Tipps Twente Heerenveen Eredivisie 17/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Twente wins the match.

1. Twente has a success probability of 73.33% to win the match, which is significantly higher than any other options. This shows that they are considered as the favorites to win this match on their home ground.
2. Even though Twente has conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 home matches, they have still managed to score in every game, demonstrating their consistent offensive ability.
3. Heerenveen’s away performances have been mixed with only one win in their last five matches. Additionally, their offensive and defensive potential is lower than that of Twente, which could pose a challenge for Heerenveen in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Twente has a relatively high average of goals per home match (1.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded), indicating they are involved in high-scoring games.
2. Heerenveen, when playing away, also averages 2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match, suggesting a potential for matches with over 2.5 goals.
3. By analyzing the recent performances of both teams in their respective matches, we can see a trend towards high-scoring games, especially in Twente’s home matches, with scores like 1-1, 3-3, 2-2, 7-2.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Twente has a strong ability to score at home with an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Heerenveen has an offensive capacity away from home with an average of 2 goals per match.
2. Both Twente and Heerenveen have weak defensive percentages, 64% and 21% respectively, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. The recent home matches of Twente and away matches of Heerenveen also show a trend of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Heerenveen wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Twente 2-1 Heerenveen

1. Translation:

1. Win Probabilities: According to the probabilities, Twente has a success rate of 73.33% to win the match against Heerenveen. This trend is strong and gives Twente an advantage.

2. Translation:

2. Home and Away Performance: Twente, despite having a wide range in results, has managed to score at least one goal in 4 of its last 5 home matches. In comparison, Heerenveen has shown inconsistent form away from home, only scoring 4 times in 5 matches, with two of those goals in a single match.

3. Translation:

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Twente has shown an offensive potential of 57% at home, which is relatively low, but its defensive potential is 64%, which is stronger compared to Heerenveen. Heerenveen, on the other hand, has a high offensive potential of 71% but a low defensive potential of 21% away from home. The clash of these statistics gives Twente an advantage at home.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Twente has a moderate home record with a 20% win rate and 13 goals scored. Meanwhile, Heerenveen has a 20% away win record and 4 goals scored.

Twente averages 1.6 goals per home game and concedes 1.8, while Heerenveen scores an average of 2 goals per away game and concedes only 0.6.

Twente’s chances of winning are estimated at 73.33% with odds of 1.39. For Heerenveen, the probability of winning the match is only 8.21%, with odds of 7.8.

The match has a high probability of over 1.5 goals (84.1%) and over 2.5 goals (62.56%). There is also a 54.87% probability that both teams will score.

Based on these statistics, we could expect a potential win for Twente or a draw. However, the number of goals could be over 2.5 with a chance of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Here is my analysis:

Twente, at home, rarely draws (0%) and wins 20% of the time. Poor record. They have scored 13 goals but conceded 15. They are weaker in defense (64%) than in attack (57%).

In contrast, Heerenveen performs decently away from home with 20% of wins and draws. They are strong in attack (71%) and very solid in defense (21%). They have scored and conceded only 4 goals, less prolific but more solid.

Bookmakers favor Twente (73% odds) despite their recent poor performance. It’s surprising.

The match will likely be high-scoring, with half of the predictions expecting over 2.5 goals (62%) and 84% expecting over 1.5 goals.

Both teams are expected to score according to 54% of the predictions.

Based on these statistics, the most interesting bet would be: Over 1.5 goals with an 84% probability and odds of 1.18. It’s a measured risk with a decent return on investment.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, after a detailed analysis of the recent performances of Twente and Heerenveen, it appears that the match could favor Twente, who is the favorite team according to the win probabilities (73.33%). However, let’s not forget that football is an unpredictable sport and, although statistics support a Twente win, anything can happen on the field.

Regarding the total number of goals for this match, the data suggests that this game could see a score exceeding 2.5 goals, given the offensive capabilities of both teams. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is significant. Despite Twente’s strong success rates, Heerenveen could present an interesting value bet, considering their offensive performance away from their own stadium and the high odds of their victory.

In summary, this match could offer bettors several interesting opportunities, both for the total number of goals and the potential for both teams to score, not to mention the possibility of a surprise Heerenveen win. As always, it is important to bet responsibly, taking into account statistics but also the inherent uncertainty of any football match.