avoid a defeat.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The performance of both teams: TSC Backa Topola has an average performance at home with only 20% of wins and 60% of draws, while Novi Pazar has no away wins in their last 5 matches. Their overall performance suggests a potentially tight match with few goals.

2. Goal statistics: On average, TSC Backa Topola scores 0.8 goals per home match and concedes 2.4 goals per match, while Novi Pazar scores an average of 1.4 goals per away match and concedes 2 goals per match. Both teams have a weak offensive potential (29% for TSC Backa Topola and 50% for Novi Pazar), indicating a match with few goals.

3. Previous match goal count: TSC Backa Topola’s last 5 home matches resulted in a total of 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match. Novi Pazar’s last 5 away matches ended with a total of 14 goals, averaging 2.8 goals per match. These data also suggest a match with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. TSC Backa Topola has shown a weakness in attack by scoring only 3 goals in their last 5 home matches. This indicates that the team may struggle to score in the upcoming match.

2. Novi Pazar has not won a single away match in their last 5 games, with a win rate of 0%. Additionally, they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (5). The probability of them scoring is therefore lower.

3. The attacking potential of TSC Backa Topola at home is only 29%, while Novi Pazar’s attacking potential away from home is 50%. These statistics are relatively low, further supporting the prediction that both teams will not score in the match in question.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

TSC Backa Topola 1-1 Novi Pazar

1. The TSC Backa Topola team has a strong tendency to draw when playing at home. In their last 5 home matches, they drew in 60% of cases. They could therefore hold their own against Novi Pazar and end the match with a 1-1 score.

2. Novi Pazar’s away performances show that they struggle to win. In their last 5 away matches, they have not secured a victory. This, combined with their average of 1.4 goals scored per away match, could lead to a draw with goals on both sides.

3. Both teams have demonstrated strong defense, particularly TSC Backa Topola at home with an 86% defensive potential and Novi Pazar away with a 71% defensive potential. This could result in a low-scoring match, making a 1-1 scoreline plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Regarding recent performances, TSC Backa Topola has shown a weakness in attack at home, averaging 0.8 goals scored per match and a questionable defensive strength by conceding 2.4 goals per match. On the other hand, Novi Pazar struggles to achieve positive results away from home, with no wins and one draw in their last five outings.

In terms of offensive capabilities, Novi Pazar scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 2 goals per match, while TSC Backa Topola scores less but defends slightly better. Both teams face defensive difficulties, with Topola having an 86% vulnerability and Pazar at 71%.

Based on these statistics, a prediction leaning towards a match with under 3.5 goals (100% probability) seems more likely, as both teams have shown struggles in scoring and defending. Moreover, recent trends suggest that both teams are unlikely to score (100% probability).

It is also worth noting that the chances of either team winning or drawing are very low, indicating a tight and defensive match, possibly resulting in a deadlock. This further supports the prediction of under 3.5 goals in the match.

Therefore, based on these numbers, the analysis suggests a low-scoring match, potentially with no goals from either team.

The potential number of goals

TSC Backa Topola struggles to win at home with only a 20% victory rate. Novi Pazar has even less success away, with no wins.

Offensively, Novi Pazar is more efficient with 1.4 goals per away game compared to 0.8 for TSC Backa Topola. However, both teams have weak defenses, conceding over 2 goals per match.

Historical data shows a trend for TSC Backa Topola to have under 1.5 goals per match, as very few goals are scored at home. Novi Pazar, on the other hand, struggles to keep a clean sheet away, offering potential for over 2.5 goals per match.

Taking these statistics into account, a low-scoring match can be expected due to Backa Topola’s offensive weaknesses and Novi Pazar’s defensive record. Therefore, a result of under 3.5 goals seems likely with a 100% success rate.

It’s also worth noting that both teams don’t score in the same match, a scenario that has a 100% chance of repeating.

These factors indicate a potentially tight match, with a slight advantage for Backa Topola due to their poor home record. However, given the current form of both teams, predicting a clear winner is difficult.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the data and analysis presented suggest a likely close match with a low number of goals between TSC Backa Topola and Novi Pazar. The strong home performances of TSC Backa Topola, combined with Novi Pazar’s poor away record, point towards a “TSC Backa Topola or draw” prediction as the safest betting option.

Simultaneously, given the lack of offensive strength from both teams, a bet on “under 2.5 goals” seems like a wise choice, with a high likelihood of both teams not scoring. A “draw” could offer intriguing betting value considering the current form of both teams.

When it comes to the exact score, “TSC Backa Topola 1-1 Novi Pazar” appears to be the most probable according to our analysis. However, as always with sports betting, it is crucial to wager with moderation and responsibility, recognizing that football is inherently unpredictable and can always spring surprises.