Tipps Türkiye Georgia Euro 2024 18/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

The forecast for the match between Turkey and Georgia would be “Turkey wins the match”. The betting option would be “Draw or Turkey wins the match”.

1. Turkey’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Turkey has a strong performance with 60% wins and 20% draws. It is more likely that Turkey will continue this positive trend in their match against Georgia.

2. Georgia’s away performance: Georgia has a poor performance away from home with only 40% wins and no draws in their last 5 matches. Therefore, it is less likely that Georgia can win or even draw against Turkey away.

3. Total probability: By combining Turkey’s win probability (58.92%) and draw probability (23.24%), we get an overall success rate of 82.16%. This clearly favors the bet “Draw or Turkey wins the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Turkey’s strong defensive statistics, with an average of 2 goals conceded per home match and a defensive potential of 71%, indicate that they are capable of withstanding Georgia’s attacks.
2. Georgia’s team has a low offensive potential in their away matches, averaging only 1.6 goals per game. Additionally, despite having a slightly weaker defense than Turkey, they only concede an average of 1.2 goals per game on the road, suggesting a low-scoring match.
3. The probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is set at 1.69, higher than the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match (47.57% success probability at 2.20). This indicates a low-scoring forecast for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored/conceded: Turkey has scored 9 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Georgia has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 away matches. These data suggest that both teams have effective offenses and sometimes vulnerable defenses, which could lead to both teams scoring.

2. The teams’ past performances: By analyzing Turkey’s recent home matches and Georgia’s away matches, it is evident that both teams have managed to score consistently. In 4 of Turkey’s last 5 home matches, both teams have scored. Similarly, in 4 of Georgia’s last 5 away matches, both teams have scored.

3. Offensive and defensive potential of the teams: According to the provided information, Turkey has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 71%, while Georgia has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%. This indicates that both teams have the ability to attack and score goals, but also have defensive flaws that could be exploited by the opposing team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Turkey 2-1 Georgia.

1. Turkey has a better home record with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches, notably against teams like Latvia and Wales. In comparison, Georgia has a lower away record with 40% of wins, and has lost against teams like Spain and Norway.
2. The average goals scored by Turkey at home and Georgia away support a score of 2-1. Turkey on average scores 0.6 goals at home while Georgia scores 1.6 goals away. Additionally, Turkey has a stronger defensive potential (conceding only 71%) which suggests they concede fewer goals than Georgia (43%).
3. The odds and probabilities also favor Turkey. With odds of 1.75, Turkey has a win probability of 58.92%. Moreover, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored during the match is 73.51%. These statistics lean towards a final score of 2-1 in favor of Turkey.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Turkey has won 60% of their recent home matches, compared to Georgia’s 40% away from home. In terms of defense, Turkey has conceded 10 goals, while Georgia has conceded 8 goals.

Georgia has a stronger offensive potential (57%) compared to Turkey (21%). However, Turkey has a higher defensive potential (71% compared to Georgia’s 43%).

The probabilities favor Turkey (58.92%, odds at 1.75) over Georgia (17.84%, odds at 5.03). A draw is also a possibility (23.24%, odds at 3.71).

A favorable prediction would be “under 4.5 goals in the match” (91.89% probability, odds at 1.07). The likelihood of “both teams scoring” is also around 50%.

Recent home scores for Turkey and away scores for Georgia are as follows:
– Turkey: wins against Latvia (4-0), Wales (2-0), and Czech Republic (2-1). Draw against Armenia (1-1). Loss to Croatia (0-2).
– Georgia: wins against Montenegro (3-1) and Cyprus (2-1). Losses to Spain (3-1), Norway (2-1), and Scotland (2-0).

The potential number of goals

Turkey has a strong home performance, with a 60% win rate. They have scored 9 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, their defense can be a problem – they have conceded 10 goals in those same matches.

On the other hand, Georgia has a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Although they have conceded fewer goals than Turkey – a total of 8 – their defense is still something to watch.

The probability of Turkey winning is 58.92%, with odds of 1.75. A draw is less likely at 23.24%, with odds of 3.71. A Georgian victory is the least likely at 17.84%, with odds of 5.03.

In terms of goals, over 1.5 goals are likely at 73.51% – odds of 1.39. Less than 2.5 goals have odds of 1.69. Over 2.5 goals have a probability of 47.57%, with odds of 2.20.

Based on this information, we can expect a rather offensive match where it’s likely that both teams will score – a 50.81% probability at odds of 2.07.

In conclusion, a safe bet would be for Turkey to win or a draw, with a probability of 82.16%. A riskier but potentially profitable bet would be over 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering recent performance statistics, probabilities, odds, and the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, the hero of the match would most likely be Turkey. The home victory trend and solid defensive performance of Turkey strongly support this prediction. With an overall success rate of 82.16%, and a favorable bet of “Draw or Turkey to win the match,” it seems wise to bet on Turkey.

However, the prediction of “under 2.5 goals in the match” could also offer an interesting value bet due to Turkey’s low goal-scoring ability and the low average of goals per match in Georgia’s away games.

Regarding BTTS, both teams seem capable of scoring given their effective offenses. Finally, for a bet on the exact score, a 2-1 win for Turkey appears to be the most probable prediction.

Nevertheless, as with all sports betting, there is always an element of risk and nothing is ever guaranteed. It is important to approach sports betting as a form of entertainment and never bet more than you can afford to lose.